What is the Aurora vs PARIVISION Game 2 prediction market?

It is a Polymarket on the winner of Game 2 in the Dota 2 series between Aurora and PARIVISION during the PGL Wallachia Group Stage. Traders buy shares based on which team they believe will win that specific map.

How does this market resolve?

This market resolves to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2, and to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2. If the overall match starts but is not completed, the market can still resolve as long as Game 2 itself is finished and an official winner is recorded.

When does the Aurora vs PARIVISION Game 2 market end?

The match was initially scheduled for April 20 at 12:00 PM ET, and the listed resolution time for the market is April 20, 2026 at 21:40 UTC. In practice, the market resolves once Game 2 is officially completed and the result is confirmed under the market rules.

Why are traders watching smart money in this market?

This market has tracked smart money activity, including funded wallet clusters and high win-rate esports bettors. Many users watch these signals for clues about where experienced traders may be positioning before the map begins.

What should I watch before trading this Dota 2 market?

Check the latest market odds, confirmed match timing, roster or draft-related news, and any smart money alerts. Because this market is only for Game 2, map-specific dynamics can matter more than the outcome of the full series.

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner

This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 2 of the Dota 2 match between Aurora and PARIVISION in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage. The market resolves to Aurora or PARIVISION based on the official Game 2 winner, with resolution tied to the scheduled April 20 match. PolySpotter also tracks smart money activity here, including recent esports bettor and wallet cluster signals.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Aurora and PARIVISION in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 20 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against PARIVISION. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,290.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Linked sharp fading favorite

A profitable high-volume esports trader from a 5-wallet linked cluster sold expensive PARIVISION shares into a sharp move, which converts to a buy on Aurora around 10¢.

This bettor has 384 resolved trades, wins 66% of them, and is up $139k lifetime.
Five linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet.
They sold PARIVISION at 90¢ after a fast 26.5-point move, which is equivalent to buying Aurora around 10¢.

$3,269 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 66%

91% win-rate sports sharp

A highly proven sports bettor with a 91% win rate and nearly $2.0M profit bought into a fast-moving favorite, making this a credible momentum-follow trade despite the already-high price.

This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime
They trade heavily across 213 related markets and have kept that edge over 857 settled bets
They bought PARIVISION at 81¢ during a fast 26.5-point price jump, showing conviction behind the move

$2,205 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable 5-wallet cluster

A profitable high-volume sports trader from a known 5-wallet cluster bought Aurora at 30¢ before the price collapsed to 8¢, making this a notable sharp-style position to watch even though the market moved hard against them.

This bettor has won 66% of 382 resolved trades and is up $137k overall.
The wallet is part of a 5-wallet funded cluster that has deployed over $4.2k on related activity.
They bought Aurora at 30¢, far above the current 8¢ price, so this is a strong conviction entry but not momentum-confirmed.

$1,602 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 66%

94% winner in funded cluster

A funded cluster including an elite 94% win-rate wallet put nearly $10k into Aurora before a heavy market swing, making this a notable contrarian esports bet worth watching.

One wallet in this group wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $2.06M lifetime.
Three linked wallets bought nearly $10k of Aurora, showing coordinated conviction on the underdog.
They entered at 29-45¢ while Aurora now trades at 24¢, so this is a beaten-down contrarian entry rather than chasing momentum.

$9,937 on Aurora

New wallet joins 6-wallet push

A very new wallet with repeated large bets joined a 6-wallet one-sided push into PARIVISION as price ripped higher, suggesting coordinated conviction worth watching despite the small personal track record.

A 3-day-old wallet has already made 12 large flagged bets and added $1.5k to PARIVISION here
6 wallets bought the same side for $26.8k total as PARIVISION jumped 26.5 points in about 4 minutes
The bettor got in at 62¢ and the market is now 76¢, showing immediate follow-through

$1,483 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 75%

91% win-rate bettor buying

A proven sharp esports bettor with a 91% win rate joined a 6-wallet coordinated buy wave into PARIVISION before a fast 26.5-point price jump, suggesting strong directional conviction worth surfacing.

This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $47k across 76 resolved bets
6 wallets bought PARIVISION together for $26.8k, a strong one-sided signal
They entered at 61¢ before the price jumped to 76¢ in about 4 minutes

$1,223 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 91%

94% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sports/esports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Aurora at 40¢ while multiple wallets piled into the same side during a sharp pre-event volume surge.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $2.06M across 222 settled positions
Three wallets all bought Aurora for nearly $8k total as volume jumped 43.6x above normal
They entered at 40¢, well below the current 41-43¢ market, suggesting a still-copyable price

$2,620 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

91% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 91% win rate bought Aurora at 41¢ alongside two other wallets during a strong one-sided flow spike.

This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up about $92.8k across 365 resolved bets
Three wallets all bought Aurora in the same window, putting nearly $8.0k behind the same side
The entry was 41¢ while Aurora now sits around 41-43¢, suggesting a cheap follow rather than a chased move

$1,532 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%

Pro bettor joins Aurora cluster

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a large positive track record joined a 3-wallet one-sided buy cluster on Aurora during a sharp pre-event volume surge.

This bettor has won 61% of 1,393 resolved markets and is up about $100k overall
Three wallets bought Aurora together for nearly $8k total during a 43.6x volume spike
They got in at 37¢ and the market is already up to 41¢

$1,597 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 61%

6-wallet PARIVISION cluster

A 6-wallet coordinated cluster piled nearly $24k into PARIVISION, including linked wallets and one bettor with a 91% win rate, creating a strong copyable directional signal.

Six wallets all bought PARIVISION in a few minutes for $23.8k total, showing concentrated conviction.
One wallet in the group wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $47k, while another is up $137k lifetime.
Most buys came in at 58-69¢ and the market is now 72¢, so the cluster already moved the price in their favor.

$23,821 on PARIVISION