Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

This Polymarket tracks the Dota 2 PGL Wallachia Group Stage best-of-3 match between Aurora and South America Rejects, scheduled for April 18. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, ties, or delays beyond 7 days resulting in different resolution handling under market rules. PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,887 in smart money activity on this market, including signals tied to high win-rate bettors.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Aurora and South America Rejects in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against South America Rejects. This market will resolve to "South America Rejects" if South America Rejects win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,193.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

74% win-rate esports bettor

A high-volume serial trader with a strong 74% win rate is backing the favorite in a liquid esports market, making this a credible follow despite only one signal firing.

  • This bettor has won 569 of 770 resolved markets and is up about $114k overall.
  • They have traded 312 markets across 251 events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt.
  • They bought Aurora at 85¢ while the market now sits around 86-87¢, showing modest follow-through after entry.

$2,887 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 74%

94% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 94% win rate and nearly $1.9M in profit made a $5.3k buy that was roughly 20x the market’s prior 24h activity, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the short odds.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.86M across more than 200 settled positions
  • They've traded 392 markets across 323 events, so this looks like a proven specialist rather than a one-off whale
  • Their $5.3k buy was about 20x the market's earlier 24h volume, showing strong conviction even at 84¢

$5,305 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x99e4...e4c4 Aurora, $14,424 (74% win rate)
  2. 0x0dcf...c556 Aurora, $6,587 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x52b7...0aa1 South America Rejects, $5,606
  4. 0xbfee...ed1f South America Rejects, $5,087
  5. 0x4574...273d South America Rejects, $3,950
  6. 0xd202...8973 South America Rejects, $2,764 (46% win rate)
  7. 0x1f3f...5878 South America Rejects, $2,330
  8. 0x2765...7ee4 Aurora, $2,017 (59% win rate)
  9. 0xa222...7d3c South America Rejects, $2,009 (54% win rate)
  10. 0x886e...afd6 Aurora, $1,685 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

4h$8,193 tracked2 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Aurora
81¢
South America Rejects
20¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Aurora and South America Rejects in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against South America Rejects. This market will resolve to "South America Rejects" if South America Rejects win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Aurora
88¢
77¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1h ago

$2,887 on Aurora at 85¢

85¢81¢4¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

2h ago

$5,305 on Aurora at 84¢

84¢81¢3¢

Related Theses

Aurora vs SA Rejects Odds | Polymarket Dota 2 | PolySpotter