Part of: Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
This Dota 2 prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between ex-HEROIC and Virtus.pro in DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $1,100 in smart money across 1 signal, with recent sharp-money alerts highlighting Virtus.pro and profitable esports traders. The market resolves based on the official Game 1 winner, with resolution expected by May 13, 2026 at 23:45 UTC.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between ex-HEROIC and Virtus.pro in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-HEROIC" if ex-HEROIC win Game 1 against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Game 1 against ex-HEROIC. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,248.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
90% winner buying underdog
Sharp serial cross-market wallet with 90% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Virtus.pro despite the market later drifting against them.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $54,878 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events with a 90% win rate, suggesting repeatable edge.
- They bought Virtus.pro at 53¢; the market now shows 36¢, so the same side may be available cheaper if liquidity appears.
$1,100 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp funded esports cluster
A linked 3-wallet cluster including multiple profitable serial esports bettors bought ex-HEROIC, pushing the price up sharply.
- Three profitable bettors are all buying ex-HEROIC, including one who wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $33K.
- Six wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind the same side.
- The price jumped about 17 points after these buys, from roughly 47–48¢ entries to 64¢.
$5,570 on ex-HEROIC
93% win-rate esports sharp
Elite esports bettor with a 93% long-run win rate and major profit bought Virtus.pro despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up $220,894 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 108 events, with the same 93% win rate over a large sample.
- They bought Virtus.pro at 58¢; the market is now around 48¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$4,774 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable high-volume esports wallet bought ex-HEROIC at 48¢ alongside linked-wallet activity and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long track record: 715 resolved bets and $233k lifetime profit.
- Six linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated backing for this side.
- ex-HEROIC moved from the 48¢ entry to about 60¢ after a 561x pre-event volume spike.
$1,630 on ex-HEROIC | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp Virtus.pro cluster
Three wallets, including two exceptionally profitable high-win-rate bettors, bought $10.2k of Virtus.pro amid linked-wallet clustering and a major pre-event volume spike.
- Two proven bettors are backing the same side: one wins 94% of bets and is up $1.4M, another wins 93% and is up $221k.
- Three wallets bought $10.2k of Virtus.pro, with linked-wallet clusters also active around this market.
- Volume spiked 561x before the match, suggesting a rush of informed positioning on a normally quieter market.
$10,174 on Virtus.pro
94% winner buying VP
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 94% historical win rate bought $2,000 of Virtus.pro at 50¢, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the weak low-activity alert.
- This bettor has won 94% of 109 resolved bets and is up about $1.4M lifetime.
- They bought $2,000 of Virtus.pro at 50¢ in a market with only modest activity.
- Entry at 50¢ implies they see Virtus.pro as underpriced versus a near coin-flip market.
$2,000 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 94%
93% winner buying esports
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has an exceptional 93% record and over $1.36M lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.36M lifetime.
- They bought Virtus.pro at 49¢ in a small market with only about $4.3k total volume.
- Entry near even money suggests they see Virtus.pro as mispriced despite a balanced market.
$1,000 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 94%
93% win-rate esports sharp
Elite 93% win-rate esports trader with $1.31M profit made a $13k Virtus.pro bet on a very thin Dota market, with a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.31M lifetime.
- They put $13k on Virtus.pro in a market with only $2.2k of 24h volume.
- This wallet has traded 184 markets across 76 events with the same 93% hit rate.
$13,000 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Virtus.pro, $37,840 (94% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — Virtus.pro, $15,818 (93% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — ex-HEROIC, $12,125 (51% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — ex-HEROIC, $10,842 (55% win rate)
- 0xf3ce...a57a — Virtus.pro, $8,218 (93% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Virtus.pro, $7,750 (61% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — ex-HEROIC, $7,010 (66% win rate)
- 0x3471...f17e — ex-HEROIC, $6,363 (49% win rate)
- 0xb234...1c20 — ex-HEROIC, $5,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x55d9...832c — ex-HEROIC, $4,747 (87% win rate)
