Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,808.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Linked cluster backs 1win

A nine-wallet, partly linked cluster committed $25.2K to 1win, including several highly profitable bettors, despite the market falling sharply from their roughly 74-cent entries.

  • Nine wallets bought 1win for $25,197, with two wallets linked by a shared funder.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 85% wins at 56-cent average odds and 81% wins at 54-cent odds.
  • The group continued adding despite 1win falling from roughly 74¢ to 60¢, though some wallets also hold Team Nemesis positions as a hedge.

$25,197 on 1win

Serial sharp bettor backs 1win

A proven, highly active bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying 1win at 73%.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 439 resolved trades and is up $146,483 lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry is 68%, making the 73% purchase consistent with a demonstrated edge rather than a routine favorite bet.
  • The $1,500 position is a fresh directional wager in a liquid esports market, with 1win currently priced at 74%.

$1,500 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 85%

97% win-rate serial trader

A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is backing 1win at 88%.

  • This bettor has won 166 of 171 resolved trades and is up $145,132 lifetime.
  • The trader’s average winning entry is 70%, yet they are confidently buying 1win at 88%.
  • Their cross-market history spans 86 events and $388,120 in trading volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.

$1,110 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1550...5481 Outcome 10974932, $16,425 (71% win rate)
  2. 0xf201...527e Outcome 10974932, $15,000 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 10974932, $10,606 (89% win rate)
  4. 0x1037...5b09 Outcome 10974932, $8,367 (91% win rate)
  5. 0x4aec...4ce9 Outcome 10974932, $8,195 (86% win rate)
  6. 0xdc83...08f4 Outcome 10974932, $7,236 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x705b...2805 Outcome 10974932, $6,000 (85% win rate)
  8. 0x6e55...68d0 Outcome 10974932, $5,273 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x60b4...6313 Outcome 10974932, $4,614 (84% win rate)
  10. 0x88c3...bea3 Outcome 10974932, $4,095 (90% win rate)

Related Theses

Team Spirit wins series 3-1

Covers 4 related markets

1win wins game two

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BetBoom wins game and series

Covers 2 related markets

Aurora wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

Team Yandex will sweep Aurora

Covers 3 related markets

BetBoom Team will sweep

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1win defeats Vici Gaming

Covers 1 related market

PARIVISION Wins Dota 2 Series

Covers 1 related market

Vici Gaming beats BetBoom

Covers 1 related market

1win will win Game 1

Covers 1 related market

Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Resolved$27,808 tracked3 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between 1win and Team Nemesis in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against Team Nemesis. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against 1win. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Nemesis
102¢
56¢
11¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$25,197 on 1win at 74¢

Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$1,500 on 1win at 73¢

Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$1,110 on 1win at 88¢

Related Theses