Part of: Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Vitality and Natus Vincere in the PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 29, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $311,866.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp-backed Vitality buying cluster
A $60k, 12-wallet Vitality buying cluster coincides with a volume spike and unusually strong historical records, though substantial NAVI buying makes the market direction less unanimous.
- Twelve wallets bought Vitality for about $60,000, alongside a 14× volume spike.
- One participating bettor has a 98% record across 547 resolved positions; another tracked bettor is 86% across 250.
- There is also $34,800 in NAVI buying, so the flow is not unanimous.
$52,913 on Vitality
Sharp bettors backing NAVI together
Ten wallets put about $125,000 into Natus Vincere, including several highly profitable bettors with unusually strong records, despite smaller opposing Vitality flow.
- Ten wallets bought about $125,000 of Natus Vincere, far outweighing roughly $28,500 in opposing Vitality buys.
- Two participants have standout records: one wins 96% across 1,036 positions and another 92% across 444, with multimillion-dollar profits.
- Most of the NAVI buying was around 56–58¢, near the market’s current 56% odds; some wallets were adding to existing positions.
$116,096 on Natus Vincere
86-win bettor adding to Vitality
A highly profitable bettor with 86 wins from 86 resolved positions added roughly $77,000 to Vitality at prices below current odds, alongside a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won all 86 resolved positions and is up about $1.91 million.
- They added about $77,000 on Vitality at 63¢–72¢; the current market price is around 79¢.
- Market volume spiked to 53 times its historical average during the trading window.
$77,471 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 99%
95% winner adding to NAVI
A highly profitable bettor with 423 resolved positions is adding to an existing Natus Vincere position amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 403 of 423 resolved positions and is up $5.9M.
- They added nearly $20K to an existing Natus Vincere position at 30¢, near their 30¢ average entry.
- Trading activity was 69 times the market’s historical average, with 24-hour volume above $262K.
$19,856 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 95%
Proven 79% winner adding to Vitality
A highly profitable bettor with 79% wins and a strong record is adding to a Vitality position amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 79% of 549 resolved trades and is up $175,452.
- They added $5,594 to an existing Vitality position at 70¢ as market volume spiked 69× its historical average.
- The wallet has traded across 220 events, suggesting a sustained, repeatable track record.
$5,594 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable serial trader adding to Vitality
A profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate is adding to an existing Vitality position at 71¢.
- This bettor has won 80% of 305 resolved bets and is up $174,238.
- They are adding $2,000 to an existing Vitality position at 71¢; the market is liquid with a 1¢ spread.
$3,000 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial market trader
A highly active, strongly profitable trader bought Vitality amid a 69× pre-event volume spike, though the individual stake is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This trader is up $1.42M across more than 3,600 resolved bets.
- They bought Vitality at 70¢ as activity surged to 69× its historical average.
$2,629 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 63%
New whale adding to Vitality
A very new wallet is building a roughly $70,000 Vitality position as activity in the market spikes, though it has no resolved track record.
- A wallet less than three hours old has committed about $70,000 to Vitality, including this $29,471 add-on.
- Market activity is running 69 times above its historical average, adding support to the timing of the position.
- The wallet has no resolved positions, so its betting skill is not yet established.
$29,471 on Vitality
Profitable serial trader adding to Vitality
A profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate is adding to an existing Vitality position at 71¢.
- This bettor has won 80% of 305 resolved bets and is up $174,238.
- They are adding $2,000 to an existing Vitality position at 71¢; the market is liquid with a 1¢ spread.
$2,000 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 80%
Proven bettor adding to Vitality
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and strong cross-market history added to an existing Vitality position.
- This bettor has won 81% of 128 resolved trades and is up $313K.
- A serial cross-market trader active across 42 events, they added $2,836 to an existing Vitality position.
- Vitality was bought at 73¢, with the market currently near 72¢.
$2,836 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xb208...c095 — Natus Vincere, $122,953 (95% win rate)
- 0x79ae...9a4a — Natus Vincere, $99,888 (95% win rate)
- 0x494e...6f79 — Natus Vincere, $97,223
- 0x5fdd...a747 — Natus Vincere, $76,324 (96% win rate)
- 0xf559...f462 — Natus Vincere, $58,713 (92% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — Natus Vincere, $40,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x84ec...72c1 — Natus Vincere, $30,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x9609...a48d — Natus Vincere, $27,855 (86% win rate)
- 0x4468...b165 — Natus Vincere, $25,000 (57% win rate)
- 0x495d...68d8 — Natus Vincere, $17,241 (73% win rate)
Related Theses
BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series
Covers 3 related markets
Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals
Covers 3 related markets
Team Spirit completes reverse sweep
Covers 4 related markets
MOUZ will beat Spirit in series
Covers 4 related markets
Natus Vincere wins series and games
Covers 3 related markets
JD Gaming wins every game
Covers 3 related markets
Movistar KOI win series, split games
Covers 4 related markets
Global Esports beats LOUD
Covers 3 related markets
Astralis wins the BO5 series
Covers 5 related markets
M80 sweeps TYLOO in series
Covers 3 related markets
