Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Open Porto Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 3 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 3 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 3. If Map 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $225,076.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp wallets made an $80K MOUZ bet
Four wallets, including two highly profitable bettors, concentrated $80.8K on MOUZ at 38-40% amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, making this a notable high-conviction but now heavily underwater trade.
- Four wallets committed $80,769 to MOUZ at 38-40%, creating a strongly coordinated position.
- The largest bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.65M, while another wins 81% and is up $3.53M.
- The bet coincided with a 107.9x volume spike, although MOUZ has since fallen to roughly 2% implied probability.
$80,769 on MOUZ
93% winner adding to MOUZ
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial event-wide positioning is adding to an existing MOUZ position during a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 26 of 28 resolved trades and is up $1.39M, with entries averaging 55%.
- They are adding $9,900 to an existing $105,000 MOUZ position while three event markets show $147,612 of related activity.
- The market saw a 93x historical volume spike, and MOUZ is available near the bettor’s 33¢ entry.
$26,241 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp esports bettor backs MOUZ
A highly proven esports trader with an 81% win rate and substantial edge is buying MOUZ at 36% amid a 100.9x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 81% of 268 resolved positions and is up $394,654.
- They are backing MOUZ at 36%, implying nearly 2.8x gross payout if the underdog wins.
- The trade coincides with a 100.9x historical volume spike, adding unusual market activity to the signal.
$1,598 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp bettors backing Spirit
A large one-sided Spirit surge combines a 22-wallet, $95.7K buying cluster with several highly profitable bettors and a sharp move from roughly 63-66% to 78%.
- 22 wallets committed $95,659 to Spirit, with most entries between 62¢ and 66¢.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including 92% wins at 63¢ average odds and 85% wins at 59¢.
- Spirit rose to 78% after the buying wave, alongside a 351x historical volume spike.
$95,659 on Spirit
93% winner adding to MOUZ
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial event-wide positioning is adding to an existing MOUZ position during a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 26 of 28 resolved trades and is up $1.39M, with entries averaging 55%.
- They are adding $9,900 to an existing $105,000 MOUZ position while three event markets show $147,612 of related activity.
- The market saw a 93x historical volume spike, and MOUZ is available near the bettor’s 33¢ entry.
$9,900 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 95%
20-0 sharp scaling into Spirit
A highly profitable bettor with a 20-0 record and substantial edge is adding $4,880 to Spirit while maintaining a broader winning event thesis.
- This bettor has won all 20 resolved trades, averaging 59¢ entries while generating a 41-point edge.
- They added $4,880 to Spirit at 67¢ despite already holding a $7,298 position.
- The wallet has won all four tracked bets across this event, reinforcing the directional thesis.
$4,880 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial bettor backs Spirit
A highly experienced serial trader with a 74% win rate and substantial positive P&L placed a concentrated $6,029 bet on Spirit, representing nearly all 24-hour volume.
- This bettor has won 74% of 551 resolved trades and is up $1.17M lifetime.
- The $6,029 Spirit position accounts for 97% of the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction.
- The trade was entered at 59¢ while Spirit is currently around 58–59¢, with a tight 1¢ spread.
$6,029 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x7c37...6aeb — MOUZ, $433,830 (95% win rate)
- 0x2089...712e — MOUZ, $54,387 (92% win rate)
- 0x79ae...9a4a — MOUZ, $44,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x6e9f...0eae — MOUZ, $30,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x96f7...d6ae — MOUZ, $24,822 (81% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — MOUZ, $20,000 (82% win rate)
- 0x74b7...8b0b — MOUZ, $20,000 (91% win rate)
- 0x7124...cc9c — MOUZ, $16,127 (85% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — MOUZ, $9,160 (65% win rate)
- 0x85fb...89ba — MOUZ, $8,100 (90% win rate)
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