Part of: Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Ilbirs eSports and Nemiga Gaming in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win Game 1 against Nemiga Gaming. This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win Game 1 against Ilbirs eSports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,884.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% winner joins cluster

A four-wallet one-sided Nemiga buy cluster moved the market sharply, including one highly profitable bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and +$886k P&L.

  • A bettor who wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $886k bought Nemiga at 63¢.
  • Four wallets put nearly $7k on the same side, helping push Nemiga from the 60s/80s to 96¢.
  • This is live esports flow with a clear price move, suggesting the buyers had a strong read on Game 1.

$6,979 on Nemiga Gaming

95% winner caught move

Elite esports bettor with a 95% long-run win rate bought Nemiga at 63¢ before the market moved sharply to 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $887K lifetime.
  • They have a huge cross-market history: 304 events, 437 markets, and $1.67M traded.
  • Nemiga moved from their 63¢ entry to 80¢, suggesting the market followed their side.

$1,637 on Nemiga Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% winner adding to position

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% resolved win record bought Nemiga at 55¢ and the market has already moved to 64¢, supporting the signal.

  • This bettor has won 18 of 19 resolved trades and is up $17.1k lifetime.
  • They bought Nemiga at 55¢, and the market has already moved to 64¢.
  • The bet was large for this quiet market, equal to about half of recent volume.

$1,268 on Nemiga Gaming | Wallet win rate: 99%

Related Theses

PARIVISION sweeps Xtreme Gaming

Covers 3 related markets

NaVi sweeps, Tundra hedge

Covers 3 related markets

PARIVISION wins in five

Covers 5 related markets

Yandex wins, LGD takes Game 3

Covers 3 related markets

PARIVISION wins Games 1 and 4

Covers 3 related markets

1win takes series; BetBoom takes games

Covers 3 related markets

Yakult Brothers take the series opener, PlayTime responds

Covers 3 related markets

Team Spirit wins 3-2

Covers 5 related markets

Nemesis rallies after NaVi wins two

Covers 3 related markets

LGD wins series after split

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ilbirs eSports
0¢
Nemiga Gaming
100¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Ilbirs eSports and Nemiga Gaming in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win Game 1 against Nemiga Gaming. This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win Game 1 against Ilbirs eSports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

2026-07-09 18:10 UTC

$6,979 on Nemiga Gaming at 76¢

76¢→100¢↑24¢

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

2026-07-09 18:01 UTC

$1,637 on Nemiga Gaming at 63¢

63¢→100¢↑37¢

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

2026-07-09 18:01 UTC

$1,268 on Nemiga Gaming at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Related Theses

PARIVISION sweeps Xtreme Gaming
Wallet_0xf3ce7 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme G…Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme G…Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme G…
NaVi sweeps, Tundra hedge
Wallet_0xf3ce7 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natu…Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natu…Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natu…
PARIVISION wins in five
Wallet_0xf3ce7 trades 5 related markets
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (…Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora -…Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora -…
Yandex wins, LGD takes Game 3
Wallet_0xf3ce7 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gam…Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gam…Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gam…
PARIVISION wins Games 1 and 4
Wallet_0xf3ce7 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…
1win takes series; BetBoom takes games
Wallet_0xf3ce7 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (…Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team -…Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team -…
Yakult Brothers take the series opener, PlayTime responds
Wallet_0xf3ce7 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Bro…Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Bro…Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Bro…
Team Spirit wins 3-2
Wallet_0xf3ce7 trades 5 related markets
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…
Nemesis rallies after NaVi wins two
Wallet_0xf3ce7 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus …Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus …Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus …
LGD wins series after split
Wallet_0xf3ce7 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme G…Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme G…Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme G…