Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike BO3 semifinal between Spirit and Team Falcons at the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, scheduled for June 20 at 1:00 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with PolySpotter tracking $2,000 in smart money and 1 signal, including recent sharp activity backing Spirit. Check the live market for current odds before trading, as esports prices can move quickly near match time.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 20 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,865.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Proven 78% winner
Sharp esports/sports-style bettor with a 78% long-run win record and strong profitability is buying Spirit at 58¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $56.8K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record across 25 events with the same 78% hit rate.
- Buying Spirit at 58¢ implies they see value despite a liquid, tight market.
$2,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp esports winner buying Spirit
Sharp bettor with an 86% win rate and $483k lifetime profit bought Spirit at 57%, making this a copy-worthy esports position despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $483k lifetime.
- They have 258 resolved positions, so the track record is much stronger than a one-off hot streak.
- Entry at 57¢ implies they see Spirit as underpriced in a liquid playoff market.
$4,162 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 86%
96% winner backs Spirit
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $16.2k of Spirit, making this a strong copy-trade candidate.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $149k lifetime.
- They put $16.2k on Spirit at 57¢ in a liquid esports market.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 35 events with the same 96% win rate.
$16,220 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%
81% winner backs Spirit
Sharp esports bettor with an 81% long-term win rate and $131k profit is buying Spirit at 57¢ despite only modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $131,669 lifetime.
- They have traded 142 related events, suggesting a repeatable edge in sports and esports markets.
- Entry at 57¢ implies they see Spirit as meaningfully underpriced versus the current market.
$1,425 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 81%
94% winner backs Spirit
Sharp esports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought $3,000 of Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up $13.8K lifetime.
- They bought $3,000 of Spirit at 57¢, implying confidence despite a fairly liquid market.
- Market volume is running 32.6x above its historical average before the match.
$2,947 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%
94% winner backs Spirit
Sharp esports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought $3,000 of Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up $13.8K lifetime.
- They bought $3,000 of Spirit at 57¢, implying confidence despite a fairly liquid market.
- Market volume is running 32.6x above its historical average before the match.
$3,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%
85% winner backs underdog
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Team Falcons at 45¢ despite the market pricing them as underdogs.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $21,008 lifetime.
- They are backing Team Falcons at 45¢, against a market currently pricing them around 44%.
- The wallet has 33 resolved positions and has been flagged repeatedly, suggesting a consistent edge.
$2,025 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader with a large winning history is buying Spirit for $11k at 55¢.
- This bettor is up $718k lifetime across 440 resolved bets.
- They have traded 200 events and won 62% of resolved positions.
- An $11k buy at 55¢ signals conviction on Spirit in a liquid market.
$11,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved sample is buying Team Falcons at 45¢ despite only modest alert severity.
- This bettor has won 68% of 1,306 resolved trades and is up $714K lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $3.4M deployed across 567 markets.
- Entry at 45¢ implies they see Team Falcons as a roughly 2.2x payout opportunity.
$2,256 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 68%
Proven esports sharp
Surface despite the weak detector because the wallet has a long, highly profitable record and is buying Spirit at 56¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $560K lifetime.
- They have a large sample: 634 resolved bets with $2.29M invested.
- Entry at 56¢ implies they see Spirit as meaningfully better than a coin flip.
$2,554 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x5966...f804 — Team Falcons, $199,999 (94% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — Spirit, $44,683 (57% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Team Falcons, $30,000 (68% win rate)
- 0x0336...4bb0 — Spirit, $28,456 (96% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — Spirit, $20,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Spirit, $20,000 (75% win rate)
- 0xdcaf...e271 — Spirit, $20,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — Spirit, $17,996 (68% win rate)
- 0x3da8...80c3 — Spirit, $17,743 (95% win rate)
- 0xa819...8085 — Spirit, $13,555 (60% win rate)
Related Theses
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Covers 3 related markets
LYON beats Team Liquid
Covers 3 related markets
G2 beats M80
Covers 1 related market
Natus Vincere beats BetBoom
Covers 1 related market
Top Esports beat NiP
Covers 1 related market
ARCRED beats ASTRAL
Covers 1 related market
Iran wins on June 15
Covers 1 related market
Tundra beats Xtreme Gaming
Covers 1 related market
Top Esports wins Game 3
Covers 1 related market
Tirante beats Davidovich Fokina
Covers 1 related market
