Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - More Markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $66,771.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

98% winner leads Aurora cluster

A $59k six-wallet Aurora buy cluster is led by a highly profitable 98% win-rate esports trader and coincides with a massive pre-event volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M is buying Aurora heavily.
  • Six wallets bought the same side for $59k, making up most of this market’s $70k total volume.
  • Volume spiked 919x before the match, suggesting coordinated conviction before Game 1.

$28,045 on Aurora

$1.9M sharp backing Liquid

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 75% long-run win rate bought Team Liquid alongside one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $1.9M lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought Team Liquid in the same window for $7.6K total.
  • They entered at 35¢ before the price moved to 38¢, with volume spiking over 900x normal.

$2,726 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 76%

98% winner buying Aurora

Elite historical wallet with a 98% win rate and $6.9M profit is buying Aurora in a relatively small esports market.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
  • They have traded 298 events across 616 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
  • Buying Aurora at 66¢ implies confidence beyond the market’s current two-thirds pricing.

$2,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% winner backs Aurora

Elite tracked esports bettor with a 98% historical win rate and $6.9M profit bought $17k of Aurora at 67¢.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
  • They have bet across 301 events with the same 98% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
  • The $17k Aurora buy was more than 2x recent market volume at the time, showing strong conviction.

$17,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% winner buying Aurora

Elite historical wallet with a 98% win rate and $6.9M profit is buying Aurora in a relatively small esports market.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
  • They have traded 298 events across 616 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
  • Buying Aurora at 66¢ implies confidence beyond the market’s current two-thirds pricing.

$15,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% winner buying Aurora

Elite historical wallet with a 98% win rate and $6.9M profit is buying Aurora in a relatively small esports market.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
  • They have traded 298 events across 616 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
  • Buying Aurora at 66¢ implies confidence beyond the market’s current two-thirds pricing.

$2,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 19397235, $116,205 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x87da...53d1 Outcome 19397235, $11,362 (77% win rate)
  3. 0x3833...33d1 Outcome 19397235, $8,509 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x4aec...4ce9 Outcome 19397235, $8,000 (89% win rate)
  5. 0xfa88...85a5 Outcome 19397235, $7,406 (74% win rate)
  6. 0xb234...1c20 Outcome 19397235, $5,000 (48% win rate)
  7. 0xce08...510b Outcome 19397235, $4,471 (67% win rate)
  8. 0x2146...d41b Outcome 19397235, $4,411 (62% win rate)
  9. 0x80ba...2e78 Outcome 19397235, $3,314 (61% win rate)
  10. 0x65fe...c200 Outcome 19397235, $2,500 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - More Markets$66,771 tracked6 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Team Liquid in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 11 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$28,045 on Aurora at 63¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$2,726 on Team Liquid at 35¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$2,000 on Aurora at 66¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$17,000 on Aurora at 67¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$15,000 on Aurora at 66¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

7d ago

$2,000 on Aurora at 66¢

Related Theses