Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,571.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

98% win-rate esports bettor

An exceptionally proven serial bettor with a 98% win rate and $8.8M profit placed a fresh $1,000 bet on Aurora despite recent price weakness.

  • This bettor has won 582 of 591 resolved positions, with $8.83M in reported profit and an average winning entry price of 59%.
  • The wallet is taking a fresh $1,000 position on Aurora at 65%, showing strong conviction in the 60% market favorite.
  • The bet is notable because Aurora’s price has fallen 15.5% over the past day, while this highly experienced trader is still backing them.

$1,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

97% winner adds to Aurora

A highly successful serial cross-market bettor with a 97% win rate is adding to an Aurora position despite the price falling sharply.

  • This bettor has won 65 of 67 resolved trades and earned $37,185 in profit.
  • The wallet trades across 35 markets and 28 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They added $1,478 to Aurora at 74¢ while already holding $2,349, despite the market later falling to about 60¢.

$1,478 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 89%

Elite bettors scaling into Aurora

A four-wallet Aurora cluster includes two exceptionally proven bettors with 97% and 98% win rates, despite the market falling below their entries.

  • Two wallets betting Aurora have won 97% and 98% of 658 combined resolved trades, with substantial lifetime profits.
  • Four wallets committed $6,881 to Aurora, and three were adding to existing Aurora positions rather than making one-off bets.
  • Aurora has fallen 15.5% over the day, so the cluster is buying into weakness; the weighted entry was about 69¢ while the current ask is 64¢.

$16,772 on Aurora

Profitable serial trader catches volume spike

A highly profitable, experienced cross-market trader bought Aurora during an extreme pre-event volume spike, providing meaningful though not overwhelming copy-trade evidence.

  • This trader is up $377,617 across 902 resolved bets and has traded 193 markets.
  • The $1,322 Aurora purchase arrived during a 5,173x pre-event volume spike in a relatively quiet market.
  • Aurora was bought at 70¢, below the current 72¢ price, suggesting a moderately favorable entry.

$1,322 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 29531309, $33,792 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x3413...8ff2 Outcome 29531309, $20,000 (97% win rate)
  3. 0xc2d0...1a68 Outcome 29531309, $11,875
  4. 0x08c2...c023 Outcome 29531309, $7,090 (90% win rate)
  5. 0x73f4...158e Outcome 29531309, $4,000 (70% win rate)
  6. 0xec98...afcd Outcome 29531309, $3,763 (54% win rate)
  7. 0xd3bc...5bd2 Outcome 29531309, $3,524 (64% win rate)
  8. 0xc1de...21f5 Outcome 29531309, $3,000 (98% win rate)
  9. 0x86b1...c094 Outcome 29531309, $2,845 (32% win rate)
  10. 0x948a...d1a4 Outcome 29531309, $2,652 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage$20,571 tracked4 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Aurora and GamerLegion in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against GamerLegion. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Aurora
102¢
76¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

10d ago

$1,000 on Aurora at 65¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

10d ago

$1,478 on Aurora at 74¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

10d ago

$16,772 on Aurora at 69¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

10d ago

$1,322 on Aurora at 70¢

Related Theses