When does the TheMongolz vs Falcons market resolve?

The market is set to resolve after the Map 1 result is known, with the listed resolution date of May 12, 2026 at 13:45 UTC. If Map 1 is completed with a winner, the market resolves based on that result.

What happens if the match is not fully completed?

If the match begins but is not completed, the market can still resolve as long as Map 1 is concluded and an official Map 1 winner is determined. If Map 1 is not completed, resolution depends on the market rules and official Polymarket settlement process.

How much smart money is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter is currently tracking $8,876 in smart money on this market across 3 smart money signals, including alerts from profitable and sharp esports traders.

Why do smart money signals matter for this Counter-Strike market?

Smart money signals highlight activity from historically profitable or sharp traders. In esports markets like TheMongolz vs Team Falcons Map 1, these signals can help users see where experienced Counter-Strike bettors and traders are taking positions.

Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Q: What is the TheMongolz vs Team Falcons Map 1 prediction market?

This market lets traders predict which team will win Map 1 of the Counter-Strike match between TheMongolz and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to either TheMongolz or Team Falcons based on the official Map 1 result.

This Polymarket market predicts the Map 1 winner between TheMongolz and Team Falcons in their Counter-Strike PGL Astana Group Stage Round 4 match. It resolves to the team that wins Map 1, with settlement based on the completed first map if the match starts and Map 1 has an official winner. PolySpotter is tracking $8,876 in smart money across 3 signals, including sharp esports activity and underdog buying alerts.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between TheMongolz and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,198.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly active cross-market sports/esports trader with strong lifetime profit bought $5.1k of Team Falcons amid a pre-event volume spike and rapid price move.

This bettor has a deep track record across 215 resolved markets and is up $126k lifetime.
They bought $5.1k of Team Falcons at 84¢ while the market saw a 19x pre-event volume spike.
The trade followed a fast 11-point move toward Team Falcons, suggesting momentum behind the same side.

$5,094 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 63%

Sharp esports cluster buying underdog

Three wallets are leaning TheMongolz, including a profitable 79% winner and another large profitable sports bettor, though one sell appears to be profit-taking after a Team Falcons position.

A bettor who wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $91.7K is buying TheMongolz as the underdog.
Three wallets put $5.7K on the same side, including one with $262K lifetime profit across 1,847 resolved bets.
The best copy entry is now around 25¢, well below the cluster’s 40–55¢ buy prices.

$5,679 on TheMongolz

Sharp serial esports trader

Sharp esports bettor with a 79% win rate and strong cross-market history bought TheMongolz despite a subsequent price drop.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $91.7K lifetime.
They have traded across 29 related events, suggesting a repeat sports/esports edge rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 40¢ implies they saw TheMongolz as underpriced, though the market has since moved down to 34¢.

$1,000 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial esports trader

Serial cross-market sports/esports trader with a long profitable record bought TheMongolz at 55¢ before a sharp move down to 34¢, making the wallet track record the main reason to watch despite adverse price action.

This bettor has a large track record: 1,847 resolved trades, 61% winners, and about $262k profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 237 events, suggesting a repeatable sports and esports betting process.
The entry was 55¢, but the market has moved against them to 34¢, so this is a follow-the-bettor signal rather than momentum.

$2,197 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable esports cluster

Four profitable/serial sports wallets bought the same underdog side for $7.2k, including a 79% winner with strong lifetime P&L, making this coordinated esports flow worth surfacing despite the price moving against them so far.

Four wallets bought the same side for $7.2k, including multiple long-term profitable bettors.
The strongest wallet wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $91.7k lifetime.
Current odds are 34%, below most of their 40–55¢ entries, so copy entries are cheaper than the cluster paid.

$7,229 on TheMongolz