Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Map 2 winner between TheMongolz and G2 in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 3 match at the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to TheMongolz or G2 based on who wins Map 2, with smart money activity showing $21,235 tracked across 6 signals, including recent sharp interest around G2 and underdog positioning. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 11, 2026, after the Map 2 result is determined.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between TheMongolz and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,762.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster backing G2
Three proven esports/sports wallets, including a 92% winner up $2.26M, all positioned on G2 amid a sharp pre-event move and one-sided flow.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.26M bought G2 heavily.
- Three wallets all backed the same side for $9.4K, including two profitable high-volume traders.
- G2 saw a fast price move during a 15.9x volume spike, suggesting the market was reacting to sharp flow.
$9,396 on G2
92% winner on G2
A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate bought G2, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 92% of 1,029 resolved trades and is up $2.26M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.5M tracked across 397 markets.
- G2 was bought at 87¢, but the market now shows 22¢, so the entry has moved heavily against them.
$1,740 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought TheMongolz despite a sharp market move against the outcome, with supporting volume and price-impact signals.
- This bettor has a long track record: 69% wins across 938 resolved bets and about $718k in profit.
- They are highly active across related markets, with $2.4M traded over 303 events.
- TheMongolz has fallen from their 62¢ entry to 48¢, offering a cheaper copy price if their read is right.
$2,000 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 69%
80% winner exits favorite
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate exited TheMongolz during a major price drop, effectively backing G2, though it may partly be position management.
- This bettor has won 80% of 327 resolved trades and is up $19.5K lifetime.
- They sold TheMongolz as its price dropped 35%, effectively backing G2 at 55¢.
- The market also saw a 20x volume spike, suggesting broader pre-match momentum against TheMongolz.
$2,953 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought TheMongolz at 27¢ during a high-volume, high-volatility esports market move.
- This bettor has won 63% of 125 resolved trades and is up about $90k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $366k deployed across 76 events.
- TheMongolz was bought at 27¢ in a market that has since moved to 48¢, so the edge may already be partly priced in.
$3,659 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 63%
92% sharp buying G2
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate bought G2 despite the price later drifting against them.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.26M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 311 events with over $3.5M bet.
- G2 was bought at 67¢, but the market is now around 52¢, offering a cheaper entry than the trader paid.
$1,487 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable esports whale
High-volume serial sports/esports bettor with over $2M lifetime profit bought TheMongolz before a rapid 14-point move and broader event positioning.
- This bettor has a massive track record: 26,748 resolved bets and over $2.0M in lifetime profit.
- They bought TheMongolz at 45¢ before the price moved to about 50¢, suggesting they caught early momentum.
- The wallet is active across 3 markets in this same event with about $10.8K positioned.
$1,778 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp cluster backs underdog
Three wallets put $20k on TheMongolz amid a 51x pre-event volume spike, including one perfect 11-0 wallet and a high-volume esports trader up over $2M lifetime.
- Three wallets put $20k on the same side, creating a strong one-way flow before the match.
- One bettor is 11-0 on resolved bets and another is up $2.1M across huge trading volume.
- The best entries were 45–59¢, and the current 50¢ price is still below two large buyers’ entry.
$20,235 on TheMongolz
Elite esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $480k lifetime profit bought TheMongolz on Map 2, reinforced by extensive cross-market success.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $480k lifetime.
- They have traded 157 related events with an 87% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
- Entry at 58¢ implies they still see value despite TheMongolz being the slight favorite.
$2,514 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x598e...7336 — TheMongolz, $18,699 (49% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — G2, $18,650 (56% win rate)
- 0xf4ec...c574 — G2, $15,025 (55% win rate)
- 0x3b4c...e850 — TheMongolz, $13,677
- 0xc6dd...40ce — TheMongolz, $12,939 (63% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — TheMongolz, $7,745
- 0xfa88...85a5 — G2, $7,566 (66% win rate)
- 0x13f0...a50f — TheMongolz, $7,055 (100% win rate)
- 0x6fc4...c89d — TheMongolz, $6,461 (100% win rate)
- 0x9ad6...4251 — TheMongolz, $6,250
