Part of: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $79,608.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Elite bettors scaling into Iron Wing

A large coordinated Iron Wing position is backed by multiple exceptionally profitable bettors, including a 98% winner, despite substantial opposing Team Spirit flow.

  • Ten wallets committed $50,286 to Iron Wing, with several adding to existing positions after the price fell from roughly 47¢ to 38¢.
  • The group includes a bettor with a 98% win rate across 662 positions and another at 97% across 156 positions.
  • A 28-wallet, $81,250 Team Spirit flow makes this a contested signal rather than a one-sided consensus trade.

$24,223 on Iron Wing

Sharp cluster backing Team Spirit

A large one-sided Team Spirit cluster, including several highly profitable bettors, drove a massive volume spike and a 22-point decline in Iron Wing pricing.

  • 24 wallets committed $67,187 to Team Spirit, with the largest entries around 54–55¢.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 94% wins across 225 bets and 92% across 316 bets.
  • Trading volume spiked to 1,278 times its historical average while Iron Wing fell 22 percentage points.

$39,871 on Team Spirit

93% win-rate esports bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge is backing Team Spirit near an even-money price.

  • This bettor has won 314 of 339 resolved trades, with $776,046 in reported profit.
  • They are putting $2,514 on Team Spirit at 49¢ in a liquid, near-even esports market.
  • The bettor has traded across 299 markets and 206 events, showing a broad and repeatable track record rather than a one-off wager.

$2,514 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% win-rate bettor backs Team Spirit

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Team Spirit position at 48%.

  • This bettor has won 26 of 28 resolved trades and is up $16,012.
  • They are adding $1,300 to Team Spirit at 48%, near the market’s 48% implied odds.
  • The position is not a fresh entry, but increasing exposure suggests continued conviction in Team Spirit.

$1,300 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

98% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate and 662 resolved positions placed a fresh $10,000 bet on Iron Wing at 53%.

  • This bettor wins 98% of 662 resolved positions and is up $11.0 million.
  • The trader committed $10,000 to Iron Wing at 53% in a liquid esports market.
  • Their extensive history across 416 events and 895 markets makes this a strong copy-trade signal.

$10,000 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 98%

93% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven serial bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,700 bet at near-market odds.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 2,426 resolved positions and earned over $2.07 million.
  • Their average win price is 53%, matching this 53¢ Iron Wing entry, indicating a strong historical edge at similar odds.
  • The wallet has traded across 542 events and 647 markets, making this a proven rather than isolated signal.

$1,700 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 38877227, $106,254 (65% win rate)
  2. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 38877227, $61,630 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x9100...7ade Outcome 38877227, $26,426 (81% win rate)
  4. 0x2929...1dd0 Outcome 38877227, $21,272 (63% win rate)
  5. 0x0224...292a Outcome 38877227, $21,093 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x559b...4959 Outcome 38877227, $16,975 (67% win rate)
  7. 0xf201...527e Outcome 38877227, $14,225 (70% win rate)
  8. 0x6f04...1fb0 Outcome 38877227, $14,088 (89% win rate)
  9. 0x24fe...4f8a Outcome 38877227, $12,748 (93% win rate)
  10. 0x4aec...4ce9 Outcome 38877227, $12,593 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs$79,608 tracked6 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Iron Wing and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win Game 1 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Iron Wing. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Spirit
102¢
74¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$24,223 on Iron Wing at 47¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$39,871 on Team Spirit at 54¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$2,514 on Team Spirit at 49¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$1,300 on Team Spirit at 48¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$10,000 on Iron Wing at 53¢

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$1,700 on Iron Wing at 53¢

Related Theses