Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
This Polymarket market covers the DreamLeague Playoffs Lower Bracket Quarterfinals BO3 between Aurora and Tundra Esports, resolving to the team that wins the match. PolySpotter is tracking $74,000 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including alerts tied to a sharp esports bettor and an Aurora wallet cluster. The market is scheduled to resolve by May 23, 2026 at 01:00 UTC, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated rules.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinals 1 match between Aurora and Tundra Esports in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 22 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Tundra Esports. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $86,767.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
96% sharp esports bettor
Elite 96% win-rate wallet with $3.27M lifetime profit placed a concentrated $74k Tundra bet, reinforced by serial cross-market success and pre-event volume spikes.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.27M lifetime.
- They put $74k into Tundra across 10 buys at about 44¢.
- This wallet has traded 316 markets across 131 events with the same 96% hit rate.
$74,000 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable linked esports cluster
A 4-wallet one-sided Aurora cluster, including linked funding and two highly profitable esports-style bettors, is buying into a meaningful pre-match volume spike.
- Four wallets bought $12.8K of Aurora in the same direction, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- Two wallets in the cluster are up more than $500K lifetime, including one with a 71% resolved-bet record.
- Market volume is surging at 27x normal, and the cluster is entering around 57¢ before the match resolves.
$12,767 on Aurora
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Tundra Esports, $168,088 (97% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Aurora, $109,246 (45% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Tundra Esports, $40,000 (70% win rate)
- 0x7714...b814 — Aurora, $33,393 (67% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Aurora, $24,010 (62% win rate)
- 0xfd1b...e3b3 — Aurora, $11,643 (52% win rate)
- 0xdff0...f573 — Aurora, $7,210 (46% win rate)
- 0x9c1c...7980 — Aurora, $6,900 (66% win rate)
- 0xcc6e...fa6f — Aurora, $5,441 (52% win rate)
- 0xf201...527e — Aurora, $5,327 (71% win rate)
