Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 match between TheMongolz and Team Falcons in Round 4 of the PGL Astana Group Stage. PolySpotter is tracking $1,630 in smart money and 1 recent sharp signal on this esports market, which is scheduled to resolve on May 12, 2026, once a match winner is determined.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between TheMongolz and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,158.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and over $1.1M lifetime profit bought TheMongolz at 35¢.

  • This bettor is up $1.13M lifetime across 791 resolved bets.
  • They win 73% of resolved trades while usually entering around 45¢ odds.
  • They have traded 42 related events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.

$1,630 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with 545 resolved trades is buying Team Falcons at 64¢ in a moderately thin esports market.

  • This bettor wins 61% of resolved trades and is up $82k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 30 related events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports/esports strategy.
  • Entry at 64¢ implies they see Team Falcons as a solid favorite despite modest market volume.

$1,527 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5faf...1183 TheMongolz, $17,144 (32% win rate)
  2. 0x8cbf...0eb4 Team Falcons, $10,000 (78% win rate)
  3. 0xa7df...5eee Team Falcons, $8,765 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x30c7...ac3b Team Falcons, $8,444 (61% win rate)
  5. 0x4b59...3aa6 Team Falcons, $6,026 (61% win rate)
  6. 0xdd88...dadb TheMongolz, $6,000 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x7645...3117 Team Falcons, $6,000 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x182d...73e9 Team Falcons, $5,557 (39% win rate)
  9. 0x29b5...cc6c TheMongolz, $5,089 (58% win rate)
  10. 0xef26...05ba TheMongolz, $4,658 (73% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

12hCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$3,158 tracked2 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
TheMongolz
37¢
Team Falcons
64¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between TheMongolz and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Falcons
67¢
65¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2h ago

$1,630 on TheMongolz at 35¢

35¢37¢2¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

4h ago

$1,527 on Team Falcons at 64¢

64¢64¢

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