Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 2 of the Dota 2 playoff match between Aurora and Heroic at PGL Wallachia. The market resolves based on the official winner of Game 2, with resolution scheduled for April 23, 2026. Traders watching Aurora vs Heroic prediction market odds can also follow recent smart money signals tied to both sides.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Aurora and Heroic in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 23 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Heroic. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Game 2 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $90,451.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
91% win-rate esports sharp
A proven sharp sports/esports bettor with a 91% win rate and $2.0M profit bought Aurora at 80¢ just before a rapid 26-point move to 100%, making this a strong follow-worthy signal despite the market already being resolved in price.
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $2.0M across 879 resolved bets
- They bought Aurora at 80¢ before a fast 26-point move, and the market is now at 100¢
- This wallet has a long cross-market track record across 244 markets and 189 events
$3,185 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%
5-wallet Aurora cluster
A proven profitable serial cross-market bettor is part of a 5-wallet funded cluster that collectively flipped into Aurora as the price moved hard, making this coordinated esports buy flow worth watching.
- Five linked wallets funded by the same source all piled into Aurora for $9.4k total
- This wallet has 468 resolved bets, wins 63% of them, and is up $154.7k lifetime
- They sold Heroic at 58¢, which is the same as buying Aurora at 42¢, before Aurora moved to 32¢
$2,501 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 63%
4-wallet Aurora pile-in
Four wallets piled into Aurora at once in a fast-moving esports market, creating a clear one-sided flow signal despite mixed wallet track records.
- Four wallets all bet Aurora within minutes, totaling $6.9k in a coordinated one-sided push
- Market activity spiked 62x versus normal and Aurora moved sharply during the burst
- Most fills came by selling Heroic around 58-62¢, which is equivalent to buying Aurora around 38-42¢
$6,935 on Aurora
4-wallet contrarian esports bet
A very new wallet with repeated sizable betting activity joined a 4-wallet coordinated buy into Heroic at 49¢ before the market collapsed to 12¢, suggesting notable contrarian conviction worth watching despite limited track record.
- Four wallets piled into Heroic together for $14.8k, a strong one-sided view on this game
- This wallet is under 5 days old but has already triggered 22 large-bet alerts across $27.0k of action
- They bought at 49¢ while Heroic now trades at 12¢, showing a high-conviction entry far above the current market
$1,280 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 67%
4-wallet Heroic pile-in
A 4-wallet one-sided cluster piled into Heroic during a major volume spike and price breakout, and this wallet got in at 63¢ before the market collapsed to 12¢.
- Four wallets all bought Heroic, putting nearly $14.8k behind the same side.
- This market saw a 30.8x volume spike and Heroic briefly broke far above its usual range before crashing.
- This wallet trades heavily across esports markets, and its 63¢ entry is now far above the current 12¢ price.
$992 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 61%
5-wallet cluster buys dip
A profitable high-volume trader from a 5-wallet funded cluster bought Aurora after a sharp intraday drop, suggesting coordinated dip-buying worth tracking.
- This wallet wins 64% of 466 resolved bets and is up $155k lifetime
- Five wallets share the same funder and this group has been seen across prior runs
- They bought Aurora at 75¢ after a fast 26-point drop, and the market is already back to 78¢
$1,489 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A very active cross-market sports/esports bettor with a large proven profit bought Aurora well below the current market during a strong pre-match volume surge.
- This bettor has won 67% of 882 resolved markets and is up about $551k lifetime
- They bought Aurora at 66¢ and the market is now 78¢, showing strong early timing
- Market volume jumped 24x above normal before the match, suggesting informed pre-event positioning
$1,485 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 67%
7-wallet Aurora cluster
A 7-wallet cluster, including linked wallets and at least one very strong bettor, piled into Aurora for nearly $18k across both direct buys and equivalent Heroic sells, making this a coordinated directional esports signal worth tracking.
- Seven wallets lined up on Aurora for $17.9k, including two linked funder wallets betting the same way
- One of the bettors wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $240k, giving the cluster some real track-record support
- The trades hit Aurora from 57¢ to 84¢, and Heroic sells also translate to Aurora buys around 38¢ to 42¢
$17,863 on Aurora
Sharp cluster backing Heroic
A proven cross-market sports trader with a 73% win rate joined a 5-wallet one-sided move into Heroic at 38¢ during a sharp pre-match volume surge, making this a credible follow despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor wins 73% of their trades and is up $21k across 79 resolved bets
- Five wallets all bought Heroic together, putting $10.4k behind the same side
- They got in at 38¢ during a 36.7x volume spike, while Heroic now trades around 31¢
$2,453 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 73%
96% winner backing Heroic
A highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor joined a 5-wallet one-sided cluster buying Heroic into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong sports trade to watch despite the market’s decent liquidity.
- This bettor wins 96% of their trades and is up $450k across 71 resolved positions
- Five wallets all bought Heroic for $10.4k total as market activity jumped 36.7x above normal
- Entry at 34¢ is below the current ask of 35¢ and implies they see clear value in the underdog
$2,762 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x6049...f14f — Aurora, $61,321
- 0xb489...de6b — Aurora, $48,648 (99% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Heroic, $44,473 (96% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Aurora, $22,286 (87% win rate)
- 0x9c16...a981 — Aurora, $20,995 (78% win rate)
- 0x5028...b8ff — Heroic, $18,760 (75% win rate)
- 0x4e8d...febf — Aurora, $13,501 (66% win rate)
- 0x3719...2df0 — Aurora, $12,365 (69% win rate)
- 0x08c2...c023 — Heroic, $12,114 (94% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Heroic, $11,302 (25% win rate)
