Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $80,786.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

13-wallet MOUZ conviction cluster

A large one-sided MOUZ cluster and 300x volume spike, including several highly profitable bettors, signal unusually strong coordinated conviction despite the subsequent price reversal.

13 wallets committed about $64,800 to MOUZ, including a bettor with an 86% win rate and $50,900 profit.
Trading was nearly 300 times the historical volume baseline, while Spirit selling reinforced the MOUZ direction.
The cluster entered mostly between 48¢ and 74¢, suggesting substantial conviction even though MOUZ later traded near 46¢.

$74,826 on MOUZ

93% winner scaling into Spirit

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate is adding to Spirit alongside three other one-sided wallets amid a major volume surge.

This bettor has won 26 of 28 resolved trades and is up $66,881 on $272,272 invested.
They added $1,490 to Spirit while three other wallets bought the same outcome, totaling $11,180.
Market volume surged to 28.7 times its usual level, although Spirit has since fallen from the 47¢ entry to 38¢.

$1,490 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp bettor leads Spirit cluster

Three wallets bought Spirit for $4,470, including a highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor, creating a meaningful one-sided signal despite Spirit trading near even odds.

A bettor with 93% wins across 28 resolved positions and $66,881 profit bought Spirit at 47¢.
Three wallets committed $4,470 to Spirit, including two fresh 47¢ purchases while the market priced Spirit at 48%.
Two participants were already holding MOUZ positions, making their shift toward Spirit a notable directional signal.

$4,470 on Spirit

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 24658569, $72,747 (63% win rate)
0x6236...08d2 — Outcome 24658569, $10,375 (99% win rate)
0x0478...37c3 — Outcome 24658569, $7,176 (95% win rate)
0x568d...87d0 — Outcome 24658569, $5,000 (86% win rate)
0x35f8...daa1 — Outcome 24658569, $4,315 (53% win rate)
0x2bc1...c26b — Outcome 24658569, $4,118 (93% win rate)
0xe40e...9770 — Outcome 24658569, $3,615 (94% win rate)
0x880b...c98b — Outcome 24658569, $3,559 (73% win rate)
0xc186...e96e — Outcome 24658569, $3,214
0x8a0c...6ca7 — Outcome 24658569, $2,889 (97% win rate)

Related Theses

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Resolved$80,786 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “MOUZ”

102¢

65¢

29¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction