Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Spirit and MOUZ in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,958.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Spirit add-on cluster

Four wallets added about $5,495 to Spirit during a sharp volume spike, though all already held Spirit and their records provide limited evidence of an edge.

  • Four wallets bought Spirit within minutes, adding about $5,495 to the same side.
  • The buys came during a reported 33.5× volume spike; all four wallets already held sizable Spirit positions.
  • Two wallets have positive lifetime P&L, but their 50% win rates do not clearly show an edge at their typical odds.

$8,890 on Spirit

Profitable serial trader adding to MOUZ

A highly profitable serial trader with a 75% win rate and over $1.5M in P&L added to an existing MOUZ position during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 630 resolved bets and is up over $1.5M.
  • They added to an existing MOUZ position at 41¢ as market activity spiked 32.6× above average.
  • MOUZ was trading at 42¢, close to this trader’s 41¢ entry.

$1,456 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 75%

$8.9M winning bettor backs MOUZ

A highly experienced, strongly profitable bettor backed MOUZ at 42¢, supported by an exceptional record across tens of thousands of resolved markets.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 37,741 resolved bets and is up $8.9M overall.
  • They bought MOUZ at 42¢; the market has since moved to 44¢.

$1,385 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial bettor takes both sides

A highly profitable, experienced bettor placed over $10,000 in this low-volume market, though buying both outcomes makes the directional signal unclear.

  • This bettor has 37,741 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and +$8.9M lifetime P&L.
  • They put $10,420 into a market with only $35 in reported 24-hour volume, spending more on MOUZ.
  • The position includes both Spirit and MOUZ, so it is not a clear one-way conviction bet.

$11,806 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial bettor takes both sides

A highly profitable, experienced bettor placed over $10,000 in this low-volume market, though buying both outcomes makes the directional signal unclear.

  • This bettor has 37,741 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and +$8.9M lifetime P&L.
  • They put $10,420 into a market with only $35 in reported 24-hour volume, spending more on MOUZ.
  • The position includes both Spirit and MOUZ, so it is not a clear one-way conviction bet.

$10,421 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe2d0...7bbf — Spirit, $16,538 (74% win rate)
  2. 0xfd35...f5cd — Spirit, $12,348 (85% win rate)
  3. 0xa103...1c14 — Spirit, $12,000 (80% win rate)
  4. 0x495d...68d8 — Spirit, $11,346 (73% win rate)
  5. 0xfb07...e2cc — Spirit, $10,175 (95% win rate)
  6. 0x52ec...a6f3 — Spirit, $10,000 (70% win rate)
  7. 0xfeb9...95c9 — Spirit, $7,117 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x2772...ac19 — Spirit, $6,125 (81% win rate)
  9. 0x9e04...28a9 — Spirit, $5,000 (60% win rate)
  10. 0x1680...490d — Spirit, $4,755 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt

Covers 3 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

G2 wins in three maps

Covers 3 related markets

Cloud9 wins a five-game series

Covers 3 related markets

KOI wins series after 1-1 start

Covers 4 related markets

Cloud9 beats LYON in series

Covers 3 related markets

Team WE stages impossible comeback

Covers 3 related markets

MOUZ rallies from Map 1 loss

Covers 3 related markets

MOUZ wins Map 1, Spirit series

Covers 3 related markets

Hanjin Brion sweeps LGD

Covers 4 related markets

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$33,958 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Spirit
0¢
MOUZ
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Spirit and MOUZ in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

2026-10-05 15:44 UTC

$8,890 on Spirit at 57¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

2026-10-05 13:45 UTC

$1,456 on MOUZ at 41¢

41¢→100¢↑59¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

2026-10-05 13:26 UTC

$1,385 on MOUZ at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

2026-10-05 13:24 UTC

$11,806 on MOUZ at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

2026-10-05 13:16 UTC

$10,421 on MOUZ at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15…Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in …
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
G2 wins in three maps
Wallet_0x880b1 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…
Cloud9 wins a five-game series
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - G…LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO…Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cl…
KOI wins series after 1-1 start
Wallet_0x076da trades 4 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Mo…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …
Cloud9 beats LYON in series
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 W…LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LC…LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 W…
Team WE stages impossible comeback
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (…LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION -…LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION -…
MOUZ rallies from Map 1 loss
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…
MOUZ wins Map 1, Spirit series
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit…Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit…Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOU…
Hanjin Brion sweeps LGD
Wallet_0x076da trades 4 related markets
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gamin…LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gamin…LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gamin…