Part of: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Iron Wing and Team Liquid in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Iron Wing. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $110,353.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% winner leads contrarian Iron buys

A highly profitable bettor and several experienced wallets made a coordinated contrarian Iron Wing bet, though larger opposing Team Liquid flow has since pushed Iron Wing down to 22%.

  • Five wallets committed $8,743 to Iron Wing, including a bettor with a 95% win rate across 200 resolved trades and $6.77M in lifetime profit.
  • The group’s effective average entry was about 47¢, indicating substantial conviction that Iron Wing was undervalued.
  • This is a conflicted signal: $22,075 of Team Liquid flow and a 19-point price rise have moved sharply against the Iron Wing buyers.

$5,226 on Iron Wing

Seven-wallet Iron Wing conviction

Seven wallets collectively bought $65,304 of Iron Wing alongside a profitable high-volume trader and a major pre-event volume surge.

  • Seven wallets are betting $65,304 on Iron Wing, a strong one-sided signal in this match market.
  • The lead bettor has won 65% of 671 resolved trades and earned $1.39M in profit across $7.73M invested.
  • Market activity spiked to 617.6 times its recent average, though Iron Wing has since fallen from the 54¢ entry to about 46¢.

$1,246 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 65%

Seven-wallet Iron Wing conviction

Seven wallets collectively bought $65,304 of Iron Wing alongside a profitable high-volume trader and a major pre-event volume surge.

  • Seven wallets are betting $65,304 on Iron Wing, a strong one-sided signal in this match market.
  • The lead bettor has won 65% of 671 resolved trades and earned $1.39M in profit across $7.73M invested.
  • Market activity spiked to 617.6 times its recent average, though Iron Wing has since fallen from the 54¢ entry to about 46¢.

$6,639 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 65%

Sharp bettors cluster on Team Liquid

A large Team Liquid cluster includes several highly profitable bettors and a major volume spike, though opposing Iron Wing flow and existing positions temper conviction.

  • Nine wallets committed $29,578 to Team Liquid, including a bettor with 94% wins across 296 resolved positions and $645,441 profit.
  • The market saw an extreme volume spike, with Team Liquid purchases concentrated around 44¢–53¢.
  • Several wallets already held Team Liquid positions, while a separate $63,549 Iron Wing cluster creates meaningful opposing pressure.

$51,653 on Team Liquid

95% winner leads seven-wallet Iron Wing cluster

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate bought Iron Wing at 49% amid coordinated seven-wallet buying and a sharp volume surge.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 865 resolved positions and earned $1.43 million in P&L.
  • Seven wallets bought Iron Wing in the same direction, totaling $63,549.
  • The entry was 49%, and Iron Wing has since risen to 55% following an extreme volume spike.

$4,970 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 95%

95% winner backs Iron Wing

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate deployed $40.6K on Iron Wing alongside six other one-sided wallets in a thin, volume-spiking market.

  • This bettor has won 190 of 200 resolved positions and is up $6.77 million.
  • The wallet bought $40,620 of Iron Wing, with seven wallets collectively placing $63,549 on the same outcome.
  • The trades drove an enormous volume spike in a normally quiet market, while Iron Wing rose from entries as low as 51¢ to about 55¢.

$40,620 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 — Team Liquid, $27,989 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x068c...bce7 — Team Liquid, $10,000 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x57b4...b46b — Team Liquid, $10,000 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x05a7...42e6 — Team Liquid, $9,966 (96% win rate)
  5. 0x31a4...7afc — Team Liquid, $8,708 (55% win rate)
  6. 0xf201...527e — Team Liquid, $6,855 (71% win rate)
  7. 0xd4f9...0a00 — Team Liquid, $6,795 (76% win rate)
  8. 0x3a01...c89e — Team Liquid, $6,508 (59% win rate)
  9. 0x0ee5...e798 — Team Liquid, $6,256 (88% win rate)
  10. 0x5997...0bee — Team Liquid, $6,135 (84% win rate)

Related Theses

HANJIN takes Game 1; KT responds

Covers 3 related markets

Karmine wins, games split early

Covers 3 related markets

Gen.G Wins Series, T1 Takes Game 2

Covers 3 related markets

Sentinels sweep Karmine Corp

Covers 3 related markets

Bilibili takes games, Dplus series

Covers 3 related markets

Karmine Corp sweeps Dplus KIA

Covers 3 related markets

LGD Gaming Wins All Markets

Covers 3 related markets

FaZe sweeps EYEBALLERS

Covers 3 related markets

Team WE will sweep Top Esports

Covers 3 related markets

JD Gaming wins series 2-1

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage$110,353 tracked6 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Iron Wing
100¢
Team Liquid
0¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Iron Wing and Team Liquid in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Iron Wing. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

2026-08-15 06:56 UTC

$5,226 on Iron Wing at 47¢

47¢→100¢↑53¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

2026-08-15 06:35 UTC

$1,246 on Iron Wing at 54¢

54¢→100¢↑46¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

2026-08-15 06:31 UTC

$6,639 on Iron Wing at 54¢

54¢→100¢↑46¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

2026-08-15 06:35 UTC

$51,653 on Team Liquid at 46¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

2026-08-15 06:35 UTC

$4,970 on Iron Wing at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

2026-08-15 06:27 UTC

$40,620 on Iron Wing at 53¢

53¢→100¢↑47¢

Related Theses

HANJIN takes Game 1; KT responds
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRIO…LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRIO…LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRIO…
Karmine wins, games split early
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Gen.G Wins Series, T1 Takes Game 2
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Espor…LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winn…LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winn…
Sentinels sweep Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…
Bilibili takes games, Dplus series
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …
Karmine Corp sweeps Dplus KIA
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…
LGD Gaming Wins All Markets
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…
FaZe sweeps EYEBALLERS
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …
Team WE will sweep Top Esports
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - …LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (B…LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - …
JD Gaming wins series 2-1
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…