Part of: Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Dota 2 best-of-three match between LGD Gaming and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Survival. It resolves to the winning team, with 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner; the listed resolution date is July 14, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,995 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including a recent “87% winner scaling in” alert.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between LGD Gaming and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,795.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports sharp

Proven high-volume bettor with a 79% resolved win rate and $4.1M profit is buying LGD at 76¢ in an active esports market.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $4.1M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,230 markets with nearly $10M in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Entry at 76¢ suggests confidence that LGD remains underpriced despite already being the favorite.

$3,800 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 79%

87% winner scaling in

Sharp esports/cross-market bettor with an 87% resolved win rate is adding to an LGD position at 74¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $30K lifetime.
  • They have a strong cross-market record across 25 events and are adding to the same LGD side.
  • Entry at 74¢ implies confidence despite LGD already being the clear favorite.

$1,995 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6d20...a165 MOUZ, $226,430 (82% win rate)
  2. 0x2c33...0563 LGD Gaming, $186,744 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x23d8...0288 MOUZ, $20,046 (84% win rate)
  4. 0xbfe9...5f53 LGD Gaming, $16,000 (66% win rate)
  5. 0xcf60...a6f5 LGD Gaming, $11,434 (79% win rate)
  6. 0xda34...01a8 MOUZ, $6,808 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x57b4...b46b LGD Gaming, $6,200 (94% win rate)
  8. 0x67bb...b6ef LGD Gaming, $6,079 (61% win rate)
  9. 0xd8ff...473d MOUZ, $6,024 (42% win rate)
  10. 0xc57f...1746 LGD Gaming, $5,679 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

FUT wins in three maps

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FUT sweeps EDward Gaming

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Monte beats paiN

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G2 sweeps BIG

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TYLOO sweeps 9z

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FUT wins in three maps

Covers 4 related markets

Falcons sweep G2 convincingly

Covers 4 related markets

Spirit sweeps Natus Vincere

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B8 and Mongolz split maps

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Hanwha Life dominates T1

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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

ResolvedDota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival$5,795 tracked2 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
LGD Gaming
77¢
MOUZ
24¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between LGD Gaming and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “LGD Gaming
77¢
75¢
72¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

3d ago

$3,800 on LGD Gaming at 76¢

76¢77¢1¢

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

4d ago

$1,995 on LGD Gaming at 74¢

74¢77¢3¢

Related Theses

FUT wins in three maps
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Espo…Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Espo…Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Espo…
FUT sweeps EDward Gaming
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT…Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs ED…Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT…
Monte beats paiN
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN …Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN …Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs p…
G2 sweeps BIG
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Ma…Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3…Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG…
TYLOO sweeps 9z
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - …Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (B…Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - …
FUT wins in three maps
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (…Games Total: O/U 2.5Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG -…
Falcons sweep G2 convincingly
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…
Spirit sweeps Natus Vincere
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere …Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nat…Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere …
B8 and Mongolz split maps
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs …Games Total: O/U 2.5Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs …
Hanwha Life dominates T1
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…