Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

This prediction market covers the Dota 2 DreamLeague Group A best-of-three match between Aurora and Vici Gaming, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It resolves to Aurora if Aurora win the match, to Vici Gaming if Vici Gaming win, or 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $1,200 in smart money across 1 signal, including an elite 96% winner backing the underdog.

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Vici Gaming in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 16 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,417.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial cross-market winner

Serial cross-market bettor with a huge sample and positive lifetime P&L bought Aurora at 67¢, though the edge looks modest in a fairly liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 992 resolved bets and is up about $28K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 576 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 67¢ is close to the current market price, so this looks like a steady edge play rather than a whale move.

$1,200 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 73%

Elite 96% winner backs underdog

Elite wallet with a 96% resolved win rate and $2.0M lifetime profit bought $18k of Vici Gaming despite the alert's otherwise modest low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
  • They put $18k on Vici Gaming at 33¢, taking the underdog side against the current market favorite.
  • The bet was nearly 5x recent market volume at detection, suggesting strong conviction in a relatively quiet market.

$18,000 on Vici Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%

New profitable esports whale

A 2-day-old wallet with repeat large flagged bets and an early $27k profit is buying Aurora in a relatively quiet esports market.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already had 4 large-bet alerts totaling $27.6k.
  • The wallet is up $27.1k on its only resolved position so far.
  • It is buying Aurora at 66¢ in a market with only $3.7k total volume.

$1,217 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Vici Gaming, $69,109 (96% win rate)
  2. 0xed8f...a623 Aurora, $60,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x0dcf...c556 Vici Gaming, $6,503 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x55d9...832c Aurora, $4,000 (87% win rate)
  5. 0x8dd1...5a9b Aurora, $1,791 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x15e4...7ba4 Vici Gaming, $1,718 (88% win rate)
  7. 0xfdc0...4b85 Aurora, $1,651 (48% win rate)
  8. 0x1ff3...ee6d Vici Gaming, $1,491
  9. 0x0650...865c Aurora, $1,468 (92% win rate)
  10. 0x8935...7daa Aurora, $1,004

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

5hDota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$20,417 tracked3 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Aurora
67¢
Vici Gaming
33¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Vici Gaming in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 16 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Aurora
69¢
66¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

46m ago

$1,200 on Aurora at 67¢

67¢67¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

1h ago

$18,000 on Vici Gaming at 33¢

33¢33¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

3h ago

$1,217 on Aurora at 66¢

66¢67¢1¢

Related Theses