Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,588.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

91% win-rate esports sharp

Elite esports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and $1.23M profit bought Virtus.pro, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved positions and is up $1.23M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 107 events with $853K in tracked event-level volume.
Bought Virtus.pro at 61¢, but the market has since fallen to about 10¢, so this is a high-risk stale-entry signal.

$1,093 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 92%

93% win-rate esports sharp

Elite esports bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.7M lifetime profit is buying Virtus.pro at 43¢ amid a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $2.7M lifetime.
They have traded across 431 events with a huge $5.6M total track record.
Entry at 43¢ implies they see Virtus.pro as meaningfully underpriced.

$1,570 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp-led Aurora cluster

A profitable 93% lifetime bettor led a 4-wallet Aurora buy cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against their entries.

The largest buyer wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $386K lifetime.
Four wallets bought $16K of Aurora before the match, creating a clear one-sided cluster.
Aurora has fallen from their 54–74¢ entries to 47¢, so the same thesis is now available cheaper.

$16,047 on Aurora

Profitable serial trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Virtus.pro at 36¢ before the price moved to 42¢, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor is up $85K lifetime across 95 resolved bets, with a 60% win rate.
They have traded 56 markets across 44 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports/esports strategy.
Bought Virtus.pro at 36¢ before the market moved to 42¢, with volume spiking 559x ahead of the match.

$4,878 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

0xe16d...5e30 — Outcome 53121220, $26,581 (98% win rate)
0x9eca...5a59 — Outcome 53121220, $8,717 (92% win rate)
0xef26...05ba — Outcome 53121220, $2,731 (78% win rate)
0xa97f...a818 — Outcome 53121220, $1,000 (57% win rate)
0x0c67...d062 — Outcome 53121220, $641 (94% win rate)
0x16ce...eba1 — Outcome 53121220, $592 (77% win rate)
0xb8be...3d54 — Outcome 53121220, $513 (100% win rate)
0x52b7...0aa1 — Outcome 53121220, $500
0xb5b5...205a — Outcome 53121220, $449
0x8935...7daa — Outcome 53121220, $421

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Spirit wins after dropping Game 1

Covers 3 related markets

Falcons win early, PARIVISION advances

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$23,588 tracked4 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Aurora and Virtus.pro in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 17 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.