Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $129,377.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% win-rate esports bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 92% win rate is buying Aurora despite already-high odds, backed by a broader cross-market track record and confirming market momentum.
- This bettor wins 92% of their resolved trades and is up $117.7k across 48 settled positions
- They have repeated this across 38 markets in 28 events, suggesting a real edge rather than a one-off hit
- They bought Aurora at 84¢ as the market was already moving up, showing conviction behind the favorite
$1,990 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 89%
4-wallet sharp Falcons cluster
Four wallets piled into Team Falcons within minutes, including one bettor with an 84% win rate, creating coordinated contrarian flow against an 84% Aurora market after a major volume spike.
- Four wallets bought Team Falcons at 12-30¢ equivalent, totaling $7.5k in a coordinated burst.
- One bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $65k lifetime, giving this cluster real copy-trade credibility.
- They are betting against an 84% Aurora market after a 10.2x volume spike, suggesting a strong contrarian view.
$7,539 on Team Falcons
76% win-rate esports bettor
A proven profitable sports trader with a 76% win rate is buying Aurora into a sharp pre-match volume and price surge, making this a copy-worthy momentum follow despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $113.5k across 224 bets.
- They trade heavily across related events, with 47 events and 65 markets suggesting a repeatable esports process.
- Aurora was bought at 83¢ as volume ran 19.2x normal and the price jumped 15 points before the match.
$1,172 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp bettor fades favorite
A proven sharp wallet sold Aurora, equivalent to buying Team Falcons at 16¢, aligning with a 4-wallet one-sided cluster and unusual pre-match volume in a major esports market.
- This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $65k across 368 resolved bets
- Their trade equals buying Team Falcons at 16¢, matching 4 wallets that put nearly $30k on the same side
- Volume spiked 32x above normal before the match, showing coordinated conviction rather than a random small bet
$1,354 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 80%
15-wallet funded cluster
A large coordinated cluster of 15 wallets linked by funding sources is betting Team Falcons while this wallet has a substantial profitable history, making the alert worth surfacing despite the trade being a sell converted into a Team Falcons buy.
- 15 wallets are lined up on Team Falcons with $122k total, including 5 wallets linked to the same funder
- This wallet has a real track record: 543 resolved bets, 62% win rate, and about $193k profit
- They sold Aurora at 71¢, which is equivalent to buying Team Falcons at 29¢ while Aurora later moved up to 82¢
$1,803 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 66%
Sharp bettor joins 15-wallet cluster
A proven profitable sports bettor sold Aurora at 82¢, equivalent to buying Team Falcons at 18¢, alongside 15 wallets piling into the same side in a large one-sided cluster.
- This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $65k across 368 resolved bets
- 15 wallets put $122k on Team Falcons, pointing to strong one-sided conviction
- Selling Aurora at 82¢ is the same as buying Team Falcons at 18¢, a low-price entry if the underdog is mispriced
$1,829 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 80%
11-wallet Aurora cluster
A large 11-wallet Aurora pile-in with linked funding, multiple proven winning wallets, and a 35-point price breakout is strong coordinated flow worth surfacing despite the market already moving to 82¢.
- 11 wallets piled into Aurora for $59k, including 5 linked wallets funded by the same address
- Several bettors in the cluster have elite records, including wallets winning 92%-93% of resolved bets
- The buying helped push Aurora from 50¢ to 82¢ in minutes during a 32x volume spike
$59,043 on Aurora
14-wallet Falcons cluster
A 14-wallet one-sided cluster piled nearly $99k into Team Falcons during a massive pre-match volume spike, and this wallet is an unusually active cross-market bettor with a large sample size.
- 14 wallets all bought Team Falcons, putting nearly $99k on one side of this market
- Market volume spiked 515x above normal before the match, showing a rush of money into this outcome
- This wallet has traded 1,300 resolved markets and won 62% of them, suggesting an experienced event trader
$4,800 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 61%
14-wallet Falcons pile-in
A profitable high-volume sports trader joined a 14-wallet, nearly $99k one-sided move into Team Falcons during a major pre-match volume surge, which is notable despite the market being fairly liquid.
- 14 wallets all bought Team Falcons, putting nearly $99k behind one side of this market
- This wallet has 1,162 resolved bets, wins 58% of them, and is up $55.5k lifetime
- The bet came during a 515x volume spike, and the entry at 48¢ is slightly better than the current 46¢ market
$1,418 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 71%
14-wallet Falcons pile-in
A 14-wallet one-sided cluster put nearly $99k on Team Falcons, led by a high-volume bettor dropping $37k at 50¢ into a market seeing an extreme pre-match volume spike.
- 14 wallets all bought Team Falcons, totaling $98.9k of one-sided flow on this market
- One bettor alone put in $37.1k at 50¢, nearly the full market liquidity at the time
- Market volume is running 515x above its usual pace, showing a strong pre-match rush into this side
$37,091 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 16740470, $519,676 (62% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Outcome 16740470, $43,999 (91% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 16740470, $13,287 (94% win rate)
- 0xd6f5...f3b5 — Outcome 16740470, $13,000 (81% win rate)
- 0xef62...cf76 — Outcome 16740470, $9,414 (64% win rate)
- 0xa01f...8f40 — Outcome 16740470, $8,206
- 0xc156...f76c — Outcome 16740470, $5,164 (73% win rate)
- 0x303b...53ca — Outcome 16740470, $5,000
- 0x8523...1c9f — Outcome 16740470, $4,973 (86% win rate)
- 0xce08...510b — Outcome 16740470, $3,920 (65% win rate)
