Part of: Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $187,742.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% win-rate esports bettor

A proven high-win-rate sports trader with activity across 437 related markets bought Heroic during a sharp pre-match move and volume spike, making this worth following despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 92% of 1,295 resolved markets and has traded nearly $978k across related events
  • They bought Heroic at 82¢ as the price jumped about 19 points and market volume ran 10.8x normal
  • The bet is small versus market liquidity, but it came from a very consistent cross-market trader rather than a random whale

$1,631 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 91%

Linked wallets fading favorite

A linked 5-wallet funder cluster sold the heavy favorite in size on a liquid esports market, with one clearly profitable high-volume wallet leading the move before a sharp price jump.

  • Five linked wallets share the same funder, and 3 of them sold the favorite for $18.7k total on the same side
  • One lead wallet has a solid 66% win rate across 369 resolved bets and is up $128k lifetime
  • They were effectively buying Virtus.pro at 32¢, 13¢, and 12¢ before Heroic surged to 94%, so this was an early contrarian shot

$18,730 on Virtus.pro

16-wallet Heroic cluster

A profitable, high-volume esports trader is part of a large one-sided cluster of wallets buying Heroic, with linked funding, strong market-wide flow, and a sharp upward price move.

  • 16 wallets piled into Heroic for $77.7k total, including 5 wallets linked to the same funder
  • This bettor has a solid record: 66% win rate across 369 resolved markets and $128k profit
  • The market saw a 31x volume spike and Heroic jumped nearly 30 points, showing strong one-way momentum

$4,932 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 65%

13-wallet sharp cluster

A 13-wallet cluster poured nearly $69k into Heroic at 57-58¢, including several elite high-win-rate wallets and linked funders, before the market ripped to 84¢.

  • 13 wallets piled into Heroic for $68.8k at 57-58¢, and the price quickly jumped to 84¢
  • Several wallets in the cluster have standout records, including one at 98% wins across 358 resolved bets and another at 87% across 135
  • Five wallets share the same funder, which points to coordinated conviction rather than random crowd flow

$68,771 on Heroic

22-0 sharp joins cluster

A perfect-track-record wallet bought Virtus.pro alongside 6 other wallets during a sharp one-sided surge, making this a strong esports flow signal despite the market moving against the entry afterward.

  • This bettor is 22 for 22 on resolved markets and up about $861k, which makes their 43¢ entry worth watching
  • Seven wallets piled into Virtus.pro for about $66k total, showing coordinated conviction rather than a lone bet
  • The market saw a 78x volume spike, and 43¢ implied roughly a 2.3x payoff if Virtus.pro wins Game 1

$9,830 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 97%

7-wallet esports pile-in

A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 7-wallet $66k coordinated buy into Virtus.pro during a major volume spike, creating a strong follow signal despite this wallet’s modest ticket size.

  • Seven wallets bought Virtus.pro together for nearly $66k, a strong one-sided signal on this market
  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 55 bets and has tracked a broad 40-event history
  • They entered at 44¢ before Virtus.pro moved down to 36¢, offering a better follow price than the original buy

$1,030 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 81%

7-wallet Virtus.pro wave

A proven high-volume sports/esports bettor joined a 7-wallet, $66k one-sided push into Virtus.pro during a major volume spike, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the market moving against their entry.

  • Seven wallets bought Virtus.pro together for $66k, a strong one-sided signal on this match
  • This bettor has 1,393 resolved bets and is up $100k, so the trade comes from an experienced wallet
  • They entered at 45¢ during a 78x volume surge, which implies they saw real value before the price dropped

$1,095 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 61%

6-wallet VP cluster

Six wallets piled $61.6k into Virtus.pro in a short burst, including a linked-wallet cluster and one bettor with a perfect 22-for-22 record and $861k profit, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching.

  • Six wallets bought Virtus.pro in a coordinated burst for $61.6k total.
  • One of the buyers is 22 for 22 on resolved bets and up $861k lifetime.
  • Five wallets trace back to the same funder, showing one actor may be spreading this bet across multiple accounts.

$61,619 on Virtus.pro

95% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp esports bettor with a 95% win rate joined a 9-wallet one-sided Heroic cluster during a massive pre-match volume spike, making this flow worth following despite the modest single-ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 95% of their trades and is up $315k across 354 resolved positions
  • 9 wallets all bought Heroic, putting $43.5k on the same side during a huge pre-match volume surge
  • They bought at 57¢, which still sits near the current 58-59¢ market and leaves room to follow

$2,522 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 95%

98% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable sharp esports bettor with a 98% win rate made a large buy on Heroic while 9 wallets piled in the same direction during a major pre-match volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $3.14M lifetime across 358 bets
  • They bought $9.0k of Heroic at 57¢, and 9 wallets together put $43.5k on the same side
  • The market saw an unusual pre-match volume spike, which adds support to the move

$9,002 on Heroic | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 10616370, $203,310 (61% win rate)
  2. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 10616370, $77,997 (97% win rate)
  3. 0x8f76...aea6 Outcome 10616370, $3,873 (81% win rate)
  4. 0xf67d...c986 Outcome 10616370, $3,427 (63% win rate)
  5. 0x69bf...0c5d Outcome 10616370, $2,862 (88% win rate)
  6. 0xacf6...41fc Outcome 10616370, $2,085 (77% win rate)
  7. 0x4bf8...2f4a Outcome 10616370, $2,000 (89% win rate)
  8. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 10616370, $1,916
  9. 0xa7b3...f473 Outcome 10616370, $985 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x90f0...2923 Outcome 10616370, $617

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$187,742 tracked12 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Heroic and Virtus.pro in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 20 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Game 1 against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Game 1 against Heroic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,631 on Heroic at 82¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$18,730 on Virtus.pro at 18¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$4,932 on Heroic at 84¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$68,771 on Heroic at 58¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$9,830 on Virtus.pro at 43¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,030 on Virtus.pro at 44¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,095 on Virtus.pro at 45¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$61,619 on Virtus.pro at 44¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$2,522 on Heroic at 57¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$9,002 on Heroic at 57¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$6,122 on Heroic at 58¢

Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$2,458 on Virtus.pro at 44¢

Related Theses