Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

22 smart money signals detected, totaling $130,546.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

76% win-rate esports bettor

A proven profitable sports trader with a 76% win rate bought Team Falcons at 25¢ during a fast price move, offering a clear copyable signal despite the small size.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $113k across 224 resolved markets
  • They trade heavily across related events — 66 markets over 47 events — which suggests a repeatable edge in event pricing
  • Bought Team Falcons at 25¢ during a quick 12.5-point move, implying they saw value before the market went to zero

$1,113 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 71%

5-wallet sharp cluster

Linked wallets with a strong betting history piled into Aurora together, and this wallet’s sale of Team Falcons at 45¢ is effectively a buy of Aurora at 55¢ well ahead of a move to 78¢.

  • Five linked wallets all bet Aurora in the same window, putting over $10.2k behind one side.
  • This wallet has a real track record: 62% wins across 543 resolved bets and nearly $193k in profit.
  • The trade effectively bought Aurora at 55¢ by selling Team Falcons at 45¢, and Aurora is now trading around 78¢.

$1,093 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 66%

5-wallet Aurora pile-in

A serial cross-market bettor joined a 5-wallet coordinated buy into Aurora at 70¢ before the market rebounded to 78%, suggesting timely conviction worth watching despite the wallet's modest standalone track record.

  • Five wallets bought Aurora together for $10.2k, pointing to coordinated conviction on one side.
  • This wallet has bet across 35 related markets and wins 71% of resolved trades.
  • The buy went in at 70¢ and the market is now 78%, so the move already caught an 8-point rebound.

$1,486 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%

3-wallet Aurora push

A repeat new wallet joined a 3-wallet one-sided Aurora buy cluster before a sharp 24-point move, suggesting coordinated conviction worth tracking despite the limited personal track record.

  • Three wallets all bought Aurora, putting $6.1k on the same side in a single burst.
  • This wallet is only 28 days old but has already made 7 positions and about $8.0k in flagged bets.
  • The buy went in at 57¢ and the market is now 67%, so the move has already started to work.

$1,075 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 70%

9-wallet Falcons cluster

A profitable high-volume sports trader is part of a 9-wallet, partially linked cluster that piled into Team Falcons during a sharp pre-match volume surge, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the price moving against them since entry.

  • Nine wallets all bought Team Falcons for $38.4k total, with five of them linked to the same funder.
  • This wallet has a real track record: 62% win rate across 543 resolved bets and nearly $193k profit.
  • They entered at 55¢ during a 34.6x volume spike, and the market now offers a cheaper 46¢ entry.

$4,042 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp bettor joins 9-wallet move

A proven profitable bettor with an 80% win rate joined a 9-wallet, $38k one-sided push into Team Falcons during a sharp pre-event volume and price surge.

  • This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up $60.9k across 321 resolved bets
  • Nine wallets bought Team Falcons together for $38.4k, a strong one-sided signal
  • They got in at 46¢ as Team Falcons jumped 12.5 points in minutes on heavy volume

$1,336 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor joins Aurora cluster

A proven profitable bettor with a 76% win rate joined a 6-wallet one-sided Aurora wave during an unusual pre-match volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest single-ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $113k lifetime across 224 bets.
  • Six wallets bought Aurora in the same window, putting $22.9k behind one side of the market.
  • They entered at 50¢ and Aurora is already 54¢ after a 58.9x surge in market activity.

$2,179 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 71%

94% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp sports/esports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Aurora at 49¢ before a coordinated 9-wallet move and the price has already jumped to 58¢.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up $2.08M lifetime.
  • They bought Aurora at 49¢, and the market is already up to 58¢ after a 9-wallet $26.6k one-sided push.
  • This wallet also trades across related event markets at scale, with the same 94% hit rate over 390 events.

$1,585 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 88%

91% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp sports trader with a 91% win rate bought Aurora at 40¢ before a coordinated 9-wallet move, and the price has already jumped to 58¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up about $743k across 102 resolved positions.
  • Nine wallets all bought Aurora for $26.6k total, pointing to a shared view on this side.
  • The entry was 40¢ and the market is now 58¢, so this trade already caught a major price move early.

$1,333 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% win-rate bettor buying

A proven sharp sports/esports bettor with a 91% win rate bought Aurora at 45¢ alongside a 9-wallet one-sided surge, and the market has already moved to 58¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $30.9k on $84.8k invested
  • Nine wallets bought the same side for $26.6k total, pointing to strong shared conviction on Aurora
  • The buy came at 45¢ and the market is now 58¢, so the move has already gone strongly in their favor

$3,880 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$130,546 tracked22 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Aurora
100¢
Team Falcons
0¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:42 UTC

$1,113 on Team Falcons at 25¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:38 UTC

$1,093 on Aurora at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:42 UTC

$1,486 on Aurora at 70¢

70¢→100¢↑30¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:32 UTC

$1,075 on Aurora at 57¢

57¢→100¢↑43¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:17 UTC

$4,042 on Team Falcons at 55¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:20 UTC

$1,336 on Team Falcons at 46¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:13 UTC

$2,179 on Aurora at 50¢

50¢→100¢↑50¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:10 UTC

$1,585 on Aurora at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:05 UTC

$1,333 on Aurora at 40¢

40¢→100¢↑60¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:13 UTC

$3,880 on Aurora at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 09:58 UTC

$35,173 on Aurora at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 09:58 UTC

$1,509 on Team Falcons at 49¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 09:58 UTC

$1,614 on Team Falcons at 48¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:38 UTC

$6,789 on Team Falcons at 32¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 09:54 UTC

$8,016 on Aurora at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 09:54 UTC

$1,076 on Aurora at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 09:50 UTC

$5,199 on Aurora at 50¢

50¢→100¢↑50¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 10:17 UTC

$15,548 on Aurora at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 09:32 UTC

$2,488 on Aurora at 48¢

48¢→100¢↑52¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 09:32 UTC

$14,789 on Team Falcons at 53¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 09:25 UTC

$17,745 on Team Falcons at 53¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2026-04-26 08:33 UTC

$1,478 on Team Falcons at 51¢

Related Theses