Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $249,640.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
21-wallet Aurora cluster with sharp bettors
A concentrated 21-wallet Aurora cluster deployed $55,281 alongside several highly profitable bettors and drove a 26-point price increase, though the market has since reached 100%.
- 21 wallets tied to two funders bought $55,281 of Aurora, creating strong coordinated one-sided conviction.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including 98% across 464 bets and 89% across 19 bets with meaningful profits.
- Aurora purchases ranged from 47¢ to 78¢ before the market moved to 100%; a smaller four-wallet group took the opposite side.
$55,281 on Aurora
27-wallet Yandex buying cluster
A large coordinated Team Yandex position is supported by a 77x volume spike and several highly profitable bettors with substantial historical edge.
- 27 wallets committed $84,667 to Team Yandex, with most entries around 58¢–61¢ while the market is now 64¢.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including 96% and 84% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
- Trading volume surged to 77 times its historical average, although an opposing Aurora cluster makes this a less certain signal.
$84,667 on Team Yandex
98% winner scaling into Aurora
A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate and $9.86M P&L added $59,000 to Aurora amid an extreme event-related volume spike.
- This bettor has won 618 of 628 resolved positions—98%—and is up $9.86M lifetime.
- They concentrated $59,000 into Aurora across seven buys, adding to an existing $124,226 position.
- The trade coincided with a 42.6x historical volume spike and a 4,279x spike versus normal 24-hour activity.
$59,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%
Serial sharp scaling into Team Yandex
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate is adding $3,196 to an existing Team Yandex position at 66%.
- This bettor has won 83% of 96 resolved trades and earned $69,585 in profit.
- The wallet trades across 38 events and is adding to an existing Team Yandex position, raising its investment to over $14,500.
- The 66¢ entry implies a roughly 1.5x payout if Team Yandex wins, while the market currently prices it at 66%.
$3,196 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 85%
95% win-rate bettor scaling into Aurora
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge is scaling into Aurora at 37¢ with a $15,000 purchase.
- This bettor has won 95% of 190 resolved positions and is up $1.81 million.
- They added $14,969 at 37¢, equal to 63% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The wallet already held $68,369 of Aurora at the same average price, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
$14,969 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%
95% win-rate bettor scales Aurora
A highly profitable 95% win-rate bettor with 190 resolved positions is adding $24.5K to Aurora at 37%, despite already holding a large position.
- This bettor wins 95% of trades across 190 resolved positions and is up $1.81M.
- They added $24,519 to Aurora at 37%, a large commitment in a relatively quiet market.
- The existing $67,061 Aurora position makes this a meaningful increase in conviction, not a routine new entry.
$24,520 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%
98% winner scaling into Team Yandex
A highly proven serial bettor with a 98% win rate is adding $4,000 to an existing Team Yandex position in a thin market.
- This bettor has won 98% of 462 resolved positions and is up $283,668.
- They added $4,000 to an existing Team Yandex position, bringing total investment to $10,250.
- The trade represented 94% of the market's 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction in a relatively quiet market.
$4,000 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp bettor scales into Team Yandex
A proven 83% winner with substantial edge added $4,006 to Team Yandex in a thin market, reinforcing an existing position.
- This bettor wins 83% of 94 resolved trades and is up $66,317 lifetime.
- They added $4,006 to Team Yandex at 64¢, reinforcing an existing $6,260 position.
- The trades exceeded the market’s $2,122 in 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a relatively thin market.
$4,006 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 49911618, $27,147 (65% win rate)
- 0x7993...cf5a — Outcome 49911618, $16,107 (94% win rate)
- 0x4572...5e86 — Outcome 49911618, $14,490 (76% win rate)
- 0x57b4...b46b — Outcome 49911618, $14,091 (93% win rate)
- 0xdc40...89cf — Outcome 49911618, $14,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x4aec...4ce9 — Outcome 49911618, $14,000 (87% win rate)
- 0x3355...dd2f — Outcome 49911618, $12,600 (61% win rate)
- 0x8992...ed1f — Outcome 49911618, $12,484 (85% win rate)
- 0xf3b0...23a1 — Outcome 49911618, $12,287 (97% win rate)
- 0x05a7...42e6 — Outcome 49911618, $12,152 (96% win rate)
