Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,129.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports trader
Proven high-volume esports bettor with $129k profit sold Aurora during a sharp move down, effectively backing Team Falcons as the market collapsed.
- This bettor has 1,212 resolved bets, wins 61%, and is up about $129k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 48 events with more than $226k tracked in this pattern.
- Selling Aurora at 18¢ effectively backs Team Falcons at 82¢, ahead of Aurora falling to 4¢.
$1,020 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Aurora amid a volume spike and sharp price move, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor is up $130k lifetime across more than 1,200 resolved bets.
- They have traded 58 related markets across 48 events, with a 61% win record.
- Aurora saw a 15.6x volume spike and a 23-point price surge around the trade.
$1,444 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable serial cross-market wallet bought Aurora amid a major volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has 1,212 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up $130K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $219K across 57 related markets, suggesting this is part of a broader esports thesis.
- Aurora is now cheaper than their 39¢ entry after a fast 20-point drop, making this a contrarian follow rather than momentum trade.
$1,269 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 61%
Two 93% winners aligned
Four wallets are aligned on Team Falcons, including two extremely profitable bettors with 93% win rates, and their buying coincided with a major move from roughly 49% to 80%.
- Two bettors with 93% win records are backing Team Falcons, including one up $636K lifetime.
- Four wallets all moved the same way for $5.5K, pushing Team Falcons from about 49¢ to 80¢.
- One sharp wallet has traded 167 markets across 123 events with a 93% hit rate.
$5,548 on Team Falcons
Proven esports cross-market sharp
Serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record bought Aurora at 36%, though the position has since moved sharply against them to 16%.
- This bettor has won 70% of 957 resolved trades and is up $776k lifetime.
- They are a highly active cross-market trader, with $2.4M deployed across 481 markets.
- Caution: they bought Aurora at 36%, but the market has fallen to 16% since their entry.
$1,017 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 70%
93% win-rate esports sharp
Highly profitable 93% win-rate esports bettor bought Team Falcons, with serial cross-market success and linked-wallet corroboration.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $220,894 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market bettor across 108 events with the same 93% hit rate.
- Bought Team Falcons at 60¢ before the market moved to 64¢.
$4,194 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a very large sample is buying Team Falcons at 59¢ despite only a moderate single signal.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,871 resolved bets and $307k in lifetime profit.
- They have traded across 253 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 59¢ implies they see Team Falcons as better than the market’s roughly 60% price.
$2,638 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 61%
94% winner backs Falcons
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 94% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Team Falcons at 52¢.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.4M lifetime.
- They have traded 192 markets across 78 events, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
- Entry at 52¢ implies they see Team Falcons as underpriced despite the market sitting near even odds.
$1,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 94%
Elite esports sharp
Elite esports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and $1.4M profit bought Team Falcons at 53¢, supported by a long cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $1.4M lifetime.
- They have traded 190 markets across 78 events with the same 94% success rate.
- Entry at 53¢ suggests they see Team Falcons as meaningfully underpriced versus the market.
$2,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 94%
93% winner backs Falcons
Elite 93% win-rate wallet with $1.37M lifetime profit is buying Team Falcons at 50¢ in a quiet Dota market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up $1.37M lifetime.
- They have traded 188 markets across 77 events with the same 93% win rate.
- A $4,000 Falcons buy landed in a market with $0 reported 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction.
$4,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Team Falcons, $30,947 (94% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Aurora, $27,465 (50% win rate)
- 0x33ab...9523 — Team Falcons, $14,770
- 0x6049...f14f — Team Falcons, $13,679
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Aurora, $12,009 (51% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — Aurora, $10,612 (70% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Aurora, $8,888 (40% win rate)
- 0xf3ce...a57a — Team Falcons, $6,933 (93% win rate)
- 0x05a7...42e6 — Aurora, $6,734 (100% win rate)
- 0x4569...e624 — Team Falcons, $5,200
