Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Map 2 winner between TheMongolz and G2 in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 3 match at the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to TheMongolz or G2 based on who wins Map 2, with smart money activity showing $21,235 tracked across 6 signals, including recent sharp interest around G2 and underdog positioning. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 11, 2026, after the Map 2 result is determined.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between TheMongolz and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,762.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster backing G2

Three proven esports/sports wallets, including a 92% winner up $2.26M, all positioned on G2 amid a sharp pre-event move and one-sided flow.

  • A bettor who wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.26M bought G2 heavily.
  • Three wallets all backed the same side for $9.4K, including two profitable high-volume traders.
  • G2 saw a fast price move during a 15.9x volume spike, suggesting the market was reacting to sharp flow.

$9,396 on G2

92% winner on G2

A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate bought G2, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 1,029 resolved trades and is up $2.26M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.5M tracked across 397 markets.
  • G2 was bought at 87¢, but the market now shows 22¢, so the entry has moved heavily against them.

$1,740 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought TheMongolz despite a sharp market move against the outcome, with supporting volume and price-impact signals.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 69% wins across 938 resolved bets and about $718k in profit.
  • They are highly active across related markets, with $2.4M traded over 303 events.
  • TheMongolz has fallen from their 62¢ entry to 48¢, offering a cheaper copy price if their read is right.

$2,000 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 69%

80% winner exits favorite

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate exited TheMongolz during a major price drop, effectively backing G2, though it may partly be position management.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 327 resolved trades and is up $19.5K lifetime.
  • They sold TheMongolz as its price dropped 35%, effectively backing G2 at 55¢.
  • The market also saw a 20x volume spike, suggesting broader pre-match momentum against TheMongolz.

$2,953 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought TheMongolz at 27¢ during a high-volume, high-volatility esports market move.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 125 resolved trades and is up about $90k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $366k deployed across 76 events.
  • TheMongolz was bought at 27¢ in a market that has since moved to 48¢, so the edge may already be partly priced in.

$3,659 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 63%

92% sharp buying G2

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate bought G2 despite the price later drifting against them.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.26M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 311 events with over $3.5M bet.
  • G2 was bought at 67¢, but the market is now around 52¢, offering a cheaper entry than the trader paid.

$1,487 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable esports whale

High-volume serial sports/esports bettor with over $2M lifetime profit bought TheMongolz before a rapid 14-point move and broader event positioning.

  • This bettor has a massive track record: 26,748 resolved bets and over $2.0M in lifetime profit.
  • They bought TheMongolz at 45¢ before the price moved to about 50¢, suggesting they caught early momentum.
  • The wallet is active across 3 markets in this same event with about $10.8K positioned.

$1,778 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp cluster backs underdog

Three wallets put $20k on TheMongolz amid a 51x pre-event volume spike, including one perfect 11-0 wallet and a high-volume esports trader up over $2M lifetime.

  • Three wallets put $20k on the same side, creating a strong one-way flow before the match.
  • One bettor is 11-0 on resolved bets and another is up $2.1M across huge trading volume.
  • The best entries were 45–59¢, and the current 50¢ price is still below two large buyers’ entry.

$20,235 on TheMongolz

Elite esports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $480k lifetime profit bought TheMongolz on Map 2, reinforced by extensive cross-market success.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $480k lifetime.
  • They have traded 157 related events with an 87% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
  • Entry at 58¢ implies they still see value despite TheMongolz being the slight favorite.

$2,514 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x598e...7336 TheMongolz, $18,699 (49% win rate)
  2. 0x8c0b...7aa5 G2, $18,650 (56% win rate)
  3. 0xf4ec...c574 G2, $15,025 (55% win rate)
  4. 0x3b4c...e850 TheMongolz, $13,677
  5. 0xc6dd...40ce TheMongolz, $12,939 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x0997...c9f6 TheMongolz, $7,745
  7. 0xfa88...85a5 G2, $7,566 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x13f0...a50f TheMongolz, $7,055 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x6fc4...c89d TheMongolz, $6,461 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x9ad6...4251 TheMongolz, $6,250

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

2hCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$45,762 tracked9 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
TheMongolz
100¢
G2
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between TheMongolz and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 2 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “TheMongolz
102¢
74¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

1h ago

$9,396 on G2 at 67¢

67¢0¢67¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,740 on G2 at 87¢

87¢0¢87¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

1h ago

$2,000 on TheMongolz at 62¢

62¢100¢38¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

1h ago

$2,953 on G2 at 55¢

55¢0¢55¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

1h ago

$3,659 on TheMongolz at 27¢

27¢100¢73¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,487 on G2 at 67¢

67¢0¢67¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,778 on TheMongolz at 45¢

45¢100¢55¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

2h ago

$20,235 on TheMongolz at 59¢

59¢100¢41¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

2h ago

$2,514 on TheMongolz at 58¢

58¢100¢42¢

Related Theses