Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier
This Polymarket market covers the Dota 2 BO3 quarterfinal between Aurora and Tundra Esports in the BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier. Current smart money tracked is $6,677 across 1 signal, with recent sharp alerts highlighting Aurora buying activity; the market resolves after a match winner is determined, with a listed resolution time of May 30, 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,213.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and +$220k lifetime P&L bought Aurora for $6.7k at 87¢ before it moved to 100¢.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $220k lifetime.
- They have traded across 102 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- The $6.7k Aurora buy entered at 87¢ and the market has since moved to 100¢.
$6,677 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable esports cluster
Four wallets, including a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor, collectively bought Tundra into a volume spike despite Aurora being the favorite.
- A bettor up $1.27M lifetime joined this Tundra side, with a 73% record across 1,050 resolved bets.
- Four wallets put $5.2K on Tundra in the same window, while market volume spiked 19x before the match.
- Most entries were at 24–25¢ and Tundra is now around 32¢, suggesting early buyers caught a meaningful move.
$5,234 on Tundra Esports
Serial esports bettor on momentum
Aurora has strong pre-match momentum with a 19x volume spike and an 18-point price move, backed by a high-activity esports bettor despite weak lifetime profitability.
- Aurora has seen a 19x volume spike before the match, with its price up 18 points.
- This bettor has traded across 125 events and wins 74% of resolved bets, though mostly at heavy-favorite prices.
- Entry at 69¢ follows clear market momentum and implies Aurora is now the favored side.
$3,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 74%
98% serial esports bettor
A highly experienced cross-market esports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Aurora for $7.2k, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor has won 98% of 1,096 resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 617 markets with $759k tracked volume.
- The market has moved against them from an 87¢ entry to 68¢, so the current price is much cheaper than their buy.
$7,203 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%
96% winner buying favorite
A highly profitable bettor with a 23-1 resolved record bought Aurora, supported by a volume spike and notable price movement despite the current pullback.
- This bettor has won 23 of 24 resolved positions and is up $11.3K lifetime.
- They bought Aurora at 89¢, implying very high confidence in the favorite.
- The market saw a 19x volume spike and an 18-point Aurora price move around the action.
$1,352 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable momentum bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Aurora amid a 19x volume spike and an 18-point price move upward.
- This bettor is up $161K across more than 1,400 resolved trades.
- Aurora has surged 18 percentage points with a 19x pre-event volume spike.
- The wallet has traded 118 events and is re-entering Aurora at 68¢.
$2,476 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 60%
92% win-rate esports sharp
Elite profitable esports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate is buying Tundra, backed by one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $966K lifetime.
- They bought $4.2K of Tundra at 43¢, below the current 44% market price.
- Three wallets are all buying Tundra, while market volume spiked 38x before the match.
$4,213 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 92%
Coordinated Tundra flow
High composite alert from coordinated Tundra buying, a 38x pre-event volume spike, and a profitable serial cross-market trader taking the same side.
- Three wallets are all buying Tundra, totaling $6.9K on the same side.
- This market saw a 38x volume spike before the match, suggesting fresh attention on Tundra.
- The bettor is a seasoned cross-market trader across 66 events and is up $35.9K lifetime.
$1,652 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp cluster buying Aurora
Seven wallets, including two highly profitable high-win-rate esports bettors, pushed Aurora with $17.3k one-sided flow during a 12.8x volume spike and 25-point price move.
- Seven wallets are all betting Aurora, with $17.3k in one-sided flow before the match.
- Two standout bettors in the cluster win 94% and 98% of resolved bets, both with positive lifetime profit.
- Aurora jumped 25 points during the buying wave, and the market still has tight 76–77¢ pricing.
$17,284 on Aurora
97% serial esports bettor
Elite wallet with a 97% resolved win rate and $4.5M profit is buying Aurora while also showing heavy cross-market activity on this event.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $4.5M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 195 events, with $9.7M total deployed and the same 97% win rate.
- They have $71K positioned across 3 markets tied to this event, suggesting a broader match thesis.
$2,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x3b4c...e850 — Outcome 50087970, $48,407
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 55563048, $23,411 (61% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 55563048, $22,887 (74% win rate)
- 0x183f...85e3 — Outcome 55563048, $20,300 (55% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — Outcome 55563048, $19,014 (92% win rate)
- 0x6373...a0b7 — Outcome 55563048, $17,624 (71% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Outcome 50087970, $17,570 (81% win rate)
- 0x2146...d41b — Outcome 55563048, $17,430 (57% win rate)
- 0x009b...26da — Outcome 55563048, $15,951 (48% win rate)
- 0xef62...cf76 — Outcome 55563048, $13,190 (63% win rate)
