Part of: Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card)
Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card)
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,245.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
97% winner scales into Perez
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $3,000 to an existing Cristian Perez position, while the outcome price has sharply broken higher.
- This bettor has won 121 of 125 resolved positions and is up $361,393 lifetime.
- They added $3,000 to an existing Cristian Perez position at 76–77¢, signaling increased conviction.
- Cristian Perez’s price has risen about 66% beyond its prior observed range, reinforcing the directional move.
$6,500 on Cristian Perez | Wallet win rate: 97%
Elite bettor leads Perez cluster
A concentrated $11.1K Perez position combines a 97% bettor with a major volume spike, although the market has since fallen well below the traders’ entry prices.
- A bettor with 121 wins in 125 resolved positions and $361K profit bought Cristian Perez alongside two other wallets.
- Three wallets committed $11,145, with the bets driving a 119x volume spike in a relatively thin $10.5K-liquidity market.
- Perez is now priced near 62% after these entries around 75–78%, so the signal is compelling but the trade has already moved against the cluster.
$12,645 on Cristian Perez
97% winner scales into Perez
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $3,000 to an existing Cristian Perez position, while the outcome price has sharply broken higher.
- This bettor has won 121 of 125 resolved positions and is up $361,393 lifetime.
- They added $3,000 to an existing Cristian Perez position at 76–77¢, signaling increased conviction.
- Cristian Perez’s price has risen about 66% beyond its prior observed range, reinforcing the directional move.
$3,000 on Cristian Perez | Wallet win rate: 97%
New wallet makes oversized Logan bet
A very new wallet made a trade over 11 times the available liquidity in a severely illiquid fight market, effectively backing Logan Paxton at 89 cents, though the wallet lacks a meaningful track record.
- A 3-day-old wallet traded $1,100 against roughly $95 of liquidity, showing unusually strong conviction in this thin market.
- Selling Cristian Perez at 11¢ is equivalent to buying Logan Paxton at 89¢, far above the displayed 56% market odds.
- The wallet is 1–0 with $722 in reported profit, but that record is too small to establish a reliable edge.
$1,100 on Logan Paxton | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x151e...cede — Outcome 29823732, $8,096 (76% win rate)
- 0x1b8f...cca7 — Outcome 29823732, $1,995 (63% win rate)
- 0x7b0f...4633 — Outcome 29823732, $1,730 (75% win rate)
- 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 29823732, $1,021
- 0x60ec...f7b0 — Outcome 29823732, $970 (70% win rate)
- 0xcbc0...c9e8 — Outcome 29823732, $767 (88% win rate)
- 0x53ad...5bd4 — Outcome 29823732, $727
- 0x5b62...d87f — Outcome 29823732, $603 (81% win rate)
- 0x5b1b...65d7 — Outcome 29823732, $587 (67% win rate)
- 0x5a6a...6d09 — Outcome 29823732, $470
Related Theses
LSU will defeat Clemson
Covers 1 related market
Texas Tech wins by eight or more
Covers 1 related market
Miami-Wake Forest stays low-scoring
Covers 1 related market
Memphis-UNLV game goes over
Covers 1 related market
Michigan State beats Toledo
Covers 1 related market
Rutgers keeps it close
Covers 1 related market
Argentina wins on July 3
Covers 1 related market
Australia advances past Egypt
Covers 1 related market
Morocco advances past Canada
Covers 1 related market
Charlotte will cover the spread
Covers 1 related market
