Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

This Polymarket market covers the Dota 2 BO3 quarterfinal between Aurora and Tundra Esports in the BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier. Current smart money tracked is $6,677 across 1 signal, with recent sharp alerts highlighting Aurora buying activity; the market resolves after a match winner is determined, with a listed resolution time of May 30, 2026 at 18:00 UTC.

22 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,213.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and +$220k lifetime P&L bought Aurora for $6.7k at 87¢ before it moved to 100¢.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $220k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 102 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • The $6.7k Aurora buy entered at 87¢ and the market has since moved to 100¢.

$6,677 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable esports cluster

Four wallets, including a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor, collectively bought Tundra into a volume spike despite Aurora being the favorite.

  • A bettor up $1.27M lifetime joined this Tundra side, with a 73% record across 1,050 resolved bets.
  • Four wallets put $5.2K on Tundra in the same window, while market volume spiked 19x before the match.
  • Most entries were at 24–25¢ and Tundra is now around 32¢, suggesting early buyers caught a meaningful move.

$5,234 on Tundra Esports

Serial esports bettor on momentum

Aurora has strong pre-match momentum with a 19x volume spike and an 18-point price move, backed by a high-activity esports bettor despite weak lifetime profitability.

  • Aurora has seen a 19x volume spike before the match, with its price up 18 points.
  • This bettor has traded across 125 events and wins 74% of resolved bets, though mostly at heavy-favorite prices.
  • Entry at 69¢ follows clear market momentum and implies Aurora is now the favored side.

$3,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 74%

98% serial esports bettor

A highly experienced cross-market esports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought Aurora for $7.2k, though the market has since moved against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 1,096 resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 617 markets with $759k tracked volume.
  • The market has moved against them from an 87¢ entry to 68¢, so the current price is much cheaper than their buy.

$7,203 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

96% winner buying favorite

A highly profitable bettor with a 23-1 resolved record bought Aurora, supported by a volume spike and notable price movement despite the current pullback.

  • This bettor has won 23 of 24 resolved positions and is up $11.3K lifetime.
  • They bought Aurora at 89¢, implying very high confidence in the favorite.
  • The market saw a 19x volume spike and an 18-point Aurora price move around the action.

$1,352 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable momentum bettor

Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Aurora amid a 19x volume spike and an 18-point price move upward.

  • This bettor is up $161K across more than 1,400 resolved trades.
  • Aurora has surged 18 percentage points with a 19x pre-event volume spike.
  • The wallet has traded 118 events and is re-entering Aurora at 68¢.

$2,476 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 60%

92% win-rate esports sharp

Elite profitable esports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate is buying Tundra, backed by one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $966K lifetime.
  • They bought $4.2K of Tundra at 43¢, below the current 44% market price.
  • Three wallets are all buying Tundra, while market volume spiked 38x before the match.

$4,213 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 92%

Coordinated Tundra flow

High composite alert from coordinated Tundra buying, a 38x pre-event volume spike, and a profitable serial cross-market trader taking the same side.

  • Three wallets are all buying Tundra, totaling $6.9K on the same side.
  • This market saw a 38x volume spike before the match, suggesting fresh attention on Tundra.
  • The bettor is a seasoned cross-market trader across 66 events and is up $35.9K lifetime.

$1,652 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp cluster buying Aurora

Seven wallets, including two highly profitable high-win-rate esports bettors, pushed Aurora with $17.3k one-sided flow during a 12.8x volume spike and 25-point price move.

  • Seven wallets are all betting Aurora, with $17.3k in one-sided flow before the match.
  • Two standout bettors in the cluster win 94% and 98% of resolved bets, both with positive lifetime profit.
  • Aurora jumped 25 points during the buying wave, and the market still has tight 76–77¢ pricing.

$17,284 on Aurora

97% serial esports bettor

Elite wallet with a 97% resolved win rate and $4.5M profit is buying Aurora while also showing heavy cross-market activity on this event.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $4.5M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 195 events, with $9.7M total deployed and the same 97% win rate.
  • They have $71K positioned across 3 markets tied to this event, suggesting a broader match thesis.

$2,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3b4c...e850 Outcome 50087970, $48,407
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 55563048, $23,411 (61% win rate)
  3. 0xcf60...a6f5 Outcome 55563048, $22,887 (74% win rate)
  4. 0x183f...85e3 Outcome 55563048, $20,300 (55% win rate)
  5. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 55563048, $19,014 (92% win rate)
  6. 0x6373...a0b7 Outcome 55563048, $17,624 (71% win rate)
  7. 0xa9c4...7433 Outcome 50087970, $17,570 (81% win rate)
  8. 0x2146...d41b Outcome 55563048, $17,430 (57% win rate)
  9. 0x009b...26da Outcome 55563048, $15,951 (48% win rate)
  10. 0xef62...cf76 Outcome 55563048, $13,190 (63% win rate)

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Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier$108,213 tracked22 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 2 match between Aurora and Tundra Esports in the BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for May 30 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Tundra Esports. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Aurora
68¢
66¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

3h ago

$6,677 on Aurora at 87¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

3h ago

$5,234 on Tundra Esports at 24¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

3h ago

$3,000 on Aurora at 69¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

3h ago

$7,203 on Aurora at 87¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

3h ago

$1,352 on Aurora at 89¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

3h ago

$2,476 on Aurora at 68¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

4h ago

$4,213 on Tundra Esports at 43¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

4h ago

$1,652 on Tundra Esports at 44¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

3h ago

$17,284 on Aurora at 75¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

4h ago

$2,000 on Aurora at 61¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

4h ago

$14,000 on Aurora at 63¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

4h ago

$2,991 on Tundra Esports at 38¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

4h ago

$12,000 on Aurora at 63¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

5h ago

$1,001 on Tundra Esports at 52¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

5h ago

$2,500 on Tundra Esports at 65¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

6h ago

$6,833 on Tundra Esports at 68¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

7h ago

$4,543 on Aurora at 66¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

10h ago

$6,844 on Aurora at 64¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

10h ago

$2,000 on Aurora at 64¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

15h ago

$1,100 on Aurora at 67¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

15h ago

$1,157 on Aurora at 66¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

20h ago

$2,152 on Aurora at 65¢

Related Theses