Part of: Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $149,669.

Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis

Notable Trades

Profitable whale adding

Profitable high-volume sports wallet is adding to a large Camilo Ugo Carabelli position as pre-match volume spikes and the price has already moved up from entry.

This bettor is up about $3.2M lifetime and has traded across 176 events.
They already had about $201K on Camilo and added another $33K at 41¢.
Camilo has moved from their 41¢ entry to about 46¢ as pre-match volume surged.

$2,627 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable sports whale chasing move

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought into a tennis price move during a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the market has since retraced below their entry.

This bettor is up $1.8M lifetime across more than 21,000 resolved trades.
The market saw a huge pre-match volume spike and a 16-point move toward Pablo Carreno Busta.
Their 73¢ entry is above the current 68¢ price, so the market is offering a better level than they paid.

$2,710 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 55%

8-wallet linked cluster

Strong one-sided tennis flow: 8 wallets, including 4 linked by funder, bought Pablo Carreno Busta during a massive pre-event volume spike.

8 wallets bought the same side for $63K, with 4 tied to the same funder.
Market activity spiked about 2,915x normal before the match, suggesting coordinated conviction.
This wallet added $12.3K after already holding a large Pablo position and is up $1.83M lifetime.

$12,269 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 55%

Six-wallet sharp tennis sweep

Six wallets pushed nearly $55k into Camilo Ugo Carabelli, including sharp profitable bettors, during a 46x volume spike that moved the market to 100%.

Six wallets bet $54.9k the same way, and Camilo moved from roughly coin-flip prices to 100%.
Two of the larger wallets have strong records: one wins 84% of resolved bets and another wins 78%.
The market saw a 46x volume spike before the result was fully priced in.

$54,939 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Linked 8-wallet tennis cluster

High-conviction coordinated flow: 8 wallets, including 4 linked by funder, bought $63k of Pablo Carreno Busta into a huge pre-event volume spike.

8 wallets bought the same side for $63k, with 4 wallets sharing a funder.
Market volume spiked over 24,000x versus baseline before the match.
Several wallets are adding to existing Pablo positions, and the current price is below their 58¢ entry.

$40,404 on Pablo Carreno Busta

Profitable whale adding

Profitable high-volume sports wallet is adding to a large Camilo Ugo Carabelli position as pre-match volume spikes and the price has already moved up from entry.

This bettor is up about $3.2M lifetime and has traded across 176 events.
They already had about $201K on Camilo and added another $33K at 41¢.
Camilo has moved from their 41¢ entry to about 46¢ as pre-match volume surged.

$32,968 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable sports whale chasing move

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought into a tennis price move during a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the market has since retraced below their entry.

This bettor is up $1.8M lifetime across more than 21,000 resolved trades.
The market saw a huge pre-match volume spike and a 16-point move toward Pablo Carreno Busta.
Their 73¢ entry is above the current 68¢ price, so the market is offering a better level than they paid.

$3,751 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 55%