Part of: Panama vs. Croatia - Halftime Result
Croatia leading at halftime?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,146.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp linked No cluster
Strong one-sided No flow from five wallets, including linked funding and multiple profitable sharp bettors, drove a large move before the match.
- Five wallets bought $18.3K of No in the same window, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- Several buyers have strong records, including one up $58.8K with 78% wins and another up $84.9K with 71% wins.
- The market quickly moved from roughly 57¢ to 70¢ on No after a 93x pre-event volume spike.
$23,402 on No
Serial sports trader buying Yes
High composite alert from a heavily active cross-market sports trader plus one-sided Yes flow and a major pre-event volume spike, though the entry has moved sharply against them.
- This bettor has traded 444 markets across 252 events with a 72% hit rate.
- Three wallets are all buying the same Yes outcome, totaling about $12K in one-sided flow.
- Yes has fallen from this bettor’s 53¢ entry to 36¢, so the market is offering a much cheaper follow price now.
$1,198 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
88% winner buying NO
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and $841k lifetime profit bought No at 48¢ on a Croatia halftime market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $841k lifetime.
- They have traded 219 events with the same strong track record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying No at 48¢ goes against recent Yes momentum, implying they see Croatia leading at halftime as overpriced.
$1,920 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable bettor joins Yes cluster
A modest 3-wallet Yes cluster is worth surfacing because it includes a profitable repeat bettor up $357k lifetime and the market is now cheaper than their entries.
- A profitable bettor in the cluster wins 67% of resolved bets and is up $357k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $5.6k of Yes within minutes, all paying 50–53¢.
- The market is now 46¢, giving a cheaper entry than the cluster paid.
$5,597 on Yes
86% winner buying Yes
Sharp bettor with an 86% historical win rate and strong positive P&L bought Yes on Croatia leading at halftime at 49¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $35.3K lifetime.
- Their wins come at an average 46¢ entry, suggesting a strong history of finding mispriced odds.
- Entry at 49¢ implies they see Croatia leading at halftime as better than a coin flip.
$1,029 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x15ec...267d — Outcome 69662897, $41,039 (76% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 69662897, $12,242 (55% win rate)
- 0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 69662897, $11,800 (68% win rate)
- 0xc087...dbba — Outcome 69662897, $11,538 (66% win rate)
- 0x4770...1dde — Outcome 69662897, $5,622 (86% win rate)
- 0x2584...8018 — Outcome 69662897, $4,438 (88% win rate)
- 0x03f4...7e44 — Outcome 69662897, $4,000 (61% win rate)
- 0xd4da...3175 — Outcome 69662897, $3,598 (52% win rate)
- 0xf536...1579 — Outcome 69662897, $3,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x9caf...94dc — Outcome 69662897, $2,885 (59% win rate)
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