Part of: Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $48,588.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

3-wallet dogpile on underdog

Three wallets all piled into the same esports side during a sharp pre-match volume surge and price snap lower, including two high-volume serial traders with profitable histories, suggesting coordinated conviction on L1ga Team at depressed prices.

  • Three wallets all bet L1ga Team within minutes, totaling $7.2k as the market saw a 44.9x volume spike.
  • They bought after a fast 24.5-point drop, getting 34-36¢ on a side now trading at 38¢.
  • Two of the wallets are repeat cross-market bettors with 63-75% win rates, including one up about $609k lifetime.

$7,174 on L1ga Team

91% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate and $1.04M profit just placed a $21.2k bet on MOUZ during an extreme pre-match volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up about $1.04M across 186 resolved positions
  • They have bet across 296 markets and 277 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off gamble
  • The $21.2k buy hit during a 244x volume spike, suggesting strong conviction ahead of the match

$21,245 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 90%

Volume-spike esports bettor

Large, experienced sports wallet bought into a sharp event-driven move after a huge pre-match volume spike, making this worth watching despite a modest personal edge.

  • This wallet has over 1,000 resolved bets and is up $125.8k, so this is not a random first-time buyer.
  • Market activity exploded to 283x normal volume and L1ga Team swung about 24.5 points in minutes before this buy.
  • The bettor paid 80¢ for a heavy favorite, a sizable $4.4k position in a market with only $6.3k liquidity.

$4,366 on L1ga Team | Wallet win rate: 63%

3-wallet underdog cluster

Three wallets piled nearly $9k into the underdog during a 244x pre-match volume surge, including one massive high-volume winner and another 75% bettor, making this coordinated contrarian flow worth watching.

  • Three wallets bought L1ga Team together for nearly $9k while market activity jumped 244x above normal
  • One wallet has made over 1,200 resolved bets and is up about $609k, while another wins 75% of the time
  • They bought the underdog at 34-36¢ after a fast 24.5-point drop, suggesting they saw value into the selloff

$8,963 on L1ga Team

91% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports/esports trader with a 91% win rate bought MOUZ at 22¢ ahead of a major volume spike, and the market has since moved sharply against that entry to 8¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up about $1.04M across 186 resolved markets
  • They have placed nearly $4.0M across 294 markets, so this looks like a proven repeat operator rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought MOUZ at 22¢ before the market fell to 8¢, offering a much cheaper follow price if their read is right

$4,534 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 90%

92% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate put fresh money into MOUZ, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size and only moderate composite score.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades with 505 bets tracked and is up $38k lifetime
  • They have bet across 30 events for $110k total, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
  • Bought MOUZ at 57¢, and the market now sits near 51¢, offering a better follow price than the original entry

$2,306 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0xad72...4f5e Outcome 20173096, $4,344 (87% win rate)
  2. 0x913c...39b3 Outcome 20173096, $3,520 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x13c6...a001 Outcome 20173096, $3,269
  4. 0xf67d...c986 Outcome 20173096, $3,159 (43% win rate)
  5. 0x9a11...eb9d Outcome 20173096, $2,612 (80% win rate)
  6. 0x21f3...1c32 Outcome 20173096, $2,184
  7. 0x802b...7d57 Outcome 20173096, $1,902 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x9a8e...9408 Outcome 20173096, $1,657 (85% win rate)
  9. 0x4108...9e22 Outcome 20173096, $1,553 (82% win rate)
  10. 0x3763...345f Outcome 20173096, $1,494 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 1 related market

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

ResolvedDota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs$48,588 tracked6 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between L1ga Team and MOUZ in the PREMIER SERIES Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 9 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "L1ga Team" if L1ga Team win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against L1ga Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

45d ago

$7,174 on L1ga Team at 35¢

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

45d ago

$21,245 on MOUZ at 66¢

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

45d ago

$4,366 on L1ga Team at 80¢

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

45d ago

$8,963 on L1ga Team at 35¢

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

45d ago

$4,534 on MOUZ at 22¢

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

45d ago

$2,306 on MOUZ at 57¢

Related Theses