Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
This Polymarket covers the Dota 2 PGL Wallachia Playoffs upper bracket final between Aurora and BetBoom Team, a best-of-three match scheduled for April 25. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, a tie, or a delay beyond 7 days resulting in different settlement rules. Recent smart money activity has leaned toward BetBoom Team, with sharp bettors and high win-rate accounts buying that side.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Aurora and BetBoom Team in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $53,231.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp trio buying BetBoom
Three wallets piled $22k into BetBoom at 50¢, led by two bettors with 87-89% win rates and strong cross-market histories, making this coordinated esports buy worth watching.
- Two of the three wallets win 87% and 89% of their resolved bets, and one is up about $863k lifetime.
- The group bought $22k of BetBoom within 10 minutes at 50¢, a clear coordinated position rather than random flow.
- This hit during a 195x volume spike, suggesting sharp money was moving into the match before the market repriced.
$22,156 on BetBoom Team
89% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an unusually strong 89% hit rate and large edge bought BetBoom at even odds, making this a reasonable sharp-follow signal despite the modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 89% of their resolved trades with 16 wins in 18 bets
- They've beaten the market by a wide margin, winning at average entry odds of 43%
- They bought BetBoom at 50¢ in a very liquid match market, suggesting they see a real edge at coin-flip pricing
$1,570 on BetBoom Team | Wallet win rate: 89%
87% winner buys BetBoom
A bettor with an 87% win rate and $862k profit made a $29.5k contrarian buy on BetBoom at 45¢, a sizable position relative to earlier market activity.
- This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up $862k lifetime.
- They bought $29.5k of BetBoom at 45¢, well below the current Aurora-favored pricing.
- The bet dwarfed earlier activity in this market, showing real conviction rather than routine sizing.
$29,505 on BetBoom Team | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x1a5c...a375 — Aurora, $146,509 (31% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — BetBoom Team, $123,098 (87% win rate)
- 0x6304...e570 — Aurora, $20,221 (51% win rate)
- 0xcc6e...fa6f — BetBoom Team, $7,683 (35% win rate)
- 0x39d3...9ef0 — BetBoom Team, $7,376 (43% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Aurora, $5,862 (80% win rate)
- 0x4574...273d — BetBoom Team, $4,918 (80% win rate)
- 0x988d...9899 — BetBoom Team, $3,968 (92% win rate)
- 0xef27...381b — BetBoom Team, $3,429 (33% win rate)
- 0xe30e...4ca5 — BetBoom Team, $3,140 (89% win rate)
