Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $201,072.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

98% win-rate bettor scaling into Aurora

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate deployed $13,000 on Aurora, including a major add despite thin recent volume.

  • This bettor has won 644 of 654 resolved positions and earned more than $10.8 million.
  • The wallet committed $13,000 to Aurora, first buying at 34¢ and then adding $10,000 at 58¢.
  • The position was large relative to recent market activity, exceeding the reported 24-hour volume in both detected windows.

$5,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp wallets backing Aurora

A large Aurora position was built by a 12-wallet cluster including several highly profitable esports traders, though substantial opposing BoomBoys activity makes the signal mixed.

  • Twelve wallets committed $76,904 to Aurora, including bettors with 94% win rates and multimillion-dollar profits.
  • The market has since fallen from roughly 53¢ entries to 42¢, creating a potentially favorable price for the same thesis but also showing adverse momentum.
  • The signal is contested: another 16-wallet cluster reportedly bought $49,056 of BoomBoys.

$76,904 on Aurora

98% winner scaling into Aurora

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial existing Aurora exposure added $35,000 despite a massive pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 644 of 654 resolved positions and earned nearly $10.9 million.
  • The wallet added $35,000 to Aurora, building on an existing $163,244 position at an average 56¢ entry.
  • Trading activity was 4,738 times the historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-match conviction.

$38,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp wallets backing BoomBoys

A large coordinated BoomBoys position was built at 46–50¢, backed by several highly profitable bettors and followed by a sharp move to 56¢ despite some opposing flow.

  • Thirteen wallets committed nearly $41,700 to BoomBoys at 46–50¢, with the market subsequently rising to 56¢.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including bettors with 94%, 96%, and 97% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
  • The trade is worth studying, though four wallets also bought Aurora for about $55,700, making the signal less unanimous than it first appears.

$27,400 on BoomBoys

94% win-rate esports sharp

An exceptionally profitable esports bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge added $5,768 to an existing Aurora position amid a massive volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 216 resolved positions and is up $2.12 million.
  • They added $5,768 to an existing Aurora position despite the market moving to 50%, showing continued conviction.
  • Trading volume was 4,738 times its historical average, adding meaningful support to the signal.

$5,768 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%

98% winner scaling into Aurora

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial existing Aurora exposure added $35,000 despite a massive pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 644 of 654 resolved positions and earned nearly $10.9 million.
  • The wallet added $35,000 to Aurora, building on an existing $163,244 position at an average 56¢ entry.
  • Trading activity was 4,738 times the historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-match conviction.

$35,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% win-rate bettor scaling into Aurora

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate deployed $13,000 on Aurora, including a major add despite thin recent volume.

  • This bettor has won 644 of 654 resolved positions and earned more than $10.8 million.
  • The wallet committed $13,000 to Aurora, first buying at 34¢ and then adding $10,000 at 58¢.
  • The position was large relative to recent market activity, exceeding the reported 24-hour volume in both detected windows.

$13,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 79251241, $163,244 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x79ae...9a4a Outcome 79251241, $39,040 (93% win rate)
  3. 0xcd30...f316 Outcome 79251241, $12,926 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x4aec...4ce9 Outcome 79251241, $12,000 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x69bf...0c5d Outcome 79251241, $7,056 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x04f6...f24a Outcome 79251241, $6,668 (54% win rate)
  7. 0xde24...4ded Outcome 79251241, $6,173 (70% win rate)
  8. 0x53b2...9f96 Outcome 79251241, $6,054 (75% win rate)
  9. 0xedfc...b7b1 Outcome 79251241, $5,377 (61% win rate)
  10. 0x1f2d...2b35 Outcome 79251241, $4,800 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Round$201,072 tracked7 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and BoomBoys in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against BoomBoys. This market will resolve to "BoomBoys" if BoomBoys win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 15, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “BoomBoys
102¢
65¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$5,000 on Aurora at 52¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$76,904 on Aurora at 53¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$38,000 on Aurora at 54¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$27,400 on BoomBoys at 46¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$5,768 on Aurora at 54¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$35,000 on Aurora at 54¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$13,000 on Aurora at 52¢

Related Theses