What does this Spirit vs Liquid prediction market cover?

This market covers the winner of Map 2 only in the Counter-Strike upper bracket quarterfinal between Spirit and Liquid at IEM Rio Group A. It does not resolve based on the overall match winner unless that result also matches the completed Map 2 outcome.

How does this market resolve if the match is interrupted?

If the match starts and Map 2 is completed, the market resolves based on the winner of Map 2, even if the rest of the match is not finished. If Map 2 is not completed, the market rules determine how the contract will be handled.

When does the Spirit vs Liquid Map 2 market resolve?

The listed resolution time for this market is April 13, 2026 at 21:30 UTC. In practice, it should resolve once Map 2 has a confirmed winner under the market rules.

Why are traders watching smart money on this market?

PolySpotter tracks notable wallet activity to help users spot where experienced bettors may be leaning. This market shows $4,610 in tracked smart money, with recent alerts highlighting a 98% bettor-led cluster, a 98% win-rate sports bettor, and a 4-wallet underdog cluster.

What are people searching for on this market?

Many users look for terms like 'Spirit vs Liquid prediction market odds,' 'Spirit vs Liquid Polymarket,' and 'who will win Map 2 Spirit vs Liquid.' This page is designed to help traders quickly understand the market, rules, and current activity.

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner

This Polymarket tracks who will win Map 2 in the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and Liquid at IEM Rio Group A. The market resolves to Spirit or Liquid based on the Map 2 winner, even if the full match is not completed, as long as Map 2 finishes. It is scheduled to resolve on April 13, 2026, and currently includes $4,610 in tracked smart money activity.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Spirit and Liquid in the IEM Rio Group A, initially scheduled for April 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against Liquid. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 2 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,288.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

4-wallet underdog cluster

Four wallets, including two linked by funding source, piled into the same underdog side in a sports market with nearly $4.6k of coordinated flow and a meaningful price move, making this a notable conviction bet despite mixed wallet quality.

Four wallets all bet Liquid within minutes, including two wallets linked by the same funder.
They bought the underdog at 35¢ to 46¢, which means they were pricing Liquid far above the market's current 16¢.
This was coordinated flow in an active esports market, and the market moved sharply during the burst of trading.

$4,610 on Liquid

98% win-rate sports bettor

A proven elite sports bettor with a 98% win rate and nearly $3.0M profit is making a fresh $6.6k buy on Spirit as part of a long-running cross-market pattern.

This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $2.95M lifetime
They have made 313 bets across 201 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
Bought Spirit at 83¢ for $6.6k, signaling confidence even with the market already pricing Spirit as a strong favorite

$6,617 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% bettor leads cluster

A 4-wallet cluster put $12k on Spirit in a short burst, led by an extraordinary 98% win-rate bettor with nearly $3.0M in profit and a long cross-market record.

A bettor who wins 98% of their trades and is up $2.95M led this 4-wallet push into Spirit.
Four wallets bought the same side within minutes for $12.1k total, a strong one-way signal.
They paid 83¢ while Spirit now trades near 80¢, giving a slightly better follow price than the original entry.

$12,062 on Spirit