Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $262,974.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

94% win-rate esports bettor

A highly proven esports bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $7,900 Spirit position amid a major event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 103 of 110 resolved trades and is up $769,327 overall.
  • They placed a fresh $7,900 bet on Spirit while also positioning across three markets in the event.
  • The market saw a 26.4x volume spike, though Spirit has since fallen from the 79¢ entry to 72¢.

$7,900 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor with substantial edge concentrated $23,245 into Spirit across three related markets during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 103 of 110 resolved trades and is up $769,327, while buying at an average winning price of 67%.
  • They deployed $23,245 across three markets tied to the same event, signaling strong conviction in Spirit.
  • The market saw a 13.5x volume spike as Spirit rose from 61-69% entries to 78% current odds.

$20,772 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial bettor backs Spirit

A highly experienced and profitable cross-market bettor made a concentrated Spirit bet during a 48.9x volume spike, despite the market later moving against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 1,626 resolved trades and earned about $2.1 million in profit.
  • They placed a $1,418 Spirit bet at 78% during a 48.9x historical volume spike.
  • Spirit is now priced near 72%, so the market has moved below this bettor’s entry rather than confirming it.

$1,418 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 74%

94% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor with substantial edge concentrated $23,245 into Spirit across three related markets during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 103 of 110 resolved trades and is up $769,327, while buying at an average winning price of 67%.
  • They deployed $23,245 across three markets tied to the same event, signaling strong conviction in Spirit.
  • The market saw a 13.5x volume spike as Spirit rose from 61-69% entries to 78% current odds.

$23,245 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

New whale scaling into Spirit

A very new, profitable wallet is repeatedly scaling into Spirit with a $169K purchase that represents most of the market's 24-hour volume.

  • This 18-hour-old wallet has won both of its resolved bets and is up $146K, though the track record is still small.
  • It added $169K to Spirit at 79¢, bringing its total position to roughly $383K.
  • The purchase equals about 63% of the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction.

$169,154 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%

94% win-rate esports bettor buys Spirit

A highly proven esports bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,063 Spirit purchase at 79%.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 293 resolved positions and is up over $1.09 million.
  • The wallet has historically beaten implied odds by 32 percentage points, signaling a genuine edge rather than routine favorite buying.
  • A fresh $1,063 bet backs Spirit at 79%, near the current 80% market price.

$20,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp bettor scaling into Spirit

A proven bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $2,784 to Spirit amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $10,236 lifetime while typically buying at 48% odds.
  • They added $2,784 to Spirit at 80%, reinforcing an existing position rather than taking a one-off flyer.
  • Market volume is running 543x above its historical average, supporting the significance of the trade.

$2,784 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp wallets scaling into Spirit

Five wallets committed nearly $70,000 to Spirit, including a proven 88% bettor, while a 100% wallet exited MOUZ at a price equivalent to buying Spirit.

  • Five wallets deployed nearly $70,000 toward Spirit, creating a strong one-sided signal in a liquid esports market.
  • One bettor has won 88% of 178 resolved positions, is up $25,647, and has materially beaten the odds paid.
  • Another wallet with a perfect 14-0 record sold MOUZ at 42¢, equivalent to buying Spirit at 58¢; several traders were adding to existing Spirit positions.

$16,637 on Spirit

94% win-rate esports bettor buys Spirit

A highly proven esports bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,063 Spirit purchase at 79%.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 293 resolved positions and is up over $1.09 million.
  • The wallet has historically beaten implied odds by 32 percentage points, signaling a genuine edge rather than routine favorite buying.
  • A fresh $1,063 bet backs Spirit at 79%, near the current 80% market price.

$1,063 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0954...1e1b Outcome 63954056, $274,394 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xa69d...509b Outcome 63954056, $88,721 (60% win rate)
  3. 0xfbf3...b218 Outcome 63954056, $54,000 (45% win rate)
  4. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 63954056, $34,483 (84% win rate)
  5. 0x4d78...4cc1 Outcome 63954056, $27,000 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x0a63...fc03 Outcome 63954056, $23,406 (83% win rate)
  7. 0xa4fd...748b Outcome 63954056, $20,014 (90% win rate)
  8. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 63954056, $17,933 (85% win rate)
  9. 0x661d...4dc6 Outcome 63954056, $14,668 (68% win rate)
  10. 0x9700...798f Outcome 63954056, $14,266 (87% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

Argentina won’t win; others favored

Covers 7 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring rout

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder cover low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Vitality sweeps MOUZ

Covers 3 related markets

No Iran peace deal

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$262,974 tracked9 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Spirit
81¢
76¢
70¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

6d ago

$7,900 on Spirit at 79¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

6d ago

$20,772 on Spirit at 68¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

6d ago

$1,418 on Spirit at 78¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

6d ago

$23,245 on Spirit at 68¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

6d ago

$169,154 on Spirit at 79¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

6d ago

$20,000 on Spirit at 79¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

7d ago

$2,784 on Spirit at 80¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

6d ago

$16,637 on Spirit at 58¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

7d ago

$1,063 on Spirit at 79¢

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
Argentina won’t win; others favored
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 7 related markets
Will Argentina win the 2026 FI…Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA W…Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA …
Thunder win low-scoring rout
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 3 related markets
Spurs vs. ThunderSpread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5
Thunder cover low-scoring game
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…
No Iran peace deal
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 3 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…