Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $274,329.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors backing Iron Wing

A massive Iron Wing flow includes several highly profitable, high-edge bettors and a 443x volume spike, although substantial opposing Team Liquid activity makes the signal mixed.

  • More than $213,000 flowed into Iron Wing across 20 wallets during a 443x historical volume spike.
  • Several participating bettors have exceptional records, including 94–98% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
  • The signal is not one-sided overall: 25 wallets also bought Team Liquid for about $101,000, so the opposing flow warrants caution.

$211,202 on Iron Wing

Serial trader scales into Team Liquid

A serial cross-market trader with a 65% win rate is adding to Team Liquid during a 54x market-wide volume spike, though the existing position and modest edge reduce conviction.

  • This bettor has traded 65 markets across 61 events, winning 65% of 102 resolved bets and earning $43,140.
  • They are adding to an existing Team Liquid position at 52¢ while the market is seeing a 54x historical volume spike.
  • The 52¢ entry implies a roughly even matchup; the trade is most compelling if Team Liquid can be bought at or below 62¢.

$1,124 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 65%

Coordinated two-sided esports battle

This is an unusually large, high-conviction esports positioning event combining sharp profitable bettors, a 19-hour-old profitable wallet, and coordinated opposing flow.

  • A 93% winner with 82 resolved bets and a 32-point edge bought Team Liquid, alongside 13 wallets committing $56,030.
  • A 19-hour-old wallet has already made 9 positions and is up $6,347, suggesting unusually strong early conviction.
  • A separate 20-wallet linked group committed $51,422 to Iron Wing, creating a rare, highly concentrated two-sided market signal.

$56,030 on Team Liquid

98% winner backs Iron Wing

An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and $10.45M lifetime profit is buying Iron Wing at 49¢ while also positioning across three event markets.

  • This bettor has won 631 of 641 resolved positions and earned $10.45M in profit.
  • The wallet is buying Iron Wing at 49¢ despite the market pricing Team Liquid as the slight favorite.
  • The trader has positions across three markets in this event, with $50,200 committed and a 98% historical win rate.

$1,000 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 98%

Serial 92% winner adds to Iron Wing

A highly active 92% winner added to an existing Iron Wing position during a dramatic breakout, though the trade has since moved below its 87¢ entry.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 2,457 resolved trades across 323 events.
  • The wallet added to an existing Iron Wing position at 87¢ as the market broke far above its prior 45–46¢ range.
  • Iron Wing is now quoted around 74¢, so the position has moved below this trader’s entry and should be treated cautiously.

$1,522 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor adds to Iron Wing

A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate is adding to an existing Iron Wing position at 46%, supported by extensive cross-market activity.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 102 resolved trades and is up $93,472 lifetime.
  • They are scaling into Iron Wing at 46% after already investing $3,404 in the position.
  • The wallet has traded across 53 markets and 45 events, indicating substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.

$1,035 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 85%

Elite bettor adds to Team Liquid

A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and 110 resolved positions is adding to an existing Team Liquid position at 55%.

  • This bettor wins 90% of trades across 110 resolved positions and is up $320,816.
  • They have traded 35 different events with the same 90% win rate, indicating a repeatable edge.
  • The $1,127 purchase adds to an existing $7,694 Team Liquid position at 55%, near the current 56% odds.

$1,127 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp bettor adds to Iron Wing

A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate is adding to an existing Iron Wing position at 46%, supported by extensive cross-market activity.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 102 resolved trades and is up $93,472 lifetime.
  • They are scaling into Iron Wing at 46% after already investing $3,404 in the position.
  • The wallet has traded across 53 markets and 45 events, indicating substantial experience rather than a one-off bet.

$1,290 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd30...f316 Outcome 10430001, $310,057 (94% win rate)
  2. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 10430001, $170,004 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x4aec...4ce9 Outcome 10430001, $54,000 (87% win rate)
  4. 0x3413...8ff2 Outcome 10430001, $50,000 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x1896...a7d6 Outcome 10430001, $20,112 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x3af1...d739 Outcome 10430001, $19,574 (51% win rate)
  7. 0xf201...527e Outcome 10430001, $16,813 (70% win rate)
  8. 0xa103...1c14 Outcome 10430001, $13,000 (65% win rate)
  9. 0x08c2...c023 Outcome 10430001, $12,537 (90% win rate)
  10. 0xc1de...21f5 Outcome 10430001, $11,000 (98% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Resolved$274,329 tracked8 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Iron Wing and Team Liquid in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Iron Wing. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Liquid
102¢
65¢
28¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$211,202 on Iron Wing at 51¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$1,124 on Team Liquid at 52¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$56,030 on Team Liquid at 58¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$1,000 on Iron Wing at 49¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$1,522 on Iron Wing at 87¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$1,035 on Iron Wing at 46¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$1,127 on Team Liquid at 55¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$1,290 on Iron Wing at 46¢

Related Theses