Part of: Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Dota 2 best-of-three match between LGD Gaming and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Survival. It resolves to the winning team, with 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner; the listed resolution date is July 14, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,995 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including a recent “87% winner scaling in” alert.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between LGD Gaming and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,795.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable esports sharp
Proven high-volume bettor with a 79% resolved win rate and $4.1M profit is buying LGD at 76¢ in an active esports market.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $4.1M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,230 markets with nearly $10M in tracked cross-market volume.
- Entry at 76¢ suggests confidence that LGD remains underpriced despite already being the favorite.
$3,800 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 79%
87% winner scaling in
Sharp esports/cross-market bettor with an 87% resolved win rate is adding to an LGD position at 74¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $30K lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market record across 25 events and are adding to the same LGD side.
- Entry at 74¢ implies confidence despite LGD already being the clear favorite.
$1,995 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x6d20...a165 — MOUZ, $226,430 (82% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — LGD Gaming, $186,744 (57% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — MOUZ, $20,046 (84% win rate)
- 0xbfe9...5f53 — LGD Gaming, $16,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — LGD Gaming, $11,434 (79% win rate)
- 0xda34...01a8 — MOUZ, $6,808 (100% win rate)
- 0x57b4...b46b — LGD Gaming, $6,200 (94% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — LGD Gaming, $6,079 (61% win rate)
- 0xd8ff...473d — MOUZ, $6,024 (42% win rate)
- 0xc57f...1746 — LGD Gaming, $5,679 (50% win rate)
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