Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and GamerLegion in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 15 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against GamerLegion. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,267.
Categories: Games, Sports, Esports, Dota 2
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market esports bettor with strong positive lifetime P&L bought Aurora despite a weak standalone signal, making the wallet track record the main reason to surface.
- This bettor is up $90K lifetime across $1.26M invested, with 282 resolved bets.
- They have traded across 83 events and 144 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- They bought Aurora at 82¢, well above the current 66¢ price, so the market has moved against the entry.
$1,050 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market bettor with a long profitable record bought GamerLegion, though the individual trade size and signal strength are modest.
- This bettor has a large track record: 282 resolved bets, 57% wins, and about $90k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 81 events with $790k in detected activity.
- Entry at 56¢ suggests a moderate-conviction play on GamerLegion in a liquid market.
$1,300 on GamerLegion | Wallet win rate: 50%
93% winner buys underdog
Elite 93% winning wallet with strong lifetime profit is buying GamerLegion at 36¢, reinforced by serial cross-market activity and linked-wallet clustering.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $286K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 131 events with the same 93% hit rate.
- Entry at 36¢ on GamerLegion implies a ~2.8x payoff if the underdog wins Game 1.
$2,917 on GamerLegion | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xf3ce...a57a — GamerLegion, $8,103 (95% win rate)
- 0xbff7...92fb — GamerLegion, $4,800 (81% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — GamerLegion, $4,725 (97% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — GamerLegion, $2,771 (86% win rate)
- 0x974f...cd80 — GamerLegion, $2,035 (56% win rate)
- 0x3413...8ff2 — GamerLegion, $1,500 (97% win rate)
- 0xa042...5539 — GamerLegion, $1,150
- 0x54a6...7401 — GamerLegion, $943 (75% win rate)
- 0xf34b...bcb3 — GamerLegion, $755 (99% win rate)
- 0x312a...66b8 — GamerLegion, $668 (28% win rate)
Related Theses
PARIVISION sweeps Xtreme Gaming
Covers 3 related markets
NaVi sweeps, Tundra hedge
Covers 3 related markets
PARIVISION wins in five
Covers 5 related markets
Yandex wins, LGD takes Game 3
Covers 3 related markets
PARIVISION wins Games 1 and 4
Covers 3 related markets
1win takes series; BetBoom takes games
Covers 3 related markets
Yakult Brothers take the series opener, PlayTime responds
Covers 3 related markets
Team Spirit wins 3-2
Covers 5 related markets
Nemesis rallies after NaVi wins two
Covers 3 related markets
LGD wins series after split
Covers 3 related markets
