Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 1 of the Dota 2 match between Heroic and Virtus.pro in Round 3 of the PGL Wallachia Group Stage. The market resolves based on the completed result of Game 1, with resolution tied to the scheduled April 20 match window. PolySpotter users can also monitor smart money activity on both sides, including recent sharp-wallet clusters tied to Heroic and Virtus.pro.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Heroic and Virtus.pro in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 20 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Game 1 against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Game 1 against Heroic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $250,131.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

10-wallet VP cluster

A large coordinated cluster put $82.8k behind Virtus.pro, including a linked 5-wallet funder group and one wallet with a perfect 22-for-22 resolved record, making this worth watching despite the market moving sharply against them afterward.

  • 10 wallets piled $82.8k into Virtus.pro, and 5 of them trace back to the same funder.
  • One bettor in the cluster is 22 for 22 on resolved markets and up $861k, while another is up $146k lifetime.
  • They bought around 42-45¢, implying they saw Virtus.pro as much closer to a coin flip than the market does now at 19¢.

$82,750 on Virtus.pro

16-wallet Heroic cluster

A profitable, high-volume esports trader is part of a large one-sided cluster of wallets buying Heroic, with linked funding, strong market-wide flow, and a sharp upward price move.

  • 16 wallets piled into Heroic for $77.7k total, including 5 wallets linked to the same funder
  • This bettor has a solid record: 66% win rate across 369 resolved markets and $128k profit
  • The market saw a 31x volume spike and Heroic jumped nearly 30 points, showing strong one-way momentum

$4,932 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 66%

13-wallet sharp cluster

A 13-wallet cluster poured nearly $69k into Heroic at 57-58¢, including several elite high-win-rate wallets and linked funders, before the market ripped to 84¢.

  • 13 wallets piled into Heroic for $68.8k at 57-58¢, and the price quickly jumped to 84¢
  • Several wallets in the cluster have standout records, including one at 98% wins across 358 resolved bets and another at 87% across 135
  • Five wallets share the same funder, which points to coordinated conviction rather than random crowd flow

$68,771 on Heroic

7-wallet esports pile-in

A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 7-wallet $66k coordinated buy into Virtus.pro during a major volume spike, creating a strong follow signal despite this wallet’s modest ticket size.

  • Seven wallets bought Virtus.pro together for nearly $66k, a strong one-sided signal on this market
  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 55 bets and has tracked a broad 40-event history
  • They entered at 44¢ before Virtus.pro moved down to 36¢, offering a better follow price than the original buy

$1,030 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 75%

22-0 sharp joins cluster

A perfect-track-record wallet bought Virtus.pro alongside 6 other wallets during a sharp one-sided surge, making this a strong esports flow signal despite the market moving against the entry afterward.

  • This bettor is 22 for 22 on resolved markets and up about $861k, which makes their 43¢ entry worth watching
  • Seven wallets piled into Virtus.pro for about $66k total, showing coordinated conviction rather than a lone bet
  • The market saw a 78x volume spike, and 43¢ implied roughly a 2.3x payoff if Virtus.pro wins Game 1

$9,830 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 100%

7-wallet Virtus.pro wave

A proven high-volume sports/esports bettor joined a 7-wallet, $66k one-sided push into Virtus.pro during a major volume spike, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the market moving against their entry.

  • Seven wallets bought Virtus.pro together for $66k, a strong one-sided signal on this match
  • This bettor has 1,393 resolved bets and is up $100k, so the trade comes from an experienced wallet
  • They entered at 45¢ during a 78x volume surge, which implies they saw real value before the price dropped

$1,095 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 61%

6-wallet VP cluster

Six wallets piled $61.6k into Virtus.pro in a short burst, including a linked-wallet cluster and one bettor with a perfect 22-for-22 record and $861k profit, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching.

  • Six wallets bought Virtus.pro in a coordinated burst for $61.6k total.
  • One of the buyers is 22 for 22 on resolved bets and up $861k lifetime.
  • Five wallets trace back to the same funder, showing one actor may be spreading this bet across multiple accounts.

$61,619 on Virtus.pro

98% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable sharp esports bettor with a 98% win rate made a large buy on Heroic while 9 wallets piled in the same direction during a major pre-match volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $3.14M lifetime across 358 bets
  • They bought $9.0k of Heroic at 57¢, and 9 wallets together put $43.5k on the same side
  • The market saw an unusual pre-match volume spike, which adds support to the move

$9,002 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 98%

95% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp esports bettor with a 95% win rate joined a 9-wallet one-sided Heroic cluster during a massive pre-match volume spike, making this flow worth following despite the modest single-ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 95% of their trades and is up $315k across 354 resolved positions
  • 9 wallets all bought Heroic, putting $43.5k on the same side during a huge pre-match volume surge
  • They bought at 57¢, which still sits near the current 58-59¢ market and leaves room to follow

$2,522 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 95%

9-wallet Heroic cluster

A proven profitable esports bettor in a 5-wallet funded cluster joined 9 wallets buying Heroic together, creating strong coordinated one-sided flow into a pre-match volume spike.

  • This bettor has a real track record: 66% wins across 369 resolved bets and $128k profit
  • Nine wallets all bought Heroic, including a 5-wallet linked cluster, for $43.5k total on one side
  • This wallet put $6.1k in at 58¢ as volume suddenly surged before the match

$6,122 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Virtus.pro, $203,310 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xe16d...5e30 Virtus.pro, $77,997 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xcf6c...7e66 Heroic, $42,665 (80% win rate)
  4. 0x3b5c...126e Heroic, $40,000 (79% win rate)
  5. 0xee00...cea1 Heroic, $36,447 (62% win rate)
  6. 0x2146...d41b Heroic, $25,220 (36% win rate)
  7. 0xafd4...7e61 Virtus.pro, $19,469 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x2307...3934 Heroic, $17,874 (52% win rate)
  9. 0x3833...33d1 Heroic, $15,794 (98% win rate)
  10. 0xb234...1c20 Heroic, $15,000 (55% win rate)

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

1h$250,131 tracked11 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Heroic
81¢
Virtus.pro
19¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Heroic and Virtus.pro in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 20 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Game 1 against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Game 1 against Heroic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Heroic
93¢
75¢
56¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$82,750 on Virtus.pro at 44¢

44¢19¢25¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$4,932 on Heroic at 84¢

84¢81¢3¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$68,771 on Heroic at 58¢

58¢81¢23¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$1,030 on Virtus.pro at 44¢

44¢19¢25¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$9,830 on Virtus.pro at 43¢

43¢19¢24¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$1,095 on Virtus.pro at 45¢

45¢19¢26¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$61,619 on Virtus.pro at 44¢

44¢19¢25¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$9,002 on Heroic at 57¢

57¢81¢24¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$2,522 on Heroic at 57¢

57¢81¢24¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$6,122 on Heroic at 58¢

58¢81¢23¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

4h ago

$2,458 on Virtus.pro at 44¢

44¢19¢25¢

Related Theses