Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $249,640.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

21-wallet Aurora cluster with sharp bettors

A concentrated 21-wallet Aurora cluster deployed $55,281 alongside several highly profitable bettors and drove a 26-point price increase, though the market has since reached 100%.

  • 21 wallets tied to two funders bought $55,281 of Aurora, creating strong coordinated one-sided conviction.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 98% across 464 bets and 89% across 19 bets with meaningful profits.
  • Aurora purchases ranged from 47¢ to 78¢ before the market moved to 100%; a smaller four-wallet group took the opposite side.

$55,281 on Aurora

27-wallet Yandex buying cluster

A large coordinated Team Yandex position is supported by a 77x volume spike and several highly profitable bettors with substantial historical edge.

  • 27 wallets committed $84,667 to Team Yandex, with most entries around 58¢–61¢ while the market is now 64¢.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 96% and 84% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
  • Trading volume surged to 77 times its historical average, although an opposing Aurora cluster makes this a less certain signal.

$84,667 on Team Yandex

98% winner scaling into Aurora

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate and $9.86M P&L added $59,000 to Aurora amid an extreme event-related volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 618 of 628 resolved positions—98%—and is up $9.86M lifetime.
  • They concentrated $59,000 into Aurora across seven buys, adding to an existing $124,226 position.
  • The trade coincided with a 42.6x historical volume spike and a 4,279x spike versus normal 24-hour activity.

$59,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

Serial sharp scaling into Team Yandex

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate is adding $3,196 to an existing Team Yandex position at 66%.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 96 resolved trades and earned $69,585 in profit.
  • The wallet trades across 38 events and is adding to an existing Team Yandex position, raising its investment to over $14,500.
  • The 66¢ entry implies a roughly 1.5x payout if Team Yandex wins, while the market currently prices it at 66%.

$3,196 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 85%

95% win-rate bettor scaling into Aurora

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge is scaling into Aurora at 37¢ with a $15,000 purchase.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 190 resolved positions and is up $1.81 million.
  • They added $14,969 at 37¢, equal to 63% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet already held $68,369 of Aurora at the same average price, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.

$14,969 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%

95% win-rate bettor scales Aurora

A highly profitable 95% win-rate bettor with 190 resolved positions is adding $24.5K to Aurora at 37%, despite already holding a large position.

  • This bettor wins 95% of trades across 190 resolved positions and is up $1.81M.
  • They added $24,519 to Aurora at 37%, a large commitment in a relatively quiet market.
  • The existing $67,061 Aurora position makes this a meaningful increase in conviction, not a routine new entry.

$24,520 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%

98% winner scaling into Team Yandex

A highly proven serial bettor with a 98% win rate is adding $4,000 to an existing Team Yandex position in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 462 resolved positions and is up $283,668.
  • They added $4,000 to an existing Team Yandex position, bringing total investment to $10,250.
  • The trade represented 94% of the market's 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction in a relatively quiet market.

$4,000 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp bettor scales into Team Yandex

A proven 83% winner with substantial edge added $4,006 to Team Yandex in a thin market, reinforcing an existing position.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 94 resolved trades and is up $66,317 lifetime.
  • They added $4,006 to Team Yandex at 64¢, reinforcing an existing $6,260 position.
  • The trades exceeded the market’s $2,122 in 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a relatively thin market.

$4,006 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 49911618, $27,147 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x7993...cf5a Outcome 49911618, $16,107 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x4572...5e86 Outcome 49911618, $14,490 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x57b4...b46b Outcome 49911618, $14,091 (93% win rate)
  5. 0xdc40...89cf Outcome 49911618, $14,000 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x4aec...4ce9 Outcome 49911618, $14,000 (87% win rate)
  7. 0x3355...dd2f Outcome 49911618, $12,600 (61% win rate)
  8. 0x8992...ed1f Outcome 49911618, $12,484 (85% win rate)
  9. 0xf3b0...23a1 Outcome 49911618, $12,287 (97% win rate)
  10. 0x05a7...42e6 Outcome 49911618, $12,152 (96% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved$249,640 tracked8 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Aurora and Team Yandex in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Aurora
102¢
60¢
17¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$55,281 on Aurora at 74¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$84,667 on Team Yandex at 60¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$59,000 on Aurora at 38¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$3,196 on Team Yandex at 66¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$14,969 on Aurora at 37¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$24,520 on Aurora at 37¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$4,000 on Team Yandex at 64¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$4,006 on Team Yandex at 64¢

Related Theses