Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Map 2 in the Counter-Strike quarterfinal between Spirit and MOUZ at the IEM Rio Playoffs, scheduled for April 17. The market resolves to the team that wins Map 2, even if the full match is not completed, as long as Map 2 finishes. With nearly $20K in tracked smart money and recent signals on both sides, traders are watching this market closely for live odds and sentiment shifts.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Spirit and MOUZ in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $96,095.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
79% win-rate esports bettor
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 79% win rate bought Spirit at 90¢ during a sharp pre-event surge and was quickly proven right as the market jumped to 100%.
- This bettor has won 245 of 311 resolved trades across 256 markets and has handled over $1.24M in volume
- They bought Spirit at 90¢ just as the market ripped higher, and the price moved to 100% within minutes
- The market saw a 54x volume spike before resolution, which supports the move as informed momentum rather than routine flow
$5,105 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 79%
5-wallet MOUZ pile-in
Five wallets with substantial betting history piled into MOUZ around 48-66¢ via direct buys and equivalent Spirit sells, creating a strong coordinated signal in an esports market that immediately moved hard against them.
- Five wallets bet the same side within minutes, putting nearly $14.9k behind MOUZ.
- Several of these wallets are proven long-term winners, including one up $260k and another up $343k.
- They entered around 48-66¢ before the market snapped to MOUZ effectively 0¢, showing a fast decisive move.
$14,874 on MOUZ
79% win-rate sports bettor
A proven high-volume sports trader with a 79% win rate bought Spirit after a sharp volume and price surge, suggesting informed momentum rather than routine flow.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved markets across 311 bets and has traded over $1.2M across 180 events.
- They bought $7.9k of Spirit at 87¢ as this market surged 16.5 points in 5 minutes on a 30.9x volume spike.
- The market is still liquid, but 87¢ shows strong confidence in Spirit with only a 1¢ spread.
$7,851 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 79%
98% winner joins 7-wallet cluster
A proven elite sports bettor with a 98% win rate bought into the same side as a 7-wallet cluster during a massive pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
- Seven wallets all bought MOUZ, putting over $30.6k behind the same view.
- They entered at 46¢ and the market is now 36¢, offering a better price than the original buy.
$9,047 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 98%
7-wallet MOUZ cluster
A proven high-volume sports trader joined a 7-wallet, $30.6k one-sided move into MOUZ during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated contrarian bet worth watching despite the price already moving lower.
- 7 wallets piled into MOUZ for $30.6k total, showing coordinated conviction on one side
- This wallet has 1,311 resolved bets, wins 60% of them, and is up $60k overall
- They bought MOUZ at 46¢ during a 317x volume spike; the market is now 36¢, so the entry already got meaningfully better
$996 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp 6-wallet MOUZ cluster
A 6-wallet cluster put nearly $29k on MOUZ, led by two extremely profitable high-volume bettors with 84% and 98% win rates, making this coordinated esports flow worth surfacing despite some mixed market participation.
- Two proven winners led this move: one wallet wins 98% of 337 bets and is up $3.0M, another wins 84% of 912 bets and is up $1.46M.
- Six wallets piled nearly $29k into MOUZ within minutes, showing concentrated conviction at 43-46¢.
- The market also saw a 421x volume spike, suggesting unusually strong positioning ahead of the map result.
$28,943 on MOUZ
Sharp cross-market bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with a strong long-term record joined a 5-wallet one-sided push into Spirit during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a credible momentum-and-conviction signal.
- This bettor has won 63% of 860 resolved markets and is up $371k lifetime.
- Five wallets all bought Spirit, totaling $13.5k, during a 486x surge in market activity.
- The entry was 57¢ in a liquid market, suggesting conviction rather than a random thin-market punt.
$8,147 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp bettor joins 5-wallet pile-in
A profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate joined four other wallets buying Spirit during a massive pre-match volume surge, creating a coordinated directional signal worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up nearly $70k across 264 resolved bets
- Five wallets all bought Spirit for a combined $13.5k as volume ran 486x above normal
- The trade went in at 58¢, close to the current 57¢ ask, so the signal is still reasonably followable
$1,382 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 77%
4-wallet Spirit surge
Four wallets piled into Spirit for $18.5k during a sharp pre-match move, with two getting in at 56-58¢ before the market jumped to 78%, making this coordinated momentum flow worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
- Four wallets bought $18.5k of Spirit in a coordinated burst as the price jumped 21 points
- Two of the buys landed early at 56-58¢ and are already sitting on a strong mark-to-market gain at 78¢
- One wallet is a repeat cross-market bettor across 29 events, and another is a new 4-hour-old wallet already firing multiple large bets
$18,526 on Spirit
93% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% win rate bought MOUZ at 48¢ in a moderately thin market, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades and is up about $201k overall
- They bought MOUZ at 48¢, a near coin-flip price that suggests they see clear value
- Their $1.2k order made up 54% of the market's recent volume, showing real conviction
$1,223 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Spirit, $60,675 (63% win rate)
- 0xf988...d63b — MOUZ, $30,820 (84% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — MOUZ, $19,851 (98% win rate)
- 0x14f1...4a46 — Spirit, $12,222
- 0x8cbf...0eb4 — MOUZ, $10,000 (71% win rate)
- 0xa69d...509b — Spirit, $10,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x9ad6...4251 — Spirit, $9,344
- 0xc6c3...1ab9 — Spirit, $9,000 (15% win rate)
- 0xba38...e406 — MOUZ, $8,967 (52% win rate)
- 0x3993...cded — MOUZ, $8,565 (68% win rate)
