Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,448.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Elite esports cluster
Three profitable serial bettors, including wallets with 99% and 91% historical win rates, bought Aurora together before the price jumped from ~67¢ to 87¢.
- Two of these bettors have extraordinary records: 99% and 91% wins across 217 resolved positions combined.
- Three wallets bought $6.6k of Aurora at 66–68¢ before the market moved to 87¢.
- These are serial cross-market traders with hundreds of prior bets and strong lifetime profits.
$6,617 on Aurora
99% winner buying Aurora
Surface: a highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate bought Aurora despite the price already being near two-thirds implied probability.
- This bettor has won 90 of 91 resolved bets and is up $155,792 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with a 99% win rate.
- Entry at 68¢ suggests they still see value on Aurora in a fairly liquid match market.
$1,749 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 99%
Proven esports sharp
Proven high-volume cross-market bettor with 71% wins and +$881k lifetime is buying Aurora at 66%.
- This bettor has won 71% of 987 resolved bets and is up $881k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.48M traded across 331 events.
- Entry at 66¢ implies they see Aurora as underpriced despite the market already favoring them.
$3,368 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 71%
96% winner backs underdog
A highly proven esports bettor with a 96% win rate and over $2.2M in profit is buying Virtus.pro at 31¢.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $2.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 113 events and 265 markets with the same 96% hit rate.
- Buying Virtus.pro at 31¢ suggests they see meaningful upside in the underdog.
$1,000 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 96%
Serial bettor sizing up
A serial cross-market bettor with a positive 103-bet record put a large $28.7k position on Aurora, nearly matching the market's full daily volume.
- This bettor wins 66% of resolved bets and is up $2.7k across 103 markets.
- They put $28.7k on Aurora, equal to 88% of this market’s 24h volume.
- The market is now 83%, slightly better than their 85% entry.
$28,715 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 68%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Outcome 51638081, $58,598 (96% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Outcome 11327396, $12,886 (50% win rate)
- 0x8d85...c436 — Outcome 51638081, $10,541 (54% win rate)
- 0x52b7...0aa1 — Outcome 51638081, $3,750
- 0x5672...7312 — Outcome 51638081, $3,500
- 0x2307...3934 — Outcome 51638081, $2,913 (55% win rate)
- 0xad4d...dd89 — Outcome 51638081, $2,882 (100% win rate)
- 0x30da...a11d — Outcome 51638081, $2,632
- 0x5d34...7c8c — Outcome 51638081, $2,500 (83% win rate)
- 0x2d39...6053 — Outcome 51638081, $2,124 (48% win rate)
