Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,195,320.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

84-wallet Spirit buying cluster

An unusually large, coordinated Spirit position combines 84 wallets, linked funding, and several traders with exceptional historical win rates, although opposing MOUZ flow makes the signal less clean.

  • Eighty-four wallets bought Spirit for $893,172, with linked funding reported across the cluster.
  • Several participating bettors show strong records, including 89–98% win rates while typically entering around 46–58¢.
  • The largest position was a $436,459 Spirit purchase at 62¢, but 26 wallets also bought MOUZ, adding meaningful uncertainty.

$893,172 on Spirit

88% winner scaling into MOUZ

A highly profitable, 88% win-rate bettor is adding $99,900 to an existing MOUZ position during a major volume spike despite MOUZ trading at only 36%.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 602 resolved positions and earned over $10.3 million.
  • They added $99,900 to an existing MOUZ position, bringing their investment to $369,900 at roughly 37¢.
  • Trading volume spiked to 46.9 times its historical average while MOUZ remains priced near 36%.

$99,900 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 88%

93% win-rate bettor adds to MOUZ

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $53.7K to an existing MOUZ position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved positions and is up $343,319 lifetime.
  • They added $53,728 to an existing MOUZ position at 37¢, showing strong continued conviction despite MOUZ trading around 36%.
  • Market volume is running 29.6 times its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated interest before the match.

$53,728 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp bettors scaling into MOUZ

A concentrated $113,000 MOUZ position includes several highly profitable bettors with exceptional win rates, despite the market moving down to 31%.

  • Eight wallets committed $113,000 to MOUZ, including bettors with 94% and 93% win rates.
  • The largest buyer invested $86,000 and has earned $1.65 million across 29 resolved positions.
  • These wallets added to existing MOUZ positions around 38–39¢ while the market now prices MOUZ at 31%, signaling strong conviction despite adverse movement.

$113,010 on MOUZ

Sharp bettor scaling into Spirit

A highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding $17,000 to Spirit at 65¢.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 622 resolved positions and is up $1.11 million.
  • They are adding $17,000 to an existing Spirit position at 65¢, reinforcing conviction near the 66% market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 140 events and 142 markets, showing a sustained rather than isolated track record.

$17,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 85%

Serial sharp scaling into Spirit

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate is adding to an existing Spirit position at 65¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of 259 resolved trades and is up $148,196 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 63 events and 65 markets, showing a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • The $1,500 purchase adds to an existing $2,308 Spirit position at 65¢, signaling continued conviction.

$1,500 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 82%

98% winner adding to MOUZ

A highly successful serial trader with a 98% win rate is adding to an existing MOUZ position at 35%, signaling strong conviction despite Spirit being favored.

  • This bettor has won 337 of 344 resolved positions and earned $154,213 in profit.
  • The trader is adding $1,200 to an existing MOUZ position at 35%, even though Spirit is the 66% market favorite.
  • They have traded across 82 events and 114 markets, indicating a consistent, broad track record rather than a one-off bet.

$1,200 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 98%

90% win-rate bettor adds to MOUZ

A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and strong cross-market history is adding substantially to an existing MOUZ position at 32%.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $78,194 lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded 53 markets across 37 events with the same 90% win rate.
  • A further $4,796 was added to an existing $24,783 MOUZ position at 32%, signaling continued conviction.

$3,109 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp bettor scales into MOUZ

A highly profitable serial trader with a 90% win rate and substantial edge added $7,905 to an existing MOUZ position at 32%.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades—57 of 63—and is up $78,194 lifetime.
  • They added $7,905 to MOUZ at 32% after already investing $24,783 at the same price.
  • The wallet has traded across 38 events and 54 markets, indicating a repeatable cross-market approach rather than a one-off wager.

$7,905 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 89%

90% win-rate bettor adds to MOUZ

A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and strong cross-market history is adding substantially to an existing MOUZ position at 32%.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $78,194 lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded 53 markets across 37 events with the same 90% win rate.
  • A further $4,796 was added to an existing $24,783 MOUZ position at 32%, signaling continued conviction.

$4,796 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7c37...6aeb Outcome 50296159, $1,366,169 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x2089...712e Outcome 50296159, $292,389 (90% win rate)
  3. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 50296159, $270,000 (88% win rate)
  4. 0x79ae...9a4a Outcome 50296159, $106,555 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x5f3c...0cf1 Outcome 50296159, $72,417 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x5877...d894 Outcome 50296159, $23,867 (93% win rate)
  7. 0xda3a...381f Outcome 50296159, $17,000 (62% win rate)
  8. 0x0562...18a4 Outcome 50296159, $14,895 (68% win rate)
  9. 0x9a79...eeda Outcome 50296159, $12,000 (56% win rate)
  10. 0xdee3...6fe5 Outcome 50296159, $10,266 (69% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus

Covers 3 related markets

MOUZ sweeps Spirit in series

Covers 4 related markets

Washington rivalry game becomes shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Spain wins comfortably

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil wins by four plus

Covers 3 related markets

SMU wins a high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spain wins by multiple goals

Covers 1 related market

Palmeiras will win August 5

Covers 1 related market

Padres cover against Dodgers

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs$1,195,320 tracked10 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Open Porto Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Spirit
102¢
81¢
60¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

4d ago

$893,172 on Spirit at 62¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

5d ago

$99,900 on MOUZ at 37¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

5d ago

$53,728 on MOUZ at 37¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

5d ago

$113,010 on MOUZ at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

5d ago

$17,000 on Spirit at 65¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

5d ago

$1,500 on Spirit at 65¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

5d ago

$1,200 on MOUZ at 35¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

5d ago

$3,109 on MOUZ at 32¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

5d ago

$7,905 on MOUZ at 32¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs

5d ago

$4,796 on MOUZ at 32¢

Related Theses