Part of: Croatia vs. Ghana - More Markets
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $76,402.
Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Coordinated Yes flow
Coordinated Yes-side flow and a 36.7x pre-event volume spike make this worth watching, though this wallet’s trade is mainly closing a prior No position.
- Three wallets are all moving toward Yes, totaling about $25k on the same side.
- Market activity spiked 36.7x versus normal, suggesting fresh attention before the match.
- This bettor has a long record across 755 resolved markets with a 67% win rate and modest positive profit.
$1,321 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Sharp five-wallet No cluster
Five wallets bought $27.4k of No, led by highly profitable sharp bettors with 95% and 99% historical win rates, alongside a major event-wide cross-market position.
- A bettor who wins 95% of resolved positions and is up $1.23M bought heavily at 68¢.
- Five wallets put $27.4k on the same No outcome, and the price has already moved from 68¢ to 75¢.
- This is part of a broader $105k position across 15 markets in the same event.
$27,436 on No
85% winner buying Yes
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 46¢ on a liquid World Cup scoring market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $11.7K lifetime.
- They have 53 resolved positions, so the track record is more meaningful than a one-off hit.
- Entry at 46¢ implies they see better-than-even value on both teams scoring.
$1,038 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
$4.2M serial trader
A massively experienced, profitable cross-market trader bought No amid a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the individual trade is modest versus market liquidity.
- This bettor has traded 48,898 resolved markets and is up about $4.2M lifetime.
- They bought No at 54¢, and the market has already moved to 57¢.
- Market activity spiked 35.5x above its usual pace before the game.
$1,912 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
90% win-rate sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 90% long-term win rate and nearly $3M profit bought No on both teams scoring.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
- They are a serious cross-market sports trader, with $5.6M placed across 795 events.
- They bought No at 54¢, betting that at least one team fails to score.
$3,285 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
85% winner buying Yes
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 46¢ on a liquid World Cup scoring market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $11.7K lifetime.
- They have 53 resolved positions, so the track record is more meaningful than a one-off hit.
- Entry at 46¢ implies they see better-than-even value on both teams scoring.
$4,600 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Coordinated Yes dip-buyers
High-scoring coordinated Yes flow with a 39x volume spike and cross-market activity, though the largest buyer has poor lifetime results.
- Three wallets put $32.7k on Yes, with most of the buying after the price fell toward 34¢.
- Market volume is 39x normal, suggesting unusually heavy positioning before kickoff.
- One participant has won 79% of 271 resolved bets, though the largest buyer is down lifetime.
$32,651 on Yes
91% winner buys BTTS
Surface: a highly proven sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Yes at 45¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $88K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 63 events, with $202K tracked in that pattern.
- Entry at 45¢ implies they see Both Teams to Score as underpriced despite the market sitting near 44–45¢.
$1,804 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
84% winner buying No
Sharp sports bettor with an 84% historical win rate and $200k profit bought No at 56% on a liquid BTTS market.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $200k lifetime.
- They have a strong 146-bet track record, beating their average entry odds by about 32 points.
- They bought No at 56%, taking the side that at least one team fails to score.
$1,120 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable new sports wallet
A week-old wallet with a 4-for-4 early record and positive P&L is taking a modest but directional sports position on No at 55¢.
- This new wallet is 4-for-4 so far and up $1.4k in its first week.
- It bought $1.2k of No at 55¢, backing at least one team not to score.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so the entry price looks clean.
$1,235 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x3b4d...44e5 — Outcome 46911981, $153,186
- 0x2540...6bec — Outcome 46911981, $64,458
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 46911981, $30,080 (95% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 46911981, $26,270 (55% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 46911981, $13,176 (76% win rate)
- 0xd696...8a49 — Outcome 46911981, $6,144 (89% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — Outcome 46911981, $5,490 (68% win rate)
- 0xf363...5b8a — Outcome 46911981, $4,735 (100% win rate)
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 46911981, $4,229 (65% win rate)
- 0xe025...102f — Outcome 46911981, $3,563 (99% win rate)
Related Theses
Belgium advances in low-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Exactly one first-half goal
Covers 3 related markets
