Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the winner of Game 1 between Aurora and Team Falcons in the Dota 2 DreamLeague Playoffs Lower Bracket Semifinal. It resolves to Aurora if Aurora win Game 1, or Team Falcons if Falcons take the opening map, with resolution scheduled for May 23, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $129,209 in smart money activity across 10 signals, including notable sharp interest on Team Falcons and Aurora wallet clusters.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $151,209.
Categories: Dota 2, Games, Sports, Esports
Notable Trades
Sharp Aurora wallet cluster
Strong Aurora cluster with 15 wallets, linked funding, sharp historical bettors, and a major pre-event volume spike despite meaningful opposing Falcons flow.
- 15 wallets bought Aurora for $32K, including 7 wallets linked to the same funder.
- Several proven bettors joined the Aurora side, including one with 24 wins in 24 resolved bets and $21K profit.
- Market volume spiked 56x before the match, suggesting unusually heavy positioning ahead of Game 1.
$32,179 on Aurora
97% winner backing Falcons
Elite 97% win-rate bettor with $3.4M lifetime profit bought $15K of Team Falcons, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.4M lifetime.
- They put $15K on Team Falcons, adding across three buys from 50¢ down to 44¢.
- Seven wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $29K, while market volume spiked 56x.
$15,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable serial trader plus cluster
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Team Falcons alongside 7-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 836 resolved bets and is up $1.26M lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought Team Falcons in the same window for $29K total.
- Market volume spiked 56x before the match, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$3,993 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial trader with crowd flow
Profitable serial esports trader bought Team Falcons at 38¢ alongside a 7-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long record across 348 resolved markets and is up $124,000 lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all buying Team Falcons, totaling $29,259 in the same direction.
- The buy came at 38¢ and the market has already moved to 43¢, backed by a 56x volume spike.
$2,670 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 60%
Million-dollar sharps on Falcons
Three profitable high-volume wallets bought $18.5K of Team Falcons, including a 97% winner up $3.4M, amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- A bettor who has won 97% of 202 resolved positions and is up $3.4M bought $13K of Team Falcons.
- The three-wallet cluster put $18.5K on the same side, moving in before odds rose from 46–50¢ to 54¢.
- This market saw a 52x pre-event volume spike, suggesting sharp attention before Game 1.
$18,493 on Team Falcons
Profitable linked esports cluster
Strong coordinated Aurora buying from a profitable serial cross-market bettor and linked-wallet cluster, backed by a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 64% of 756 resolved trades and is up about $302K lifetime.
- Six wallets are all buying Aurora, including seven linked wallets sharing the same funder.
- Market activity spiked 52x before the match, suggesting coordinated conviction around this side.
$1,264 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora alongside a 6-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike, despite the price moving against the entry afterward.
- This bettor has a strong long-term record: 72% wins across 851 resolved bets and nearly $598k in profit.
- Six wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling about $13.8k on one side.
- Aurora is now around 46¢, below this bettor’s 54¢ entry, offering a cheaper copy price than the original trade.
$1,036 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable regular with Aurora cluster
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 6-wallet Aurora buy cluster during a 52x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 62% of 2,086 resolved bets and is up about $680k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought Aurora the same way, totaling $13.8k in one-sided flow.
- Market volume spiked 52x before the match, suggesting a fresh wave of conviction.
$2,574 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 62%
97% win-rate esports sharp
Surfaced because a highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought $15k of Team Falcons at 58¢.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.4M lifetime.
- They put $15,000 on Team Falcons, adding conviction at about 58¢.
- This wallet has traded 322 markets across 133 events with the same 97% hit rate.
$15,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% win-rate esports whale
Elite 97% win-rate esports bettor with $3.4M lifetime profit is adding $37k to Team Falcons amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.4M lifetime.
- They put $37k on Team Falcons at 58¢ across four buys.
- This wallet has traded 133 related events with a 97% hit rate, making the bettor the main signal.
$37,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Team Falcons, $111,462 (97% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Team Falcons, $30,789 (72% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Aurora, $30,000 (62% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Aurora, $30,000 (71% win rate)
- 0xffe9...a70e — Aurora, $28,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Aurora, $21,369 (62% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Aurora, $20,934 (45% win rate)
- 0x182b...f3d3 — Team Falcons, $12,044 (62% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Team Falcons, $10,820 (50% win rate)
- 0x2146...d41b — Aurora, $10,000 (52% win rate)
