Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $80,653.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

98% bettor backs Aurora

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial edge placed a concentrated $34,000 Aurora position amid a major pre-event volume spike and coordinated buying.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 630 resolved positions and is up $9.9 million lifetime.
  • They concentrated roughly $34,000 on Aurora at 40–41¢ despite the market now pricing Aurora at 36%.
  • Aurora buying coincided with a 112.8x historical volume spike and three-wallet one-sided activity.

$33,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp cluster scaling into Team Yandex

Four wallets concentrated $16,153 on Team Yandex, including two highly profitable bettors and a linked-funder cluster, with corroborating cross-market performance.

  • Four wallets bought $16,153 of Team Yandex, including two bettors with 95% win rates.
  • One 95% bettor is up $1.42M across 862 resolved positions, while another is up $16,051 on 37 bets.
  • Two wallets share a funder, and related cross-market positioning has shown a 98% win rate.

$12,437 on Team Yandex

98% bettor backs Aurora

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial edge placed a concentrated $34,000 Aurora position amid a major pre-event volume spike and coordinated buying.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 630 resolved positions and is up $9.9 million lifetime.
  • They concentrated roughly $34,000 on Aurora at 40–41¢ despite the market now pricing Aurora at 36%.
  • Aurora buying coincided with a 112.8x historical volume spike and three-wallet one-sided activity.

$34,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

95% win-rate bettor adds to Yandex

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding to Team Yandex amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 35 of 37 resolved trades and is up $16,051 on $88,420 invested.
  • They are adding to an existing Team Yandex position at 59¢, signaling continued conviction.
  • The market saw a 4,279x volume spike versus its 24-hour average, adding support to the move.

$1,216 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 10393406, $120,584 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x19ae...395c Outcome 10393406, $16,541 (49% win rate)
  3. 0xde24...4ded Outcome 10393406, $12,136 (69% win rate)
  4. 0x86b1...c094 Outcome 10393406, $9,796 (32% win rate)
  5. 0x04f6...f24a Outcome 10393406, $9,162 (54% win rate)
  6. 0xfa88...85a5 Outcome 10393406, $5,000 (73% win rate)
  7. 0xd6f5...f3b5 Outcome 10393406, $5,000 (85% win rate)
  8. 0xe62c...a6e1 Outcome 10393406, $5,000
  9. 0x2c63...0ca5 Outcome 10393406, $4,538 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xc1de...21f5 Outcome 10393406, $4,000 (98% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage$80,653 tracked4 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Aurora and Team Yandex in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Yandex
102¢
79¢
56¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

9d ago

$33,000 on Aurora at 40¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

9d ago

$12,437 on Team Yandex at 61¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

9d ago

$34,000 on Aurora at 40¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

9d ago

$1,216 on Team Yandex at 59¢

Related Theses