Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 2 winner between Aurora and Team Spirit in DreamLeague Group A Dota 2. It resolves to Aurora if Aurora win Game 2, or Team Spirit if Team Spirit win Game 2, with resolution scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 17:30 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $2,000 in smart money across 2 signals, including recent alerts from a 94% win-rate esports sharp.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Team Spirit in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 14 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,210.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
94% winner caught Spirit move
A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet bought Team Spirit at 49¢ before the market surged to 96¢, with broader cross-market positioning on the same event.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.65M lifetime.
- They bought Team Spirit at 49¢ before it moved to 96¢, showing strong timing on the match.
- The wallet has placed $19K across 3 related markets in this event.
$1,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp Aurora cluster
Surface because a highly profitable 88% winner is part of a coordinated Aurora position, with $6.6k aligned flow and cross-market activity despite opposing Team Spirit money.
- One Aurora buyer wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $85k lifetime.
- Three wallets put $6.6k on Aurora, including one Team Spirit sell that converts to buying Aurora at 25¢.
- Aurora is now around 28¢, below the cluster’s average entry near 34¢, giving a better price than most of the flagged flow.
$6,559 on Aurora
Sharp bettor joins Spirit cluster
Surface this because a highly profitable 84% win-rate wallet bought Team Spirit alongside a 6-wallet same-direction cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $36.6K lifetime.
- Six wallets bought Team Spirit in the same window, totaling $11.5K.
- Volume spiked 60x before the match, suggesting unusually strong attention on this side.
$1,028 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp esports cluster
Surface: Aurora has one-sided cluster buying backed by multiple highly profitable esports bettors, a sharp rapid price move, and cross-market positioning despite opposing flow on Team Spirit.
- Two strong bettors in this cluster win 87–88% of resolved bets and are up about $130K combined.
- Four wallets bought $5.5K of Aurora, helping move the price from as low as 40¢ to 55¢.
- This is part of broader cross-market positioning, including a trader active across 72 events with $731K staked.
$5,500 on Aurora
93% winner joins Team Spirit flow
Elite 93% lifetime winner is buying Team Spirit alongside one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $242K lifetime.
- Six wallets are buying Team Spirit the same way, totaling nearly $17K.
- Market volume is spiking 108x above normal, suggesting unusually strong pre-match attention.
$4,237 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly experienced profitable esports bettor is buying Team Spirit alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved against that side.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 1,376 resolved bets, a 64% win rate, and $187,761 in profit.
- Six wallets bought the same Team Spirit side for about $16,976 during the scan window.
- Market volume spiked 108x above normal, suggesting unusual pre-match attention.
$1,620 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable sharp plus cluster
High-score alert from a highly profitable serial sports trader, backed by one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike on Team Spirit.
- This bettor has won 61% of 1,906 resolved bets and is up $292,718 lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same Team Spirit side for about $17,000 total.
- Volume spiked 108x before the match, and this bettor paid 56¢ while the market is now around 52¢.
$4,594 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 61%
Sharp cluster buying Team Spirit
Strong Team Spirit buy cluster with multiple highly profitable esports bettors, including a 93% winner up $242k, plus a 212x pre-event volume spike.
- Several proven bettors are aligned here, including one who wins 93% of bets and is up $242k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought Team Spirit for $17k in the same five-minute window, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- Market activity is 212x above normal, suggesting a major pre-match positioning move.
$16,976 on Team Spirit
Elite esports sharp
Elite 94% win-rate esports bettor is adding a $3,000 Team Spirit position as part of a larger cross-market thesis on the same event.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.65M lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 86 events, 210 markets, and nearly $5M traded.
- This is part of a larger $27,000 same-event position, suggesting a clear Team Spirit thesis.
$3,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%
Serial esports market mover
Serial high-volume esports cross-market trader is buying Team Spirit into a major pre-event volume spike, despite negative lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has traded 307 markets across 214 events, so they are an experienced cross-market player.
- The market saw a 307x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusual attention before the match.
- They bought Team Spirit at 54¢ while the market is now around 52%, a modest conviction bet rather than a whale-sized position.
$2,694 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Team Spirit, $48,840 (95% win rate)
- 0xcd36...0f01 — Team Spirit, $28,789
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Team Spirit, $18,453 (62% win rate)
- 0x5a05...12a2 — Aurora, $13,841 (40% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Aurora, $13,690 (50% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — Aurora, $12,030 (66% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Team Spirit, $9,500 (61% win rate)
- 0x55d9...832c — Aurora, $9,500 (87% win rate)
- 0x3a09...f9f7 — Aurora, $9,299 (53% win rate)
- 0xf3ce...a57a — Team Spirit, $7,656 (93% win rate)
