Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,501.

Categories: Dota 2, Games, Sports, Esports

Notable Trades

Profitable new Falcons cluster

High-conviction Team Falcons buying from an 11-hour-old profitable repeat wallet, reinforced by 5-wallet one-sided flow and a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • This 11-hour-old wallet is already up $24,781 and has repeatedly made large flagged bets.
  • Five wallets bought Team Falcons in the same window, totaling $71,118 on one side.
  • Their average entry was about 44¢, while Falcons now trades near 32¢ after the move against them.

$8,198 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%

96% winner on esports

Sharp esports bettor with a 96% record and strong lifetime profit bought Team Falcons at 60¢.

  • This bettor has won 50 of 52 resolved positions and is up $56K lifetime.
  • They bought Team Falcons at 60¢, backing the current favorite with a strong track record.
  • Their past bets averaged 57¢ but still won 96% of the time, suggesting real edge.

$1,213 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%

94% winner backs underdog

Elite 94% winning bettor with $3.1M lifetime profit bought Aurora at 39¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $3.1M lifetime.
  • They have traded 474 events with a 94% hit rate, suggesting a strong repeatable edge.
  • Buying Aurora at 39¢ backs the underdog where the market gives only a 38–39% chance.

$3,115 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 88%

Three sharp wallets on Falcons

Three wallets, including multiple highly profitable bettors, bought $27.3k of Team Falcons amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • One bettor has won 97% of 202 resolved bets and is up $3.4M lifetime.
  • Three wallets all bought Team Falcons at 59¢ for a combined $27.3k.
  • The market saw a 630x volume spike before the match, with sharp money aligned on one side.

$27,279 on Team Falcons

94% winner buying quiet market

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 94% record is buying Aurora in an otherwise quiet market, backed by a long cross-market history.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $3.1M lifetime.
  • They have traded 586 related markets across 473 events with the same 94% success rate.
  • This $1.7K Aurora buy dwarfs the market’s $10 daily volume, suggesting strong conviction.

$1,695 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 77329899, $60,109 (98% win rate)
  2. 0xc04e...75d9 Outcome 77329899, $14,085 (97% win rate)
  3. 0x31b9...150b Outcome 77329899, $8,000 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x369f...abb5 Outcome 77329899, $3,525 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x3449...4030 Outcome 77329899, $2,826 (92% win rate)
  6. 0xfed1...eedb Outcome 77329899, $2,139 (82% win rate)
  7. 0xe9de...7310 Outcome 77329899, $1,863 (93% win rate)
  8. 0x6c49...03d0 Outcome 77329899, $1,853 (92% win rate)
  9. 0x661d...4dc6 Outcome 77329899, $1,806 (68% win rate)
  10. 0xf681...9b77 Outcome 77329899, $1,420

Related Theses

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Spirit wins after dropping Game 1

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B8 sweep BIG

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Falcons win early, PARIVISION advances

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Aurora wins the series

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$41,501 tracked5 signalsDota 2GamesSportsEsports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

56d ago

$8,198 on Team Falcons at 44¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

56d ago

$1,213 on Team Falcons at 60¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

56d ago

$3,115 on Aurora at 39¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

56d ago

$27,279 on Team Falcons at 59¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

56d ago

$1,695 on Aurora at 41¢

Related Theses