Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $137,097.

Categories: Dota 2, Games, Sports, Esports

Notable Trades

Serial cross-market esports bettor

Serial cross-market esports bettor with a large sample bought Aurora at 89¢ before the market moved to 98¢, though lifetime P&L is negative so confidence is moderate.

  • This bettor has traded across 96 events and has won 75% of 1,763 resolved bets.
  • They bought Aurora at 89¢ before the market moved to 98¢.
  • The wallet is experienced but down $22.6K lifetime, so this is more a momentum signal than a proven sharp edge.

$1,200 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 75%

92% serial esports sharp

A highly profitable 92% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Aurora before a sharp 24-point move, though it also briefly held the other side.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $241K lifetime.
  • They have traded 87 related events with the same 92% success rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
  • Aurora was bought at 59¢ before the market moved to 80¢, so this looks sharp but should not be chased far above entry.

$2,700 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%

99% winner backing Aurora

Elite 99% winning wallet bought Aurora at 70¢ before a 24-point move, backed by a long cross-market record and strong lifetime profit.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $189k lifetime.
  • They bought Aurora at 70¢, and the market has already moved to about 80¢.
  • This is a serial cross-market bettor with 50 events tracked and a 99% hit rate.

$1,778 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 99%

74% winner esports sharp

Proven high-volume bettor with a 74% win rate and $187k profit bought Aurora as the price surged 24 percentage points.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 375 resolved trades and is up $187k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 89 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting edge.
  • Aurora has already moved up 24 percentage points, and this wallet entered at 78¢ before the current 80¢ price.

$2,166 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 74%

Perfect-record esports bettor

Sharp esports wallet with a perfect 32-0 resolved record and strong profits bought Aurora despite the market later drifting below its entry.

  • This bettor has won 32 of 32 resolved bets and is up $32.4K lifetime.
  • Their past wins came at average 54¢ odds, suggesting they have beaten the market by a wide margin.
  • They bought Aurora at 85¢ during a 24-point upward move, signaling confidence despite the current pullback to 80¢.

$1,154 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 100%

97% winner backing underdog

Elite esports bettor with a 97% resolved record put $11k on Team Falcons, backed by same-direction cluster flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 195 of 202 resolved positions and is up about $3.4M lifetime.
  • They put $11k on Team Falcons around 50¢ while 8 wallets bought the same side for $31.8k total.
  • The price has since fallen to 14¢, so this is a high-risk copy despite the bettor’s strong track record.

$11,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp esports cluster buying Aurora

High-conviction Aurora flow from 11 wallets includes multiple highly profitable esports traders, a 32-point price move, and serial cross-market winners positioning on the same side.

  • Multiple proven bettors joined the Aurora side, including wallets with 99%, 92%, and 92% winning records across hundreds of resolved positions.
  • 11 wallets bought $28.6K of Aurora, helping move the price from around 48–50¢ to 86¢.
  • Several of these wallets are serial cross-market traders with strong records, including one up $803K and another up $1.27M lifetime.

$28,599 on Aurora

97% esports sharp

Elite 97% win-rate wallet with $3.4M lifetime profit is placing a large Team Falcons position alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.4M lifetime.
  • They put $61K on Team Falcons and have traded 323 markets across 133 events with the same 97% hit rate.
  • Five wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $71K, during a sharp pre-event volume spike.

$61,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable bettor joins Falcons cluster

Profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a $71K five-wallet Team Falcons flow during a 78x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 60% across 348 resolved bets and is up $124K lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought Team Falcons in the same window, totaling $71K on one side.
  • Market volume spiked 78x before the match, and this entry at 50¢ is already trading around 52¢.

$1,500 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 60%

97% sharp scaling in

Elite 97% win-rate wallet with $3.4M profit is adding $26k to Team Falcons amid a major pre-event volume spike and cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.4M lifetime.
  • They put $26k on Team Falcons across 5 buys, including one at 34¢ before the price moved to 56¢.
  • This is part of a larger $78k cross-market position from a serial esports trader with 133 events tracked.

$26,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Team Falcons, $129,581 (97% win rate)
  2. 0xfc25...1f7f Aurora, $68,265 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x996a...e3cc Aurora, $35,535 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x3af1...d739 Aurora, $32,320 (44% win rate)
  5. 0xffe9...a70e Aurora, $26,953 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x67bb...b6ef Aurora, $25,000 (62% win rate)
  7. 0x93cc...6ffc Aurora, $24,000
  8. 0x2146...d41b Team Falcons, $18,358 (52% win rate)
  9. 0x182b...f3d3 Team Falcons, $17,000 (62% win rate)
  10. 0x9eca...5a59 Aurora, $16,828 (90% win rate)

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$137,097 tracked10 signalsDota 2GamesSportsEsports
Aurora
100¢
Team Falcons
0¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 23 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Aurora
102¢
72¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,200 on Aurora at 89¢

89¢100¢11¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$2,700 on Aurora at 59¢

59¢100¢41¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,778 on Aurora at 70¢

70¢100¢30¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$2,166 on Aurora at 78¢

78¢100¢22¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,154 on Aurora at 85¢

85¢100¢15¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$11,000 on Team Falcons at 50¢

50¢0¢50¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$28,599 on Aurora at 54¢

54¢100¢46¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$61,000 on Team Falcons at 54¢

54¢0¢54¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,500 on Team Falcons at 50¢

50¢0¢50¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$26,000 on Team Falcons at 56¢

56¢0¢56¢

Related Theses