Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Aurora and Vici Gaming in DreamLeague Group A, scheduled for May 16 at 9:30AM ET. It resolves to Aurora if Aurora win Game 1, or to Vici Gaming if Vici Gaming win Game 1, with final resolution expected on May 16, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $6,997 in smart money and 2 signals, including sharp esports buying and underdog backing activity.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Vici Gaming in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 16 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,997.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp esports cluster buying
High-scoring Aurora buy cluster led by an 81% lifetime winner with $105k profit and extensive cross-market history.
- A bettor who wins 81% of resolved trades is buying Aurora and is up $105k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $4.1k, with two linked wallets sharing a funder.
- The lead wallet has traded 110 related events, suggesting a repeatable esports betting edge.
$4,054 on Aurora
93% winner backs underdog
Elite esports bettor with a 93% win rate and strong lifetime profits bought Vici Gaming at 41% despite the market pricing them as the underdog.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $318K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 134 events, with the same 93% hit rate.
- Entry at 41¢ backs the underdog and implies they see meaningful value versus Aurora.
$2,943 on Vici Gaming | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Vici Gaming, $21,453 (96% win rate)
- 0xba8c...e77d — Aurora, $15,000 (90% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Aurora, $9,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x913c...39b3 — Vici Gaming, $7,809 (63% win rate)
- 0xf3ce...a57a — Vici Gaming, $7,178 (93% win rate)
- 0xe922...39b3 — Aurora, $3,050 (54% win rate)
- 0x2146...d41b — Vici Gaming, $2,000 (44% win rate)
- 0xc9f4...c1e4 — Vici Gaming, $1,921
- 0x93bd...bbc5 — Aurora, $1,893 (66% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...4b85 — Aurora, $1,832 (48% win rate)
Related Theses
PARIVISION sweeps Xtreme Gaming
Covers 3 related markets
Vici and ex-HEROIC split games
Covers 2 related markets
