Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner
This prediction market covers the winner of Game 2 between Aurora and ex-HEROIC in DreamLeague Group A, scheduled around May 15 at 6:00AM ET. It resolves to Aurora if Aurora win Game 2, or ex-HEROIC if ex-HEROIC win, with resolution expected by May 15, 2026 at 14:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $164,850 in smart money across 6 signals, including activity from profitable esports sharps and high win-rate whales.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and ex-HEROIC in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 15 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against ex-HEROIC. This market will resolve to "ex-HEROIC" if ex-HEROIC win Game 2 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $164,850.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable esports flipper
Profitable high-volume esports trader with a long cross-market history flipped from ex-HEROIC to Aurora and bought before a 28-point move.
- This bettor is up $122,900 across more than 1,200 resolved bets.
- They actively trade across many related esports markets, with $311,746 tracked over 71 markets.
- They flipped from ex-HEROIC to Aurora at 54¢, and Aurora has already moved to 62¢.
$1,429 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 61%
Perfect-record esports sharp
Surface because a perfect-record wallet with $159k profit bought ex-HEROIC alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 40 of 40 resolved trades and is up $159k lifetime.
- They bought ex-HEROIC at 44¢ while 4 wallets put $30.6k on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 106x, suggesting a rush of money into the same thesis.
$1,870 on ex-HEROIC | Wallet win rate: 100%
Million-profit sharps pile into Aurora
High-conviction Aurora cluster led by multiple highly profitable esports wallets, including 98% and 95% winners, with $124.5k one-sided flow and strong price follow-through.
- Two elite wallets in this cluster win 98% and 95% of resolved bets and are up $3.85M and $1.91M lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought $124.5k of Aurora, including a $98.4k lead buy at 60¢.
- Aurora has already moved from the cluster’s ~60¢ entry to 73¢, showing strong follow-through.
$124,531 on Aurora
Elite esports sharp buying underdog
Elite 93% win-rate esports bettor joined one-sided clustered flow buying ex-HEROIC, despite the price moving slightly against the entry.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $277,864 lifetime.
- Three wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $28,683 on ex-HEROIC.
- Entry at 39¢ implies they see meaningful upside on the underdog despite current odds near 36¢.
$3,882 on ex-HEROIC | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial esports whale
A highly profitable serial esports trader bought $23k of ex-HEROIC alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has made over 1,300 resolved bets and is up $10.5M lifetime.
- They put $23k on ex-HEROIC at 39¢ while two other wallets also bought the same side.
- The market saw a huge pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh money is piling into the same view.
$23,138 on ex-HEROIC | Wallet win rate: 58%
95% win-rate esports whale
Elite esports bettor with a 95% record and $1.9M profit put $10k on Aurora, a large share of this market's daily volume.
- This bettor has won 95% of 145 resolved positions and is up $1.9M lifetime.
- They have traded 220 related markets across 92 events with the same 95% hit rate.
- The $10k Aurora buy is 59% of the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction.
$10,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xfbf3...b218 — Aurora, $239,979 (43% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — ex-HEROIC, $226,327 (58% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Aurora, $22,967 (95% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Aurora, $20,000 (98% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — ex-HEROIC, $10,229 (51% win rate)
- 0xac47...d234 — Aurora, $10,000 (45% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — ex-HEROIC, $10,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x8479...40df — ex-HEROIC, $10,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xf3ce...a57a — ex-HEROIC, $9,954 (93% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — ex-HEROIC, $8,693 (93% win rate)
