Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $106,954.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports sharp

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora at 85¢ before the price moved to 92¢, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $524K lifetime across 831 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 214 markets across 120 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • Aurora moved from their 85¢ entry to 92¢ after the trade, with volume spiking 109x above normal.

$3,746 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large track record bought Aurora despite the market later moving sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 831 resolved bets and is up $524k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 120 events with $1.09M of flagged activity.
  • They paid 85¢ for Aurora, while the market is now around 58¢, offering a much cheaper entry than theirs.

$3,776 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved history bought Aurora at 69¢, suggesting a modest but credible edge despite the trade being small relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 831 resolved bets and is up $524k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 120 events with over $1.09M flagged volume.
  • Entry at 69¢ backs the current favorite, implying they still see value near the market price.

$1,265 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 72%

96% winner backs underdog

Surfaced despite the weak alert score because the buyer has an exceptional 96% resolved-bet record and $3.27M lifetime profit.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.27M lifetime.
  • They bought the 24–25¢ underdog, implying they see Tundra as meaningfully underpriced.
  • The wallet has been flagged many times before, suggesting this is a repeat sharp bettor rather than a one-off bet.

$1,000 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 98%

96% winner backing underdog

Elite 96% win-rate wallet with $3.27M profit is buying Tundra across multiple related markets despite Tundra being the underdog.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.27M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $7.3M deployed across 131 events.
  • They put $14K on underdog Tundra here and $55K across 3 related markets.

$14,000 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 98%

96% sharp esports bettor

Elite 96% win-rate wallet with $3.27M lifetime profit placed a concentrated $74k Tundra bet, reinforced by serial cross-market success and pre-event volume spikes.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.27M lifetime.
  • They put $74k into Tundra across 10 buys at about 44¢.
  • This wallet has traded 316 markets across 131 events with the same 96% hit rate.

$74,000 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable Aurora cluster

Three wallets, including two highly profitable long-term bettors, bought $9.2k of Aurora in the same direction at 54–58¢ before the market moved to 59¢.

  • Three wallets bought $9.2k of Aurora, with entries at 54–58¢ before odds moved to 59¢.
  • Two of the wallets are major long-term winners, up about $575k and $524k lifetime.
  • The largest buyer has been flagged repeatedly before and put $6.4k on Aurora at 55¢.

$9,168 on Aurora

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 57518912, $197,268 (98% win rate)
  2. 0xcf60...a6f5 Outcome 57518912, $40,000 (80% win rate)
  3. 0xddb6...b9b3 Outcome 57518912, $8,708 (87% win rate)
  4. 0x4574...273d Outcome 57518912, $4,000 (93% win rate)
  5. 0xe2e9...1c08 Outcome 57518912, $3,434 (61% win rate)
  6. 0xb2f2...89a3 Outcome 57518912, $2,100
  7. 0x888b...5d1a Outcome 57518912, $1,982 (84% win rate)
  8. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 57518912, $1,814 (91% win rate)
  9. 0x52b7...0aa1 Outcome 57518912, $1,750
  10. 0x1f95...15d7 Outcome 57518912, $1,111

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$106,954 tracked7 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinals 1 match between Aurora and Tundra Esports in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 22 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Tundra Esports. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

59d ago

$3,746 on Aurora at 85¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

59d ago

$3,776 on Aurora at 85¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

59d ago

$1,265 on Aurora at 69¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

59d ago

$1,000 on Tundra Esports at 25¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

59d ago

$14,000 on Tundra Esports at 40¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

59d ago

$74,000 on Tundra Esports at 44¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

59d ago

$9,168 on Aurora at 55¢

Related Theses