Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,129.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports trader

Proven high-volume esports bettor with $129k profit sold Aurora during a sharp move down, effectively backing Team Falcons as the market collapsed.

  • This bettor has 1,212 resolved bets, wins 61%, and is up about $129k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 48 events with more than $226k tracked in this pattern.
  • Selling Aurora at 18¢ effectively backs Team Falcons at 82¢, ahead of Aurora falling to 4¢.

$1,020 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Aurora amid a volume spike and sharp price move, though the market has since moved against the entry.

  • This bettor is up $130k lifetime across more than 1,200 resolved bets.
  • They have traded 58 related markets across 48 events, with a 61% win record.
  • Aurora saw a 15.6x volume spike and a 23-point price surge around the trade.

$1,444 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial esports trader

Profitable serial cross-market wallet bought Aurora amid a major volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has 1,212 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up $130K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $219K across 57 related markets, suggesting this is part of a broader esports thesis.
  • Aurora is now cheaper than their 39¢ entry after a fast 20-point drop, making this a contrarian follow rather than momentum trade.

$1,269 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 61%

Two 93% winners aligned

Four wallets are aligned on Team Falcons, including two extremely profitable bettors with 93% win rates, and their buying coincided with a major move from roughly 49% to 80%.

  • Two bettors with 93% win records are backing Team Falcons, including one up $636K lifetime.
  • Four wallets all moved the same way for $5.5K, pushing Team Falcons from about 49¢ to 80¢.
  • One sharp wallet has traded 167 markets across 123 events with a 93% hit rate.

$5,548 on Team Falcons

Proven esports cross-market sharp

Serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record bought Aurora at 36%, though the position has since moved sharply against them to 16%.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 957 resolved trades and is up $776k lifetime.
  • They are a highly active cross-market trader, with $2.4M deployed across 481 markets.
  • Caution: they bought Aurora at 36%, but the market has fallen to 16% since their entry.

$1,017 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 70%

93% win-rate esports sharp

Highly profitable 93% win-rate esports bettor bought Team Falcons, with serial cross-market success and linked-wallet corroboration.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $220,894 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market bettor across 108 events with the same 93% hit rate.
  • Bought Team Falcons at 60¢ before the market moved to 64¢.

$4,194 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a very large sample is buying Team Falcons at 59¢ despite only a moderate single signal.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 1,871 resolved bets and $307k in lifetime profit.
  • They have traded across 253 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 59¢ implies they see Team Falcons as better than the market’s roughly 60% price.

$2,638 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 61%

94% winner backs Falcons

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 94% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Team Falcons at 52¢.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.4M lifetime.
  • They have traded 192 markets across 78 events, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
  • Entry at 52¢ implies they see Team Falcons as underpriced despite the market sitting near even odds.

$1,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 94%

Elite esports sharp

Elite esports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and $1.4M profit bought Team Falcons at 53¢, supported by a long cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $1.4M lifetime.
  • They have traded 190 markets across 78 events with the same 94% success rate.
  • Entry at 53¢ suggests they see Team Falcons as meaningfully underpriced versus the market.

$2,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 94%

93% winner backs Falcons

Elite 93% win-rate wallet with $1.37M lifetime profit is buying Team Falcons at 50¢ in a quiet Dota market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up $1.37M lifetime.
  • They have traded 188 markets across 77 events with the same 93% win rate.
  • A $4,000 Falcons buy landed in a market with $0 reported 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction.

$4,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Team Falcons, $30,947 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x507e...beae Aurora, $27,465 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x33ab...9523 Team Falcons, $14,770
  4. 0x6049...f14f Team Falcons, $13,679
  5. 0x0e1b...ecaf Aurora, $12,009 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x87da...53d1 Aurora, $10,612 (70% win rate)
  7. 0x3af1...d739 Aurora, $8,888 (40% win rate)
  8. 0xf3ce...a57a Team Falcons, $6,933 (93% win rate)
  9. 0x05a7...42e6 Aurora, $6,734 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x4569...e624 Team Falcons, $5,200

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

16mDota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$24,129 tracked10 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Aurora
0¢
Team Falcons
100¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Falcons
102¢
74¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,020 on Team Falcons at 82¢

82¢100¢18¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,444 on Aurora at 53¢

53¢0¢53¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,269 on Aurora at 39¢

39¢0¢39¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$5,548 on Team Falcons at 49¢

49¢100¢51¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,017 on Aurora at 36¢

36¢0¢36¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$4,194 on Team Falcons at 60¢

60¢100¢40¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$2,638 on Team Falcons at 59¢

59¢100¢41¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,000 on Team Falcons at 52¢

52¢100¢48¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$2,000 on Team Falcons at 53¢

53¢100¢47¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$4,000 on Team Falcons at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Related Theses