Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
This Polymarket market covers the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Semifinal between Aurora and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Playoffs, a best-of-three match scheduled for May 23 at 1:00 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $28,974 in smart money across 2 signals, including sharp-wallet activity favoring Team Falcons. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, tie, or extended-delay rules applied if no winner is determined.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,303.
Categories: Dota 2, Games, Sports, Esports
Notable Trades
96% winner on esports
Sharp esports bettor with a 96% record and strong lifetime profit bought Team Falcons at 60¢.
- This bettor has won 50 of 52 resolved positions and is up $56K lifetime.
- They bought Team Falcons at 60¢, backing the current favorite with a strong track record.
- Their past bets averaged 57¢ but still won 96% of the time, suggesting real edge.
$1,213 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 96%
94% winner backs underdog
Elite 94% winning bettor with $3.1M lifetime profit bought Aurora at 39¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $3.1M lifetime.
- They have traded 474 events with a 94% hit rate, suggesting a strong repeatable edge.
- Buying Aurora at 39¢ backs the underdog where the market gives only a 38–39% chance.
$3,115 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%
Three sharp wallets on Falcons
Three wallets, including multiple highly profitable bettors, bought $27.3k of Team Falcons amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- One bettor has won 97% of 202 resolved bets and is up $3.4M lifetime.
- Three wallets all bought Team Falcons at 59¢ for a combined $27.3k.
- The market saw a 630x volume spike before the match, with sharp money aligned on one side.
$27,279 on Team Falcons
94% winner buying quiet market
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 94% record is buying Aurora in an otherwise quiet market, backed by a long cross-market history.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $3.1M lifetime.
- They have traded 586 related markets across 473 events with the same 94% success rate.
- This $1.7K Aurora buy dwarfs the market’s $10 daily volume, suggesting strong conviction.
$1,695 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Aurora, $69,195 (94% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Team Falcons, $42,373 (97% win rate)
- 0x31b9...150b — Team Falcons, $8,000 (91% win rate)
- 0xcd66...664f — Team Falcons, $5,000 (66% win rate)
- 0x66ea...6791 — Team Falcons, $4,531 (56% win rate)
- 0xfdfa...7491 — Aurora, $4,398 (60% win rate)
- 0x369f...abb5 — Team Falcons, $3,525 (96% win rate)
- 0x64d4...f056 — Team Falcons, $3,453
- 0x4379...2e16 — Aurora, $3,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x47b3...039c — Team Falcons, $2,836 (67% win rate)
Related Theses
Spirit wins after dropping Game 1
Covers 3 related markets
Falcons win early, PARIVISION advances
Covers 3 related markets
