Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-3 match between Spirit and Liquid in the IEM Rio Group A upper bracket quarterfinal, scheduled for April 13. Traders are betting on which team will win the series, with the market resolving to Spirit or Liquid based on the official match result. It is set to resolve on April 13, 2026, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated rules.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Spirit and Liquid in the IEM Rio Group A, initially scheduled for April 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Liquid. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,638.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable new whale

A 1-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and an early $8.6k profit is making another sizable buy, suggesting a potentially sharp new sports bettor worth tracking.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already been flagged 7 times and is up $8.6k on $22.0k invested
  • It has won all 5 of its resolved bets so far, making this look like more than a one-off punt
  • The bettor bought Spirit at 86¢ with a $4.6k position, showing clear conviction even in a liquid market

$4,624 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%

78% win-rate grinder

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 78% win rate bought the favorite in a major esports match, making this worth watching mainly because of the trader’s long track record.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades across 295 markets and has put nearly $1.0M to work
  • They trade heavily across related markets and events, with over $1.09M in total volume tracked
  • The buy came at 86¢ in a deep, active market, showing steady conviction rather than a random punt

$7,022 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 78%

99% win-rate bettor

A wallet with an exceptional 99% win rate and strong historical edge is backing Spirit at 86¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size and lack of other triggers.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up about $140k over 237 positions
  • Their past bets beat market odds by a wide margin, which suggests real skill rather than just buying favorites
  • They bought Spirit at 86¢ in a liquid market, signaling confidence even at a price that implies a heavy favorite

$1,992 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa026...766c Liquid, $56,198
  2. 0xcd36...0f01 Spirit, $38,888
  3. 0x21ec...5348 Liquid, $31,696 (57% win rate)
  4. 0x9f9c...34d9 Spirit, $29,141 (44% win rate)
  5. 0xdd92...6b2a Liquid, $20,007 (45% win rate)
  6. 0x88d1...18da Spirit, $17,500 (68% win rate)
  7. 0x996a...e3cc Spirit, $15,044 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x29b5...cc6c Liquid, $14,165 (56% win rate)
  9. 0x733b...7260 Spirit, $12,647
  10. 0xb7f5...c669 Liquid, $10,000 (49% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

3h$13,638 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Spirit
100¢
Liquid
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Spirit and Liquid in the IEM Rio Group A, initially scheduled for April 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Liquid. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Spirit
102¢
92¢
82¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

2h ago

$4,624 on Spirit at 86¢

86¢100¢14¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

2h ago

$7,022 on Spirit at 86¢

86¢100¢14¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

2h ago

$1,992 on Spirit at 86¢

86¢100¢14¢

Related Theses

Spirit vs Liquid Odds - IEM Rio Prediction Market | PolySpotter